SEC Tournament Seeding

[golfballs]

Would prefer to see Miss State jump LSU for that 6 seed. Very possible given their remaining schedules.

LSU plays at UK, Mizzou, at Arkansas, Bama
MSU plays at USCe, Vandy, Auburn, at aTm

That projection takes future schedule into account. They're projected to finish 9-9 with LSU holding the tiebreaker. I think NCAAT rooting interests might conflict w SECT Seeding interests a little.

 

[bleedingTNorange]

Would prefer to see Miss State jump LSU for that 6 seed. Very possible given their remaining schedules.

LSU plays at UK, Mizzou, at Arkansas, Bama
MSU plays at USCe, Vandy, Auburn, at aTm

Of course it’s our luck UK drops another and we would get the 2 and still LSU lol

 

[Thunder Good-Oil]

TN v KY (1-1)
TN v Ark (0-1) 1 game remaining
TN v Aub (0-0) 1 game remaining
KY v Aub (0-1) 0 games remaining
KY v Ark (0-0) 1 game remaining
Ark v Aub (1-0) 0 games remaining
——————————————————————
2-way tie breakers:

Ark > Aub
Aub > KY
TN = KY

KY or Ark (tbd)
TN or Aub (tbd)
TN or Ark (tbd, either Ark or tie)
——————————————————————
#5 is a log jam of Bama (8-7), USC (8-7), FL (7-8), LSU (7-8), MS St (7-8), Vandy (6-9), TX AM (6-9)
=====================================
1). Aub (13-2) at TN, at MS St, USC
2). KY (12-3) at Ark, Ole Miss, at FL
3). Ark (11-4) KY, LSU, at TN
4). TN (11-4) Auburn, at GA, Ark

Saturday (2/26)
Aub at TN: 4pm, ESPN
KY at Ark: 2pm, CBS

Midweek:
TN at GA (3/1) 6:30pm, SECNW
LSU at Ark (3/2) 9pm, ESPNU or ESPN2
Ole Miss at KY (3/1) 7pm, ESPN
Aub at Miss State (3/2) 9pm, SECNW

Saturday (3/5)
USC at Auburn 1pm, SECNW
KY at Florida 2pm, CBS
Arkansas at TN 12pm, ESPN

 

[golfballs]

Per KenPom, USC now projected as the 6 seed. I'll allow it

 

[TheMookieMonster]

Per KenPom, USC now projected as the 6 seed. I'll allow it
View attachment 435647

If the price of being on Kentucky’s side of the bracket is USC as our first opponent, I’ll take it.

 

[TheMookieMonster]

Great article by Will Warren, per usual. The most disturbing thing is that the "most likely" scenario also seems like they least desirable scenario.

LSU likely as your first round match-up when you're the #2 seed doesn't seem like much of a reward.

Tennessee’s remaining SEC Tournament scenarios, from a 1 seed to a 4

 

[bleedingTNorange]

Great article by Will Warren, per usual. The most disturbing thing is that the "most likely" scenario also seems like they least desirable scenario.

LSU likely as your first round match-up when you're the #2 seed doesn't seem like much of a reward.

Tennessee’s remaining SEC Tournament scenarios, from a 1 seed to a 4

Yea, would much rather that game be SC

 

[golfballs]

Based on TR probabilities, they have us as the 2 seed and S Carolina the 7

 

[TheMookieMonster]

Yea, would much rather that game be SC

Pretty massive difference, agreed. Not to mention Auburn dropping the game at MSU and us winning out and being the 1-seed….you gotta love that path if it were to happen. You avoid LSU, Auburn, and Kentucky. Doesn’t get much easier than that.

 

[Thunder Good-Oil]

TN v KY (1-1)
TN v Ark (0-1) 1 game remaining
TN v Aub (1-0)
KY v Aub (0-1)
KY v Ark (0-1)
Ark v Aub (1-0)
——————————————————————
2-way tie breakers:
Ark > Aub
Ark > KY
Aub > KY
TN > KY
TN > Aub
TN or Ark (tbd, either Ark or tie)
——————————————————————
3-way tie breaker:
TN: 2-1
Aub: 1-1
KY: 1-2
=====================================
#5 is a log jam of Bama (9-7), USC (9-8), FL (9-8), LSU (8-8), MS St (8-8), Vandy (6-11), TX AM (7-9)
=====================================
1). Aub (13-3) at MS St, USC
2). TN (13-4) Ark
2). KY (13-4) at FL
4). Ark (12-4) LSU, at TN

5). Bama (9-7)
6). USC (9-8)
6). Florida (9-8)
8). LSU (8-8)
8). Miss State (8-8)
10). TX AM (7-9)
11). Vandy (6-11)
12). Missouri (4-13)
12). Ole Miss (4-13)
14). Georgia (1-16)

Midweek:
LSU at Ark (3/2) 9pm, ESPN2
Aub at Miss State (3/2) 9pm, SECNW
TX AM @ Bama

Saturday (3/5)
USC at Auburn 1pm, SECNW
KY at Florida 2pm, CBS
Arkansas at TN 12pm, ESPN
Bama @ LSU
Georgia @ Missouri
Vandy @ Mississippi
Miss State @ TX AM

11 v 14
12 v 13

5 v 12/13
6 v 11/14
7 v 10
8 v 9

1 v 8/9
2 v 7/10
3 v 6/11/14
4 v 5/12/13

 

[TNBV]

Per KenPom, USC now projected as the 6 seed. I'll allow it
View attachment 435647

Best case scenario for sure. Florida matches up well against Auburn, as does Bama vs Ark and LSU vs Kentucky. Ideal

 

[Thunder Good-Oil]

Hard to believe that TN hasn’t won one since the first year it came back. Even more surprising is that LSU has only won once EVER. And it wasn’t with Shaq or Chris Jackson. However Rudy Macklin was a great one along with two others headed for the NBA from their 1980 team.

