Iran

[Smokey123]

It's my daughters friend group but I don't think any of them own a house and it's because they don't want to be tied down.

Millennial or Gen Z? I think that definitely plays a role. Value experiences more than saving money. A lot just don’t have a desire to buy one in general

 

[ButchPlz]

That is the most irrelevant point possible in response to my post. I'm doing great actually, I have this thing called concern for our future generations.

F*** man, I care about what happens to my friends right now.

 

[LouderVol]

I know pipelines are evil is a narrative in America. Keystone for example. But moving oil through a pipeline is far better than via ships, or trains, or trucks. Even without the geopolitical concerns.

I think the issue here is the relative short distance of pipeline vs the logistics of off loading - piping - storing - loading back onto a ship

adds a bunch of time, and the "risk" of the two offloads isn't offset by a great distance bypassed.

usually pipelines make transportation simpler, and thus they make sense. but here I think it really only makes sense during war with Iran.

 

[hog88]

To live what you are classifying as a decent comfortable life 25-30 years ago were two incomes required?

In our case since our combined income was around $60k it absolutely required 2 incomes and that was with penny pinching. If I alone made $60k back then we could have lived even more comfortably since we wouldn't have had to pay for daycare, wife to have a car and ext. If the wife didn't have student loans we wouldn't have had to squeeze the life out of every penny.

 

[LouderVol]

The Soviet Union collapsed because Reagan militarily spent them under the table. They destroyed themselves all it took was the threat of Star Wars.

the reason the soviets didn't have money to keep up with Star Wars, vs all the other proxy wars, space race, and other tit for tat spending, was because the Chinese weren't in their back pocket, like they had been in the past.

you can go look at the USSRs income and see a noticeable change in trajectory a few years after Nixon visited China.

 

[utvolpj]

If they had a bomb they would use it, they have said it and proven it over and over. They are a death cult. It's pretty hard to reason with a suicide bomber.

Come on man. Did Hitler announce his plans for Europe when he was negotiating with Neville Chamberlain?(He did in Mein Kampf). Taking lying terrorist at face value is foolish and dangerous.

You made the claim they've said it I was just asking. Evidently they haven't said it but you just know it to be true. So we should bomb them continuously for how long?

 

[volfanhill]

"According to the New York Times, quoting unnamed US officials and others familiar with the initial findings, the investigation has concluded that the strike on 28 February on the Shajarah Tayyebeh elementary school building was the result of a targeting mistake by the US military planners."

US responsible for deadly missile strike on Iran school, preliminary inquiry says

Strike that killed at least 175 people, most of them children, reportedly the result of a targeting mistake by US military planners

www.theguardian.com

 

[NashVol11]

100%. Called the attack on the school intentional, believes our navy could end up “at the bottom of the sea”, compared going into the strait of Hormuz to D-Day, and believes they’re currently winning the war. Also believes the current Ayatollah may live for 37 years or more

He won’t admit it, but he’s cheering for them.

None of those things are cheering, you are being "creative" with the truth as usual

 

[NashVol11]

Oh I’m sure you would argue, it would make you feel better about disliking your country

No, the idea that we should just cheer on whatever the government says is antithetical to what we were literally founded upon, but good effort

 

[Volbucky]

Where has Iran claimed to want a bomb and will use it once they get one?

Lol what an ignorant question.

 

[Vol8188]

None of those things are cheering, you are being "creative" with the truth as usual

He intentionally makes the decision to paint things as worse than are. That’s why he claims they’re winning. That’s why he claims we are attacking schools intentionally. He wants Iran to win so he can blame Trump

 

[NashVol11]

He intentionally makes the decision to paint things as worse than are. That’s why he claims they’re winning. That’s why he claims we are attacking schools intentionally. He wants Iran to win so he can blame Trump

You made that up. And at this point, after the bombing of an elementary school, blowing up an unarmed ship, black rain on civilians in Tehran, zero articulable reason for going to war and apparently zero plan for the incredibly predictable closing of the Strait of Hormuz, the odds of this war being a positive for Trump are slim to none almost regardless of what happens next. He doesn't need us to "lose" to criticize a thing that very few Americans wanted in the first place

 

[85SugarVol]

Of course we shouldn't wish for it, that goes without saying.

We just need to fix it. And if the masses would stop arguing over culture wars and pay attention to being raped by the billionaires things might start to change.

“Raped by the billionaires”… oh my!

Somebody tell all those millionaires out there to stop taking it bent over.

 

[Smokey123]

my 1200 squarefoot house built in 1959 cost me north of 300k. please tell me how my house got bigger or nicer somehow to justify the cost increase.

don't worry, I am sure you can explain to an architect how the same building got sooo much better.

some important caveats. I had to put in about 30k in improvements before I could even move in. Got asbestos removed, repaired damaged foundation, replaced the driveway, and replaced the wiring in about half of the house.

I have sense spent about another 30k in upgrading appliances, buying a new roof, and a number of other updates to get with the time.

When did you buy the house? After 2019?

 

[Smokey123]

The big thing isn’t even comparing today to the 90’s or even 00’s. Young people that were getting close to the age of buying houses literally saw house prices double basically over night after Covid

 

[MontyPython]

You desperately want to believe Iran is winning. I’m assuming so you can blame Trump. But it’s inaccurate.

