If we go 8-4?

Look, Butch has a history as head coach of building a program until it reaches some critical mass, then achieving breakout success after that. So far, it seems to take him 1-2 years of buildup, then massive Ws start flowing:
  • CMU, '07-'09: 16-11 first two years, then 11-2 in the third year
  • Cincy '10-'12: 4-8 first year, then 10-3 and 9-3 in successive years
So he does have a proven track record, a pattern of his own. And so far, everything we've seen of him at Tennessee seems to match that pattern.

Folks are just getting antsy. We've been through a lot in the Vols Dark Ages ... you can understand at least a little anxiety on our part that the wheels aren't suddenly going to come off just as it appears we're coming out of the darkness. :)

I hope it plays out like this. I think many who looked at him coming in thought he would be somewhat of a "Pinkel"... a guy who might not get the best recruits but would get every ounce out of them. Then... he proved to be a stellar recruiter as well when he had a great product to sell. There have been some holes in player development but a lot of great successes too.

The missing piece, and I'm not sure his past stops help us figure it out, is his ability to get it done on game day. This is critical to him being a championship coach and an also ran. It would parallel a racing team that shows up at the track with the best car but a crew chief that can't seem to make the championship call when the pressure is on.
 
When you're the Cincy coach, your 12 opponents for the year probably seem just as challenging for YOUR program as the SEC opponents do to the Volunteers' head coach. It's all a matter of perspective. .

Not really. IIRC, the combined records of the teams Jones beat in both of his good seasons at Cincy was well under .500. He's will never play a schedule that weak at UT.
 
The longest he's ever been anywhere is 3 years. That doesn't go with what you typed.

Now, based on what you typed, I'd love to see that at UT. No doubt Butch has increased the talent since he's been here. But if this was his "normal" this would be his last season in Knoxville. Don't see him leaving.

Sure it does go with 3 year tours. In fact, that's precisely what I'm doing, is describing his 3-year tours at CMU and Cincy, then extrapolating his pattern of behavior to what we've seen thus far in Tennessee.

Just because Butch didn't stay for the 4th year and beyond at the CMU & Cincy programs he built into solid winners, that doesn't mean he didn't build the program. He left them all really well off with potential ahead.

And that doesn't at all mean he leaves Tennessee after 3, either. At neither CMU nor Cincy was he at a "career home." He is at Tennessee, and he's said as much, more than once. That doesn't break the pattern, it just takes him into new phases of it.

Have faith, Boca Vol, or if you can't do that, at least sit back and enjoy what's coming. :)
 
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Not really. IIRC, the combined records of the teams Jones beat in both of his good seasons at Cincy was well under .500. He's will never play a schedule that weak at UT.

SJT, you may be missing the point. When you're at Cincy, you play peers, those who have potential to be just as good as you. For every Alabama on Tennessee's schedule, there's a 10-3 Memphis on Cincy's. For every Georgia, there's a UCF (9-4). For every Florida, there's an East Carolina. To Cincinnati, these are challenging opponents. No, their overall conference record won't match the SEC's, because the SEC gets to play Group of 5 schools a few games a year to buff up our records...these guys ARE Group of 5 schools. All they get to do (if they so choose) is take on a Power 5 school or two.

Gotta be able to see things from the perspectives of others, or you will never understand what I'm trying to tell you. Winning in the X conference, for a team in that conference, is--on average--just as challenging as winning in the Y conference, for a team in that conference (on average). Doesn't matter if X and Y = SEC and AAC, or PAC and MtnW, or B12 and CUSA.
 
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Winning in the X conference, for a team in that conference, is--on average--just as challenging as winning in the Y conference, for a team in that conference (on average). Doesn't matter if X and Y = SEC and AAC, or PAC and MtnW, or B12 and CUSA.

If you truly believe this then we'll just have to disagree. The SEC is compares to the major leagues. The BE compared to double A or maybe triple A. There are a LOT of great triple A managers in baseball. They recognize talent and can develop it. But they never make the majors because they can't compete at that level. I am not an SEC homer that believes SEC coaches are altogether better than Pac12 coaches. But it is a completely different level of competition from what the BE was... they were basically a half step up from being mid-majors.