 

[golfballs]

Hard to believe that TN hasn’t won one since the first year it came back. Even more surprising is that LSU has only won once EVER. And it wasn’t with Shaq or Chris Jackson. However Rudy Macklin was a great one along with two others headed for the NBA from their 1980 team.

We definitely would have won it 2 years ago

 

[TrapVol]

Hard to believe that TN hasn’t won one since the first year it came back. Even more surprising is that LSU has only won once EVER. And it wasn’t with Shaq or Chris Jackson. However Rudy Macklin was a great one along with two others headed for the NBA from their 1980 team.

We're like the Chicago Cubs of the SECT. Well, the Cubbies before they finally won the World Series again.

 

[Thunder Good-Oil]

Two odd early results after the tournament returned in 1979. 7 different teams (in the 10 team league) won it in the first 7 years (1979-1985). Also Bama won 4 of the 5 from 1987-1991.

 

[Thunder Good-Oil]

Tonight want:
LSU over Ark (doesn’t matter if TN were to beat Ark)
Miss State over Auburn

Saturday:
TN over Arkansas
FL over KY
USC over Auburn
======================================
TN v KY (1-1)
TN v Ark (0-1) 1 game remaining
TN v Aub (1-0)
KY v Aub (0-1)
KY v Ark (0-1)
Ark v Aub (1-0)
——————————————————————
2-way tie breakers:
Ark > Aub
Ark > KY
Aub > KY
TN > KY
TN > Aub
TN or Ark (tbd, either Ark or tie)
——————————————————————
3-way tie breaker:
TN: 2-1
Aub: 1-1
KY: 1-2
=====================================
#5 is a log jam of Bama (9-7), USC (9-8), FL (9-8), LSU (8-8), MS St (8-8), Vandy (6-11), TX AM (7-9)
=====================================
1). Aub (13-3) at MS St, USC
2). TN (13-4) Ark
2). KY (13-4) at FL
4). Ark (12-4) LSU, at TN

5). Bama (9-7) TX AM. at LSU
6). USC (9-8) at Auburn
6). Florida (9-8) KY
8). LSU (8-8) at Arkansas, Bama
8). Miss State (8-8) Auburn, at TX AM
10). TX AM (7-9) at Bama, Miss State
11). Vandy (6-11) at Ole Miss
12). Missouri (4-13) Georgia
12). Ole Miss (4-13) Vandy
14). Georgia (1-16) at Missouri

Midweek:
LSU at Ark (3/2) 9pm, ESPN2
Aub at Miss State (3/2) 9pm, SECNW
TX AM @ Bama (3/2) 7pm, SECNW

Saturday (3/5)
USC at Auburn 1pm, SECNW
KY at Florida 2pm, CBS
Arkansas at TN 12pm, ESPN
Bama @ LSU 12pm, CBS
Georgia @ Missouri
Vandy @ Mississippi
Miss State @ TX AM

11 v 14
12 v 13

5 v 12/13
6 v 11/14
7 v 10
8 v 9

1 v 8/9
2 v 7/10
3 v 6/11/14
4 v 5/12/13

 

[golfballs]

Why are both Ark/LSU and Auburn/Miss St games on at 9?

 

[BruisedOrange]

Per KenPom, USC now projected as the 6 seed. I'll allow it
View attachment 435647

Of the "bad season" teams, Georgia, South Carolina, and Vandy are the ones I expect are most capable of making a Cinderella run through the SEC tourney. This seeding would limit the damage of such an occurrence.

 

[Thunder Good-Oil]

The path to an outright SEC Championship:

Tonight:
Miss State over Auburn

Saturday:
TN over Arkansas
FL over KY
USC over Auburn

 

[golfballs]

The path to an outright SEC Championship:

Tonight:
Miss State over Auburn

Saturday:
TN over Arkansas
FL over KY
USC over Auburn

I think you and I are among the few who really care about regular season SEC titles

 

[Thunder Good-Oil]

I think you and I are among the few who really care about regular season SEC titles

4 months and 30 games seems like a bigger deal than a couple of games in a single elimination format.

 

[TheMookieMonster]

I think you and I are among the few who really care about regular season SEC titles

I care about it. I think I mostly just have been less enthusiastic about our chances for a few weeks so I’m less vocal. I don’t think an outright title is realistic, but tonignt will probably determine if we have a shot at a share. That’s not too shabby either.

 

[The Dog]

4 months and 30 games seems like a bigger deal than a couple of games in a single elimination format.

Agree, completely

 

[Thunder Good-Oil]

I care about it. I think I mostly just have been less enthusiastic about our chances for a few weeks so I’m less vocal. I don’t think an outright title is realistic, but tonignt will probably determine if we have a shot at a share. That’s not too shabby either.

I think that USC has a better chance of helping TN by beating Barn than I did a few weeks ago. They’ve quietly won 5 of 6.

Of course, it all means nothing if TN doesn’t take care of business with Ark on Saturday.

 

[cncchris33]

I think you and I are among the few who really care about regular season SEC titles