From today? Honestly, 4-5 years. It can be done in 3, but that isn't the norm. I'm not on board with the "win championships by year 3" train, however I do need to see development, improvement, and there shouldn't be any red flags like we saw with CJP this past season. You have to look at who is winning and how they are built, and with UGA & UF we have two different examples. UGA is all talent with suspect coaching. They have roped in top 3 classes consistency in the last decade, but there haven't been any Heisman winners or super star first round picks, nor any other memorable individual trophy winners or outstanding players. That tells me that staff lacks in player development. Not to mention the coaching has made some questionable in game decisions over the years that has always left them a bridesmaid, but never a bride. UF's talent and recruiting is on par with our own, but with better coaching, so they are winners. They make average HS players into superstars. That staff does well in player development and is capable of making the players believe they are better. So, until UT does either - or both - of these things, we will be in the middle to the bottom of the East.
Sorry for the long post, just my thoughts about it.