I'm not saying that Jones is that guy yet. But so far, he's proven he can find and develop talent... he just hasn't proven he can compete with the best coaches in CFB on game day.
 
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Unlike most here, I recognize that this is a HUGE year for Jones. He needs to make significant progress on the field to keep momentum going in the fanbase and in recruiting. This is an 8+ win roster. This is an 8+ win schedule. He needs 8+ and should be able to get it.
 
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Okay, SJT, we'll agree to disagree. I understand what you're saying, and am sure you're right that there's a degree of difference between coaching at the Group of 5 level and the Power 5 level. I think you believe the gap is MUCH bigger than I believe it is. From my perspective, if you measure the Power 5 - Group of 5 difference as a 2, the difference between Power 5 and Pros is a 20, and the difference between Group of 5 and high school is a 40. In other words, all of Division I/FBS is much closer than anything around them. So we'll just leave it at agreeing to disagree. :)
 
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It would take you awhile but my argument over that has been primarily with MedicT. You'd have to read his posts going back yourself.


Wins are not on track. In both of the last two years (according to Daj's numbers), UT has lost to teams with less talent. Player development has a few holes but some pretty stellar examples as well. Recruiting with regard to talent and rankings has been very good. But there are glaring holes at RB and to some extent DL right now. Dobbs is backed up by 3 Fr. This is because the attrition has been too high and the classes haven't completely accounted for roster needs.

This team should be able to win 8 with a Fr at QB. Less than 8 barring extraordinary injuries in multiple position groups will be subpar.

Implicit in your comment that everything is just like it should be... is an excuse... that we should not have expected more.... like a win vs one of the two worst UF teams in the last 25 years.

That's basically what I've said. Those I argue with may say that too... but then claim as you did that he's basically been "successful" to this point and refuse to say when they expect to see results... OR set expectations that are way low or conveniently distant in the future.

Basically just no except for the uf game and talent (numbers from Daj). No reason imo, for the uf loss. The numbers are true but I will wait to see if that continues now that we have a "culture" change. That we agree on and everything else is opinion. As usual you just assume yours to be the correct one.
 
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Sure it does go with 3 year tours. In fact, that's precisely what I'm doing, is describing his 3-year tours at CMU and Cincy, then extrapolating his pattern of behavior to what we've seen thus far in Tennessee.

Just because Butch didn't stay for the 4th year and beyond at the CMU & Cincy programs he built into solid winners, that doesn't mean he didn't build the program. He left them all really well off with potential ahead.

And that doesn't at all mean he leaves Tennessee after 3, either. At neither CMU nor Cincy was he at a "career home." He is at Tennessee, and he's said as much, more than once. That doesn't break the pattern, it just takes him into new phases of it.

Have faith, Boca Vol, or if you can't do that, at least sit back and enjoy what's coming. :)

I promise, I'm sitting back and enjoying what's coming. What I'm not doing is fabricating reasons to feel good about Jones/UT football.

CMU won the MAC the year prior to Jones taking over. Cincy was coming off a BCS game the season before Jones took over. He didn't build anything. He may have tweaked it to his liking but some of the pieces were in place when he got there.

He arrived at UT under much different circumstances. I'm sorry if you can't see that. What he's been able to do with the roster is very impressive in a relatively short amount of time.
 
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Basically just no except for the uf game and talent (numbers from Daj). No reason imo, for the uf loss. The numbers are true but I will wait to see if that continues now that we have a "culture" change. That we agree on and everything else is opinion. As usual you just assume yours to be the correct one.

And you don't of course... right? YES YOU DO assume yours is correct... and probably MORE so than I do since you seem to be hypersensitive to the notion.

I base my opinions on the facts we have. That does not mean we have all the facts or even that my interpretation of them is correct. But it DOES make my method for developing an opinion MORE reasonable than someone who does not use or sometimes even account for the facts. You don't have to agree with me but if you throw your "feelings" based opinion out there as if it IS facts while ignoring and denying actual facts... then I just might call you on it.

