Hurricane Irma

#177
#177
Model now is showing eastward shift and no interaction w Cuba. Which could mean a Cat 5 hit on Florida

[twitter]https://twitter.com/ryanmaue/status/905304040048865280[/twitter]
 
#178
#178
utvolpj said:
Looks like it may turn up the east coast and miss hitting FL
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NWS forecast shows it heading right up the middle.

120029_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png
 
#179
#179
Coug said:
Live cam in Port of Gustavia, St Barth.

[youtube]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hG-GpHPkBoM[/youtube]

You can scroll back in the live feed to see what it looked like before Irma hit.
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This one quits working at the 240 min Mark. Must have lost the camera or power.
 
#180
#180
golfballs said:
Model now is showing eastward shift and no interaction w Cuba. Which could mean a Cat 5 hit on Florida

[twitter]https://twitter.com/ryanmaue/status/905304040048865280[/twitter]
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Not only will it kill lots of people, it will destroy the economy for years to come for South Florida. All those high rises along the coastline will be demolished.
 
#182
#182
utvolpj said:
I get that but all of the models have it turning east at this point. This included the one showing a hit between Tampa and ft Myers
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I'm sure it doesn't surprise you, but Im not following what you mean.
 
#185
#185
Behr said:
I'm sure it doesn't surprise you, but Im not following what you mean.
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Yes the models all turned east. There was an extreme one that had the West coast landfall and even it has updated. Hopefully it keeps turning but many are putting it near SC now. We'll get rains in FL but not the big one
 
#186
#186
I would put more credence on the NHC than shifting computer models. But it's a good sign it seems to be shifting further east
 
#187
#187
I hope it misses. If it does, will this scare spur new storm improvement developments?
 
#189
#189
golfballs said:
What do you mean?
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Someone mentioned that if the storm were to hit Miami square on, that many of the high rise buildings could be leveled. Are there any structures that could really expect to hold up to a cat 5? I know hard rock stadium is built to hold up against a cat 4, might they make improvements to make it withstand a 5? Or is it such a rare occurrence that they just carry on.

Sorry if this makes no sense.
 
#191
#191
Nerd-Vol said:
I hope it misses. If it does, will this scare spur new storm improvement developments?
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I think I understand what you mean and the answer is yes. The Charleston that we see today is not the Charleston that existed before Hugo. Buildings are lower and stronger. Transmission lines are underground.
 
#192
#192
Most of the houses that get destroyed by extreme weather are poorly (cheaply) made. That is why you almost always see videos of ruined trailer parks after major storms, tornadoes, etc. Old wooden houses are of course vulnerable.
 
#193
#193
All you guys in FL stay safe. I know some who got stuck in St Maarten and they are having to ride this thing out at the resort.
 
#195
#195
Nerd-Vol said:
Someone mentioned that if the storm were to hit Miami square on, that many of the high rise buildings could be leveled. Are there any structures that could really expect to hold up to a cat 5? I know hard rock stadium is built to hold up against a cat 4, might they make improvements to make it withstand a 5? Or is it such a rare occurrence that they just carry on.

Sorry if this makes no sense.
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I used to work in Miami and got a tour of a high rise by the lead contractor that was building a high rise next to Trump Towers on the beach. I asked him what would happen if a hurricane hit (the sliding glass doors that opened to the balcony were supposedly rated to withstand up to a CAT 2). He then proceeded to show me damage on buildings from the last Hurricane that had hit the area and said that despite all the safety measures the high rises would get demolished if a monster hit.
 
#196
#196
davethevol said:
I used to work in Miami and got a tour of a high rise by the lead contractor that was building a high rise next to Trump Towers on the beach. I asked him what would happen if a hurricane hit (the sliding glass doors that opened to the balcony were supposedly rated to withstand up to a CAT 2). He then proceeded to show me damage on buildings from the last Hurricane that had hit the area and said that despite all the safety measures the high rises would get demolished if a monster hit.
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I think they thought you were saying that the high rises would be leveled. No doubt the glass facades facing the winds would be demolished, thus also causing a lot of cosmetic damage to interiors, but I'm pretty sure that structurally they would hold up...Has a hurricane ever knocked down a highrise?
 
#197
#197
Ulysees E. McGill said:
I think they thought you were saying that the high rises would be leveled. No doubt the glass facades facing the winds would be demolished, thus also causing a lot of cosmetic damage to interiors, but I'm pretty sure that structurally they would hold up...Has a hurricane ever knocked down a highrise?
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They won't be liveable for a long time, and honestly if it hits as a cat 5, then I would not be shocked if some are leveled.
 
#198
#198
utvolpj said:
Yes the models all turned east. There was an extreme one that had the West coast landfall and even it has updated. Hopefully it keeps turning but many are putting it near SC now. We'll get rains in FL but not the big one
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Oh great.
 
#199
#199
Savage

[twitter]https://twitter.com/PolkCoSheriff/status/905438240278278144[/twitter]
 
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