There's no doubt that Rick's teams tend to underachieve in the post season. (Compared to the regular season, that is; so it's possible he overachieves in the regular season, then comes back to earth for the post season.) However, there is always the flukish element with regards to who makes it to the final four. It's why everyone's brackets tend to be so ugly by the end. One factor I miss with Pearl (and probably the only thing I miss with Pearl) is that he was a media darling and tended to be overseeded by the committee. Rick rarely gets that, and rarely gets a great draw. But many many times it comes down to a bad call or a bone headed play or somebody bricking a wide open shot or somebody else hitting a game winning three after going 0 for 9. Rick ends up on the wrong side of those things way more than most. And how many times can one guy run up against somebody making a historic run (Carmelo Anthony, Loyola, etc). So, to answer the question: keep getting into the mix, and anything's possible. There's usually a bit of ebb and flow to Rick's teams. Meaning, after the Grant, Admiral and Bone team there's a slight drop-off, then a resurgence. So, what I actually expect is one more solid run in the next few years.