Jones supposedly inherited "nothing".... except of course for an OL that had 5 guys who are currently getting paid to play by the NFL... 3 of which started as rookies. You can spin it any way you like. I would even agree that Jones' discipline to a method might have some short run "costs". But he didn't inherit quite the "train wreck" that many of you try to claim.

Basically, don't get your feelings hurt when you throw crap out and get challenged. If you can't handle it then that's on you.
 
His comment was more low class scum than high brow but nothing we aren't accustomed to reading from him.

:lolabove::lolabove::lolabove:

What did you just say Mr Pot? You are really, really whiny here. Whatever it is you do in life... I hope you aren't like this when you do it.
 
SJT, you may be missing the point. When you're at Cincy, you play peers, those who have potential to be just as good as you. For every Alabama on Tennessee's schedule, there's a 10-3 Memphis on Cincy's. For every Georgia, there's a UCF (9-4). For every Florida, there's an East Carolina. To Cincinnati, these are challenging opponents. No, their overall conference record won't match the SEC's, because the SEC gets to play Group of 5 schools a few games a year to buff up our records...these guys ARE Group of 5 schools. All they get to do (if they so choose) is take on a Power 5 school or two.

Gotta be able to see things from the perspectives of others, or you will never understand what I'm trying to tell you. Winning in the X conference, for a team in that conference, is--on average--just as challenging as winning in the Y conference, for a team in that conference (on average). Doesn't matter if X and Y = SEC and AAC, or PAC and MtnW, or B12 and CUSA.

Fulmer famously said "it's the Jimmy's and Joe's not the X's and O's" and he won a lot of games with that mentality. Problem was Spurrier was good at both. That changed the SEC culture. Having the best players isn't good enough any more. To win in this SEC you have to have top 10 talent and top 10 coaching. We have the talent, hopefully we have the coaching too
 
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Can we all agree that when we talk about the future results of the program all we are doing is offering our own scientific wild a** guess on what will happen.

So often on this board this distinction is blurred to the point where it appears as if facts are being offered when we talk about future events. I understand to some that their position is indeed a fact to them but in the big picture these guesses are no more valid then someone else’s position.

This team is talented enough to win 8 games with a Freshman QB. This could happen and then again it may not. We don’t need essay after essay on this team and that player who were able to achieve this. This is an argument based on the past and has no basis as a fact on predicting future events on this team. We would not know this answer until after the fact is established.

Some on the board post that we should expect results as if the clone of Neyland/Dickey/Fulmer were available at the Dollar store. They expect us to win 9 or more game every year. I am always amazed that they never provide a range to meet this goal of a 75% + winning ratio. It is as if a coach who has been with us several years winning at this rate would be on the hot seat if we won only 8 games or we win the east at 9-3 and then lose the SEC and bowl to finish at 9-5 (may happen this year). Do it again and we will go to the Dollar store and pick out your new replacement.

Not to let facts get in the way of perceived notions but since 1953 we have only had 2 coaches who performed at this level and some of the same posters credit one of them with the downfall of our program. Clean up on isle 6.
 
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Fulmer famously said "it's the Jimmy's and Joe's not the X's and O's" and he won a lot of games with that mentality. Problem was Spurrier was good at both. That changed the SEC culture. Having the best players isn't good enough any more. To win in this SEC you have to have top 10 talent and top 10 coaching. We have the talent, hopefully we have the coaching too

Yeah, you're just catching up to the debate Boca Vol, SJT and I had about the latter, the coaching. They're of the opinion that the 'chess match' of game prep/game calling is much more challenging in the Power 5 (SEC, particularly) than it was for Butch in the Group of 5 jobs he held previously. Therefore, in their view, his pattern of achieving success at those other programs is not an indicator that he can do the same here. So they're waiting for proof without any reason for optimism. The "Xs and Os" part of his coaching ability is entirely unknown at this level, to put their perspective in Fulmer terms.

I, on the other hand, think the difference in degree of difficulty between Power 5 and Group of 5 is much smaller than they believe. I do see his Cincy and CMU successes as solid indicators that he can succeed in the 'chess match' as well as on the recruiting trail. I do think they show he has the ability to outsmart the Sabans and Spurriers and Meyers of the Power 5, in spite of the fact that he hasn't yet done it (well, he has vs Spurrier, but a case could be made that's just the "Jimmys and Joes" talking). So I go into 2015 with optimism, with reason to believe Butch will repeat the pattern of his past HC jobs, with a breakout season to come (hopefully this year).