Their own lack of military response is the evidence that they’re severely lacking in missile capability. If they had such great capability, they would have shown it by now.

Unless you're a mind-reader, you don't know what I believe. So I'll tell you...

I'm a realist. And realistically, we've entered a *war* - Trump's words not mine. As far as I can tell, Trump has not provided a clear rational for us entering this new war, nor has he provided a plan for the conditions upon which it is a "success" nor has he enlightened us with an exit strategy. This is a problem.

This isn't about Trump bashing. This isn't about wanting Iran to win the war. It's about being prudent when potentially entering a war (fail) and about owing the people that Trump works for (us) an explanation and a plan if he expects our children and grandchildren to die for such a war.

Trump has failed in this regard.

You are absolutely welcome to your own opinion that we're "winning" this war. There's plenty of evidence that we've blown up a bunch of Iran's weapons systems, ships, etc. But just like the "body count" yardstick in Vietnam, these things do not actually tell us if we will disengage this war on terms that best serve our country.

Wars are the means to a political end. But in this case, we don't know what that end is.

As I see things currently, we're stuck with a tar baby of our own creation. Iran has gummed up the oil production and shipment, and Trump has publicly offered no plan on how he'll fix it. Iran *owns* the Strait of Hormuz while our military is outside looking in... for now at least.

If Trump walks away from this war right now and declares "victory", tell me... what have we achieved?

(1) No regime change;
(2) Nuclear weapons program still intact;
(3) Oil shipments through Hormuz stuck until Iran chooses otherwise; and
(4) Iran can rebuild once the war is "over".

How is this a "success"?

 

[rikberry31]

You can't stop a country that has uranium deposits on their soil, from enriching it if they choose to do so; it's literally 80 year old technology at this point.

List of countries by uranium reserves - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

If Iran wanted to create a dirty bomb, they could just get some cobalt-60 from a junked x-ray machines, drop it in a conventional warhead, and detonate it somewhere over Israel. Even if an interceptor took it out, it would spread cobalt-60 all over the blast zone.

Samut Prakan radiation accident - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

A dirty bomb is no comparison to a fission bomb which pales in comparison to thermal nuclear {fusion) bomb. A dirty bomb is very localized and it is not like you can wipe a country off the map with it.
Besides if they ever did that their country would cease to exist.

 

[rikberry31]

You can't stop a country that has uranium deposits on their soil, from enriching it if they choose to do so; it's literally 80 year old technology at this point.

List of countries by uranium reserves - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

If Iran wanted to create a dirty bomb, they could just get some cobalt-60 from a junked x-ray machines, drop it in a conventional warhead, and detonate it somewhere over Israel. Even if an interceptor took it out, it would spread cobalt-60 all over the blast zone.

Samut Prakan radiation accident - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

Every American has the right to bear arms but psychos and felons are prohibited. Iran would be considered both.

 

[McDad]

The numbers I found are a little different but about the same, just note that it's closer to 5x for 2026. That's actually a big deal. Home would need to be about $50k-$90k less on average to be directly comparable. That's not nothing- especiallywith everything else involved,

Remember, nobody is buying a home in a vacuum.

Home size is also in play. 1996 1920 ft sq. 2026, 2150-2200 ft sq.

if we split the 2026 size and price, we get a price per SQ ft of $188.50.
Applying that to 1920 ft sq the equivalent price is $362,000.

It is interesting that birth rate is decreased but home size is increased. Full disclosure, I am focusing my investment on 2/1 and 2/2 homes.

 

[85SugarVol]

You can't see a fundamental difference in the world and government of the last 25 years compared to prior generations?


....ok.

You see a near future where we’re on the precipice of collapse, and Gen Z and Alpha are doomed to the soup lines?

…..ok.

 

[McDad]

The big four-oh: Typical age of first-time homebuyers hits record high

The age for a typical first-time homebuyer hit 40 for the first time in long-term tracking by the National Association of Realtors.

kval.com

Would not have expected that at all. Very surprising.

My anecdotal (my daughter, and my tenants who purchase their own home) is late 20s to early 30s.

 

[ButchPlz]

You see a near future where we’re on the precipice of collapse, and Gen Z and Alpha are doomed to the soup lines?

…..ok.

I see a future at some point where we have to pay for all we're doing. What generation gets to eat that **** sandwich?

If you think the course we're on is sustainable you're an idiot. Sorry.

 

[Ttucke11]

The big thing isn’t even comparing today to the 90’s or even 00’s. Young people that were getting close to the age of buying houses literally saw house prices double basically over night after Covid

Doubled cause you lazy bastards don't work and drink too much Starbucks.

 

[BeardedVol]

A dirty bomb is no comparison to a fission bomb which pales in comparison to thermal nuclear {fusion) bomb. A dirty bomb is very localized and it is not like you can wipe a country off the map with it.
Besides if they ever did that their country would cease to exist.

Which would cause them to be annihilated in a nuclear response from both Israel and the United States.

 

[Smokey123]

Doubled cause you lazy bastards don't work and drink too much Starbucks.

A friend bought a house in 2017 for 90k, sold it in 22’ for 250k. Another bought one early 21 for 110k and it’s worth 275k now. Both 1950 homes that were very outdated. It’s insane