Latest Coronavirus - Yikes

I would guess the 50% is the factor they used originally (which led to the high-side predictions i.e. 100k to 240k deaths) while the 90% is what brings their model back in line with the actual data.

The actual data is a hard one to even say as well though. Our total infection numbers (even if you assume a 3 million or so today) are still low as a percentage. So a tremendous amount of the book is yet to be written. But they’ve always been talking about wave 1 with these numbers so getting 90% compliance will get the first wave to peak sooner and change the trajectory from that point forward tremendously for the first wave (social distancing has impact on death numbers prior to peak as well but it’s muted by the effects of having a later and higher peak if you don’t distance).
 
In Striking Moment, Gov. Ralph Northam Put on His Own Black Face Mask. He Urged Every Virginian to Do the Same

Gov. Ralph Northam (D., Va.) covered his face with a dark mask on Monday in an attempt to educate the public on measures aimed at preventing the spread of the coronavirus.

northam-face-736x521.jpg


Northam, who is best known for refusing to resign after revelations that he appeared in blackface in a photo in his medical school yearbook, evidently did not consider the optics of using a dark mask in his demonstration. The racist image came to light in 2019, but because Northam is a Democrat, the media outrage died down and he kept his job.

In Striking Moment, Gov. Ralph Northam Put on His Own Black Face Mask. He Urged Every Virginian to Do the Same

'Coonman': Still Leading By Example!

Maybe he's just really bad at ninja uniforms?
 
If McRib's small hospital (part of a bigger corporation) was any indication, the medical community was panicked! The projections on beds, stays, intervention had them shook to their core.

We have been converting hotels and convention centers to hospitals - a lot of people were worried about those numbers. NY has had to make use of some of that I believe (can anyone confirm?). But not sure about other cities.
 
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The actual data is a hard one to even say as well though. Our total infection numbers (even if you assume a 3 million or so today) are still low as a percentage. So a tremendous amount of the book is yet to be written. But they’ve always been talking about wave 1 with these numbers so getting 90% compliance will get the first wave to peak sooner and change the trajectory from that point forward tremendously for the first wave (social distancing has impact on death numbers prior to peak as well but it’s muted by the effects of having a later and higher peak if you don’t distance).
It is important that they continue updating and refining the models going forward, as the database from testing grows and more is learned about the virus and how it spreads.
 
Follow the money. The state medical examiner gets more federal funds for more Covid deaths.
Where are you getting this information. The ME is an appointed position. Are you saying that 100's of ME are conspiring to inflate the Covid-19 death numbers? To get more money from the Federal Government?
 
Nobody is prepared to make that kind of projection except maybe Trump and his Easter resurrection.
The models which the doom and gloomers so closely followed are now saying this thing will be under control by Memorial day and Dr. F nut is saying when it comes back in the fall we will be better prepared and know how to fight it so it won't require extreme measures. But now the doom and gloomers are saying they're wrong after going on and on about the science, these are the experts blah blah blah. And folks really wonder why people think all of this is a crock of sh!t.
 
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It is important that they continue updating and refining the models going forward, as the database from testing grows and more is learned about the virus and how it spreads.
I read where those who operate forklifts are at the highest level of risk so forklift ownership / operation will be banned until further notice.
 
Maybe Trump deserves the blame for the National response and the State and local officals deserve the blame/praise for the local response. Any bad decision was the result of ignorance about the spread of the virus.
SARS was 2003. You would think that someone would have been smart enough say " What if it happened here?". Whoever Bush had sucked, Obama's PDR team sucked, and whoever Trump resigned sucked too.
 
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There are instances where it works and instances where it has not worked. There is an article out stating that the French has discontinued its because or the affects on the heart. So 2 or 3 cases of where it worked does not discount the hundreds of cases where it has not worked.
 
The models which the doom and gloomers so closely followed are now saying this thing will be under control by Memorial day and Dr. F nut is saying when it comes back in the fall we will be better prepared and know how to fight it so it won't require extreme measures. But now the doom and gloomers are saying they're wrong after going on and on about the science, these are the experts blah blah blah. And folks really wonder why people think all of this is a crock of sh!t.
When they are calling people who die from heart disease, cancer and anything else victims of CV-19 and still their numbers wont come close. Most reasonable people know they are full of bull Schiff
 
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No. My statement was fact. People in his administration were already warning him by Feb. 25.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/poli...coronavirus-response-is-increasingly-damning/

So where’s the article about what the medical advisers were saying? Aren’t they the people he’s supposed to be listening to? Navarro is the trade adviser. So this shouldve been handled purely on the advice of an economist?

This is the problem with retrospective analysis. You’re going to have people that “advised” him it was going to be much worse than what it is and others who “advised” him that it wouldn’t be anything more than the flu. But cherry picking the parts that fit the narrative is left to the people who already have the answer.
 
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