That's the state of this debate ... and really, it's pretty much over at this point, we've agreed to disagree. Time will tell. :)
 
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"STJ18 comment: Jones supposedly inherited "nothing".... except of course for an OL that had 5 guys who are currently getting paid to play by the NFL... 3 of which started as rookies. You can spin it any way you like. I would even agree that Jones' discipline to a method might have some short run "costs". But he didn't inherit quite the "train wreck" that many of you try to claim."

Right here is where I have a different take; yes, he inherited an OL that was heralded and talked up by everyone...yet they didn't quite perform across the board. There may be 5 guys playing in the NFL...but do you honestly believe their performance as a unit warranted the best OL in the SEC hype?

We definitely needed better efforts / talent on D and in some of the skill positions, and I do believe Jones and staff have coached many of the older players up to or near their potential...as well as doing a very good job so far w/ the younger ones. I do think they could/should have won at least one more game his first year (Vandy), but much more than that would have been a herculean task, IMO, in 1/2 a year to accomplish. The team probably should have won 1 or 2 more games last year....they didn't; and while Jones has some culpability, I don't put that 100% on coaching...experience, youth, depth, etc. all had a hand as well.

I honestly believe the train wreck was as much in attitude and culture as it was anything - and it was a huge deficiency; as someone in management and with military experience (at least thought I saw it mentioned before) you should recognize this one in spades. Kids frequently quit on Dooley when he was HC and I don't think some gave it their level best when on the field in Jones' first year.

There is no doubt attitude and culture have changed and the vast majority of the young men on the field are fighting as hard as they can for all 60 mins. That doesn't mean its mistake free, or we have the talent on the field to match the man lined up acroos, but at least they are giving it their level best. I don't think that was happening prior to Jones' arrival....and I don't think that all star OL bought in across the board; a couple did but not all 5, which is why I think the run game wasn't near where it could have been if they were as good as advertised. Albeit better across the board than the OL last year, lets not forget they had 2-4 years of experience and chemistry built among the group which has to account for something.

So....no, the tool shed wasn't empty, but the mower needed a new spark plug, shovel was dull, rake handle broken, hammer lost....et.al.
 
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5-3 in conference is the mark to shoot for..look at Ole Miss in Freezes' third year..And in the West to Boot..Yeah they stunk after October but ..Why should Tennessee fans settle for less?
 
And you don't of course... right? YES YOU DO assume yours is correct... and probably MORE so than I do since you seem to be hypersensitive to the notion.

I base my opinions on the facts we have. That does not mean we have all the facts or even that my interpretation of them is correct. But it DOES make my method for developing an opinion MORE reasonable than someone who does not use or sometimes even account for the facts. You don't have to agree with me but if you throw your "feelings" based opinion out there as if it IS facts while ignoring and denying actual facts... then I just might call you on it.

Jones supposedly inherited "nothing".... except of course for an OL that had 5 guys who are currently getting paid to play by the NFL... 3 of which started as rookies. You can spin it any way you like. I would even agree that Jones' discipline to a method might have some short run "costs". But he didn't inherit quite the "train wreck" that many of you try to claim.

Basically, don't get your feelings hurt when you throw crap out and get challenged. If you can't handle it then that's on you.

LOL! I don't think I have ever met a more delusional human being. You applying the words "facts" and "spin"
in the same post is hilarious.

You form an opinion based on limited information, choose a side, then take the following information and cherry pick to suit your preconceived statements. Do I believe in my opinions, well duh, that's why they are my opinions. Do I also say that is my initial interpretation an that I COULD BE WRONG, all the time! You just can't stand the idea of being wrong.

People post things all the time that I may disagree with. Unlike you, I am very tolerant of the fact that others could be correct. You on the other hand, it seems to drive insane.

Your incessant need for attention and confirmation is just weird. Even though I generally just skim through your short novels-I mean posts- (as I type a longer than usual post myself lol), I have noticed your constant desire for acknowledgement of job performance.


