Aguilar's experience vs his passing yards totals

#128
#128
UTFranklinVol said:
the kind of point I'm trying to make is that simply being on a "better" team doesn't mean jack because the defenses that this guy will face will be on a whole other level. and before you say that he will have better talent on offense, Nico got sacked 28 times last year because of our OL and our receivers sucked. plus it's a known fact now that Aguilar is prone to making dumb decisions and throwing the ball when he shouldn't and it caused 24 interceptions in just 2 seasons at App St.

interceptions are generally not a product of poor receivers or a poor OL. they are a direct indicator of poor judgement by the QB.

so now you have a guy who makes poor snap decisions having bad receivers and an OL that got Nico sacked 28 times in one season playing against the most elite defenses in college football.

this is a recipe for 3 interceptions per game. on paper and because this guy has really barely ever played a team with a good defense, we really don't know how much worse his interceptions numbers can get
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Have you ever heard of a timing play. Sometimes it’s all on the receivers. Nico sucked more than our OL overall. He held it or took off too early. He was a good 7 on 7 QB because he didn’t have to worry about getting hit. He could make all the throws and had great arm talent but not with even the slightest pressure.
 
#129
#129
UTFranklinVol said:
people have talked a lot about Aguilar's passing numbers last year but man he was clubbing some baby seals. here is App States schedule last year (by the way they went 5-6)

East TN State
Clemson
East Carolina
South Alabama
Marshall
Louisiana
Georgia St
Old Dominion
Coastal
James Madison
Georgia Southern

So you may want to zoom in on the one game he actually played against a quality opponent (25th ranked Clemson)

Aguilar was 18 of 41 passing 43% with 1 TD

unfortunately there are no other reliable data points from 2024 as the remainder of their schedule was abismal. however you can go back to 2023 where he threw for even more yards. let's look at that schedule..

North Carolina
East Carolina
Wyoming
Louisiana Monroe
Coastal
Old Dominion
Southern Miss
Marshall
Georgia State
James Madison
Georgia Southern
Troy
Miami (OH)

again kind of a carbon copy of 2024 with only one power 5 opponent where he completed 51% of his passes against North Carolina, not bad but they still lost and North Carolina is not really a good power 5 opponent, but I guess my biggest fear is he has not much real experience against power 5 teams, let alone GOOD power 5 teams.

I really worry about him being able to produce against really good competition, not that I think he can't, but there's no proof he can. all those passing yards but not against quality teams. Nico had amazing numbers against crappy non conference teams and then the SEC schedule started and we could barely score.

granted Aguilar should have higher quality players around him at Tennessee but I wish he had a bit more experience against big boy football teams so I felt better about his passing production.
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I agree with you, which is why I believe it is far from a guarantee that he will be the starter. I'm not convinced he is better than what we already have. He is a turnover machine.
 
#130
#130
UTFranklinVol said:
yeah I get it, but he will also experience playing from behind and receivers dropping balls they should catch at Tennessee as well except the defenses on the other side will be much much better than what he has ever seen. we will see what comes out of fall practice and who is lined up in week 1.
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I saw some of your points but in defending them, you are moving into trolling with this post. We have new yet young receivers but how do you already know they will drop passes and we will be playing from behind like app state did? I don’t expect any of that especially since Squirrel is gone.
 
#131
#131
JacketVol said:
Some throws off back foot under pressure and other bad decisions. Also, some a good receiver should catch or not bat up in the air. A gunslinger at times when it isn’t good. Don’t need to force it.
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Hopefully CH can correct these issues if he beats out Merk
 
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#132
#132
For Aguilar, coming to Tennessee is like falling into a well and coming up with two fistfuls of gold. Now Nico will play in front of 500 people and Aguilar will play in front of 100,000+. I can't help but believe this kid is going to shine here. GoBigOrange!
 
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#133
#133
SayUWantAreVOLution said:
It's the interceptions.

He was throwing against 2* secondaries. They picked him off quite a bit.

That's not a matter of the talent around you, that's you deciding not to throw it in the first row but throwing into bad situations. That's a QBs decision making. If it's bad against 2* DBs, it's going to catastrophic against SEC talent.
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Another way to look at it, is he will be less likely to run out of bounds with no time left against Arkansas.
 
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