Recruiting Football Talk VII

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8 wins next year isnt good.

As a pessimist I see 9 wins on the schedule, and steal one of the big 3 and you hit 10.
We really need a 10 win season next year or recruiting is gonna suck.
So you see:

UF
UK
Arky
Nc St
Miss St

as a 100% shoe-in, cumulatively? Even if we're 2 TD favorites vs every team on average, odds are we'll drop one of 5.

It seems like this is the part of the schedule people ignore and yet you see it almost every season. Have to take them cumulatively, not just >50% equals a sure win.
 
So you see:

UF
UK
Arky
Nc St
Miss St

as a 100% shoe-in, cumulatively? Even if we're 2 TD favorites vs every team on average, odds are we'll drop one of 5.

It seems like this is the part of the schedule people ignore and yet you see it almost every season. Have to take them cumulatively, not just >50% equals a sure win.
Florida is at home, should be a win.
Hogs arent good
UK isnt good.
NC St is average, but theyll be breaking in a new QB.
MSST on a brand new coach.

Even on their down years TN out recurits all those schools but Florida. Florida just sucks.

8-4 Heup 100% should be on the hot seat going into year 5.
 
Btw, listening to these clips really makes you appreciate how much better things are around here now.

You said it. That Basilio clip is in real time dealing with the imminent hiring of Schiano. People were calling in pissed off about the news and everyone felt depressed. It was hopeless.
 
So you see:

UF
UK
Arky
Nc St
Miss St

as a 100% shoe-in, cumulatively? Even if we're 2 TD favorites vs every team on average, odds are we'll drop one of 5.

It seems like this is the part of the schedule people ignore and yet you see it almost every season. Have to take them cumulatively, not just >50% equals a sure win.
If we lose to Arkansas or MS ST next season, then we’re going to have a long year. We own Kentucky and it’s at home. UF owns us but we should be better and it’s at home.
 
I bet it ends up being Michigan Georgia Texas Bama. Washington and fsu lose their title games.
I think if Oregon wins PAC12 they get in over a 1 loss UGA.. assuming your scenario above is Bama wins SEC. When you dig into some advanced stats FPI/SP+/etc, Oregon is ahead in some rankings, efficiencies and ratings..UGA is ahead in some rankings, efficiencies and ratings. FPI actually has Oregon #2, UGA #3. SP+ has UGA #2, Oregon #4. SOS are both terrible, only 3 spots apart.. throw that one out. Plus those rating systems are already opponent adjusted. So it’s very close in all of that so then what does it come down to? Oregon has a championship, UGA doesn’t.
 
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