I am glad you didn't fail at your job but you do realize that doesn't qualify you to run a fb program right????
Seriously you understand that was your job and expected? That means you were given a task with the means and resources to accomplish said task. You know, just like 90% of people in the world. Some can't achieve their given responsibilities so, uh, here's your cookie for being one of the MANY of us who can.


From what we have seen of your much coveted resume' It's about a tenth of mine and yet... This is the first time I have ever brought mine up. The reason? Because it doesn't have crap to do with TN football.

Use Dajs numbers to point out Butchs short comings while leaving out the part where he also said the Jones has a history of over exceeding until now. Pretend that it has nothing to do with the talent on paper not factoring in injuries or people playing out of position... .Whatever "spin" you need for your odd desire of appreciation. You do these things all the time. Rarely does anyone call you on them.. Not because everyone believes your intensive 'nonbiased' research is correct, but because responding to you requires time that is better spent for most of us.

Still to this day, you occasionally justify your "Give Dooley another year" stance. No one has questioned you on that, you just can't stand the idea of unquestionably being wrong.

In short, we all form opinions and we all ARE WRONG at times. The sooner you get over yourself for accomplishing what you are paid to do and understand you aren't as special as you think, the sooner people will actually pay more attention to your rants.
 
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LOL! I don't think I have ever met a more delusional human being. You applying the words "facts" and "spin"
in the same post is hilarious.
I see I hit pretty close to the bullseye with you.

You form an opinion based on limited information, choose a side, then take the following information and cherry pick to suit your preconceived statements.
That's false but even if it were true it would be many times over better than what you and your pal MedicT do.

Do I believe in my opinions, well duh, that's why they are my opinions. Do I also say that is my initial interpretation an that I COULD BE WRONG, all the time! You just can't stand the idea of being wrong.
If you actually knew me, you would understand how truly absurd that claim is. I state opinions and defend them. I challenge opinions that disagree with mine. NONE of that indicates that I won't drop my opinion if a better one is presented. I've done it many times here in the last 10 years. In fact, that is EXACTLY the way a person SHOULD try their own opinions and competing opinions.

People post things all the time that I may disagree with. Unlike you, I am very tolerant of the fact that others could be correct. You on the other hand, it seems to drive insane.
I am absolutely tolerant of the fact they could be correct AND their right to be wrong if they are. That does not mean there is ANYTHING wrong with advocating a position and challenging others.

Your incessant need for attention and confirmation is just weird. Even though I generally just skim through your short novels-I mean posts- (as I type a longer than usual post myself lol), I have noticed your constant desire for acknowledgement of job performance.
Again, a statement that NO ONE who knows me in real life would agree with.

I write long responses because I want whoever I am responding to to understand the reasoning behind my claims. Don't like it? Don't read. I don't enjoy the stupid, half-witted type of "Butch gets it" or "Butch sucks" posts that you seem to favor. Sorry about that.


I am glad you didn't fail at your job but you do realize that doesn't qualify you to run a fb program right????
Never said it did. Nor am I claiming to be the best qualified or uniquely qualified to understand leadership and change management. But I do have some experience and understanding and there ARE principles of leadership and management that apply to most or even all organizations.

MedicT goes NUTS at high expectations. He claims to have a "bright lights" job... but in the real world where we compete internationally... failure to make real, tangible, measurable bottom-line improvements costs leaders their jobs. That's the way it has to be or else the whole organization suffers.

That's the only reason I've brought experience into these discussions. It provides perspective. Why didn't you attack him for his claim to have superior insight for having played football in college? There's as much difference between being a player in college and being a professional HC as there is between being a billing clerk and a CEO. But leadership at any level of an organization has some transcendent elements.

Frankly, Jones is good at a GREAT number of those elements.... but he STILL has to progress and win. THAT is where guys like MedicT come apart.

Seriously you understand that was your job and expected? That means you were given a task with the means and resources to accomplish said task. You know, just like 90% of people in the world. Some can't achieve their given responsibilities so, uh, here's your cookie for being one of the MANY of us who can.

