Hurricane Irma

#201
#201
golfballs said:
Jeez..
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Glad I'm not on that flight.
 
#202
#202
All those models up the Savannah river.

**** me.
 

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#207
#207
I am feeling a lot better after the latest forecast.

You are right about a storm like this being bad. Gas stations have already run out of gas again today. Also, if someone wanted to drive out of here, the challenge would be the traffic and the possibility of running out of gas.


Ulysees E. McGill said:
A storm like this hitting Tampa Bay is the absolute worst c

ase scenario imo.
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Originally Posted by VolFaninFla View Post
Went to Sam's Club today at 2:30 PM and waited 45 minutes for gas. Traffic was heavy as businesses let employees out early to prepare.
Publix was out of water, peanut butter, tuna, etc. though I hear that they will be getting deliveries tomorrow. I am going to go to Walmart at 6:00 AM tomorrow for more water and supplies.

My parents home was obliterated during Hurricane Andrew so I have learned to take this seriously. We have been fortunate here in Tampa as we have not been hit since 1921.
 
#214
#214
I guess it's human nature but it is weird to see the images of roads backed up with people towing their golf carts and boats to safety.
 
#215
#215
davethevol said:
Not only will it kill lots of people, it will destroy the economy for years to come for South Florida. All those high rises along the coastline will be demolished.
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Nah, the construction industry will pick up and the beaches and weather are what keep people coming back. The economy isn't going to change.
 
#216
#216
davethevol said:
They won't be liveable for a long time, and honestly if it hits as a cat 5, then I would not be shocked if some are leveled.
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Many of the older high rises and all of the ones built after Andrew are built to a much more stringent building code. Over 300 laws and ordinances were enacted to strengthen homes to the point where we get wind mitigation credits for insurance based on end gable bracing, secondary water resistance below the roof covering, impact glass and opening protection.

High rises are engineered to resist wind load, it's the joisted masonry tract homes that were built by subs who bid the lowest is where you'll see the issues. Especially on the builders grade quality roof systems.
 
#217
#217
Septic said:
Many of the older high rises and all of the ones built after Andrew are built to a much more stringent building code. Over 300 laws and ordinances were enacted to strengthen homes to the point where we get wind mitigation credits for insurance based on end gable bracing, secondary water resistance below the roof covering, impact glass and opening protection.

High rises are engineered to resist wind load, it's the joisted masonry tract homes that were built by subs who bid the lowest is where you'll see the issues. Especially on the builders grade quality roof systems.
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The guy I knew built them for a living and didn't have much faith they would withstand a CAT 5 if one ever hit despite the building codes. Hopefully we never find out.
 
#218
#218
Good and bad news with the spaghetti models.

Good news is it looks like it'll only sideswipe Florida, though Miami/Fort Lauderdale could take some serious hits.

Bad news is it looks to hit straight on in the Savannah/Hilton Head area.

Other good news is it looks like Jose will push out into the Atlantic and (hopefully) won't make landfall.
 
#219
#219
Grand Vol said:
Good and bad news with the spaghetti models.

Good news is it looks like it'll only sideswipe Florida, though Miami/Fort Lauderdale could take some serious hits.

Bad news is it looks to hit straight on in the Savannah/Hilton Head area.

Other good news is it looks like Jose will push out into the Atlantic and (hopefully) won't make landfall.
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I'd be surprised if it stays on that track. I hope not (inlaws are in Savannah). It'll get hit pretty good regardless tough
 
#220
#220
Grand Vol said:
Good and bad news with the spaghetti models.

Good news is it looks like it'll only sideswipe Florida, though Miami/Fort Lauderdale could take some serious hits.

Bad news is it looks to hit straight on in the Savannah/Hilton Head area.

Other good news is it looks like Jose will push out into the Atlantic and (hopefully) won't make landfall.
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I'm on hurricane duty there.

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#221
#221
Yankee_Vol said:
I'd be surprised if it stays on that track. I hope not (inlaws are in Savannah). It'll get hit pretty good regardless tough
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It's going to hit somewhere. I haven't seen a model yet that doesn't have it smacking into the Eastern Seaboard.
 
#222
#222
There are two main model groups, the European (ECMWF) and the American (GFS). They are both composites of multiple models. The GFS runs four times a day, the ECMWF twice. The GFS is the one trending East, but the ECMWF remains southwest coast. The European models have performed better over time. So the hurricane center keeps it to the center of the state, unless and until the European also trend East.

At least, this is what I read.
 
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#224
#224
Puerto Rico. That sound...
[twitterv]https://twitter.com/focente/status/905574000805457921[/twitterv]
 
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