You obviously keep up with the details of recruiting more than I do but couldn’t some of the 3 stars committed end up getting bumped in the rankings as they get more exposure? A couple of them (were in on) have impressive offer sheets and are a for sure take. I think a lot will change between now and signing day but we lead (or are at least up there) with 4 five stars ti go with the one we already have. Add the other top 100’s (several are already committed) we could end up with 8-10 of the top 100. Hard to believe that would land us at no1
Sure some 3*s could get bumped. That's a common response. And yet 5 and 4*s can get bumped down as well. Those things tend to even out...they go both ways, so it's a moot point in theory.
4 5*s would be optimistic at this point, though I wouldn't be surprised if we land a couple or even a few. 4 isn't out of the realm of possibilities. But a #1 class is made up of very elite quality, so it needs 12+ 4*s on top as well. A 94-95 average. And a minimal number of 3*s, which we are already basically surpassing.
Fwiw this will be a unique year because the 25-limit is waived for the next 2 classes. How much extra space we, and others, are willing to make for more recruits will play a role.
Overall, we're talking about landing EVERYONE we want to have ANY chance at a #1 class...when even a bunch of our most optimistic top recruits (Tate, Mauigoa, Bradley) might be 60-70%...average that out and we simply aren't likely to land everyone.
Optimistically, we'll land more than half of them. That's closer to reality than expecting to hit blackjack 15 straight times. Either way, a great class is upon us and that's what counts! GBO!