Do you know the difference between a task or job and a responsibility?


From what we have seen of your much coveted resume' It's about a tenth of mine and yet... This is the first time I have ever brought mine up. The reason? Because it doesn't have crap to do with TN football.
If you are a successful leader and have ever faced a challenging rebuild type of situation and overcome it then you should be able to apply that experience as a "perspective" on what Jones faces and is doing.

If you have done so then you have also been given a responsibility, goals, AND expectations for improvements that include an idea success and what constitutes satisfactory "progress". If your resume is that much better than mine then I doubt you have EVER been given such a responsibility with no timeframes or expectations for intermediate progress.

MedicT who you seem to be defending and siding with bristles at the very notion that there should be any expectations for progressive improvement in terms of W's.

Use Dajs numbers to point out Butchs short comings while leaving out the part where he also said the Jones has a history of over exceeding until now.
I don't expect you to memorize all of my posts just as I haven't memorized yours... but I have acknowledged that many times. But it really doesn't matter. He's competing at a different level now.

Pretend that it has nothing to do with the talent on paper not factoring in injuries or people playing out of position...
Other coaches have inherited bad situations. Other coaches have overcome injuries and roster problems. IT IS THEIR RESPONSIBILITY. He has not failed yet but he is behind the curve in terms of wins or at the very best "meeting" minimum expectations in that regard. He is by NO stretch overachieving in W's nor did he inherit the worst situation a coach has ever inherited.

Whatever "spin" you need for your odd desire of appreciation. You do these things all the time. Rarely does anyone call you on them.. Not because everyone believes your intensive 'nonbiased' research is correct, but because responding to you requires time that is better spent for most of us.
I have never claimed "intensive" research and my opinions are naturally biased since there are things we have to try to make reasonable guesses at when the facts aren't all known.

Spend your time any way you like. But if you post non-sense and I feel it is a good use of my free time... I'll challenge it.

Still to this day, you occasionally justify your "Give Dooley another year" stance. No one has questioned you on that, you just can't stand the idea of unquestionably being wrong.
Funny you should bring that up. MOST people who read my posts have already seem me admit that I was ABSOLUTELY wrong about arguing against those who criticized Dooley before the last year. I'm not sure what "Give Dooley another year" stance you are talking about but I think it was the right thing to do to give him a 3rd year with a team mostly made up of guys he had recruited and coached... just like I do for Jones and would for anyone else. Seldom should a HC be declared a "failure" after two seasons.

Basically, I made the same arguments that many of you do now. That whether Dooley succeeded or failed, fans should withhold criticism and support him until the 3rd year. I never said the guy was going to succeed... only that he should get a "fair shot". I even said that he should be fired after 3 years if he didn't start winning... and said it within a few weeks of him being hired and before he'd ever coached a down.

Again, I was absolutely wrong... just like many of you are now concerning Jones.

In short, we all form opinions and we all ARE WRONG at times. The sooner you get over yourself for accomplishing what you are paid to do and understand you aren't as special as you think, the sooner people will actually pay more attention to your rants.

I have never said I was right all the time or not wrong at times. I'm not bragging about what I've done and have also related that I have FAILED before when faced with challenging situations. My only reason to bring any of that up EVER is to relate it to leadership and management issues faced by the HC. They aren't the same but there are objective parallels.

Plenty of people pay attention to my posts but I don't really think of that as a motivator. I enjoy Vol football. I enjoy exchanging ideas, debating, and even butting heads at times. MORE than enough people engage me to satisfy those desires.
 
Can we all agree that when we talk about the future results of the program all we are doing is offering our own scientific wild a** guess on what will happen.
Among the all time great statements on this board.

Kudos.

[Some on the board post that we should expect results as if the clone of Neyland/Dickey/Fulmer were available at the Dollar store. They expect us to win 9 or more game every year.
No. Not at the Dollar store but YES that should be the expectation and coaches who can produce those results are out there. Bama searched until they found one. Oregon has found a string of them by a different method. UF won't tolerate anything less. FSU found a good one.

There is nothing wrong with having high expectations then holding the HC to them. In fact, the elite programs in CFB DO have them.
 
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