No the POINT is that 450+ 2 and 3 stars PASSED about 1000 of the "BLUE CHIP" 4 stars. Only 264 of those guys got drafted for about a 20% . hit rate. There could have been about 500 left over 4 stars and not a single 2 or 3 star drafted over this 3 year period. So the four star group is loaded with over valued guys But with a big portion of the real deal guys, but a much bigger portion of the real deal guys are scattered among the lowly masses. So the bottom line is you don't guarantee you are getting the best players because they have been awarded 4 stars and you have to see the body of work of every 2 and 3 star. You get good players because they are good players regardless of their star ratings. Bama and GA and the other power brokers are fishing in the real deal subset of the 4 star group. When you do hit on a 4 star winner he probably produces early. Consistently sign real deal 4 stars with some cusp guys mixed in and the yield will bring you success. We have seen up close and personal that you can get ranked classes with a bunch of 4 stars that did not pay off and wanted to exclusively blame coaching and development when in reality they may just have been in some strata of the 80% from the get go. Good players, but not game changers. Late bloomers, guys behind older talented players until their SR year, guys with less than stellar coaching, and others did not get the recognition or earn those extra stars but given a shot they excel and pass the majority of the 4 stars. Sign a bunch of those and life gets better, add them to a bunch or real deal 4's and an occasional 5 star and you can get in the mix.
So inherently bad mouthing 3 stars on signing day is a worthless exercise. They may or may not be better than a lot of 4 stars. Only the shadow knows. The rest of us must wait for the multiyear reveal. Of course we also have to see which stata of 4 stars our guys EACH came from.
Yeah sorry I'm not trying to be argumentative but I really don't see your arguement. And I'm not sayings that 3 stars are bad or anything, I'm just saying you can’t build a championship team with them, which should be our goal.
If that data is accurate then statistically there's a higher percent that you get a draft worthy player when you have a team full of five stars and four stars. So if my percentages are accurate if you recruited 20 players that are four stars, 21% of them are going to be draft worthy players. If you recruit 20 3 stars, only 6.4% of them end up being draft worthy.
And it makes sense, there's a reason 247 talked about national champions being comprised of a certain percentage of what they call blue chip players.
You actually want to be going after the same players that the best teams are going for.
And I get that you want to feel better about 3 stars, but the reality is that for us to compete for championships, we gotta recruit the top tier players.
But if you want to go just by volume, how about all of the best Tennessee players in the past few years:
-Jauan Jennings - 4 star (nfl)
-Derek Barnet - 4 star (nfl)
-Trey Smith - 5 Star (nfl)
-Hendon Hooker - 4 star
-AJ Johnson - 4 Stars (nfl undrafted)
-Jaylen Reeves Maybin - 4 star (nfl)
-Justin Hunter - 4 star (nfl)
-Curt Maggit - 4 star
-Marquez Callaway - 4 star (nfl undrafted)
-Josh Dobbs - 4 star (nfl)
-Raijon Neal - 4 star (nfl undrafted)
-Marques North - 4 star
-Robert Meachem- 5 star (nfl)
-Tiny Richardson - 4 star
-Cordarelle Patterson - JuCo 4 Star (nfl)
-Tyler Bray - 4 Star (nfl)
-Eric Berry - 5 Star (nfl)
-Erik Ainge - 4 Star (nfl)
-Montario Hardesty - 4 Star (nfl)
-Alvin Karmara - 4 Star (nfl)
-Juwan James - 5 Star? (nfl)
Hell even the ones we don't wanna talk about were 4+ stars
-Jalen Hurd - 5 stars (nfl)
-Henry To'o To'o - 4 stars
-Eric Gray - 4 stars
-Da'Rick Rogers - 5 stars (say what you want about him but he made an NFL team undrafted, albiet a VERY short stint)
I mean the only good players I can think of that were 3 stars and below were (and I know I'm missing some so sorry):
-Emanual Mosley - 2 stars
-Cedric Tillman - 2 stars
-Cam Sutton - 3 stars
-Arian Foster - I'm pretty sure he wasn't even ranked?
-Nick Reviez - 0 stars (we think he was good right?)
-John Kelly Jr - 3 stars (nfl)
Have we missed on 4 and 5 stars, sure but that just tells me that we need to get more 4 and 5 stars to balance out the once who do bust because if 21% of 4 stars are indeed draft worthy, then that means that 79% are not. And if 4.2% of 3 stars get draft, that means that 95.8% do not.
Sorry, I'm trying to be open minded here considering most of our players are 3 stars, but the data just does not support that we, or anyone for that matter, can build a top tier team with mostly 3 stars and below. But whatever we gotta tells ourselves to feel better I guess haha.