Latest Coronavirus - Yikes

I don't mean to come off cavalier about germs. But anyone who took microbiology and swabbed their agar with residue from payphones, door handles, and their own hands realizes we are literally surrounded by germs all day, every day. Heck, I carry staph but I am not infected.
I think you have rabies every time I look at your avi.
 
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Ok so if we get it under control here by say June then we should remain locked down because China can't figure things out? I say leave international travel bans in place and let China figure it out for themselves, they are to blame here
No, the lockdown has to end at some point. I am saying that business models will change, how people socialize and interact will change. People will initially be more cautious about congregating in large crowds. I think there will be a new normal. I ride public transportation to and from work when I go into the office. If we switch to a remote business model, I will just drive in on the days that I need to go in.
 
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Well, I had a home health nurse yesterday tell me he was being pulled from his route. He sees my mom. Said it was to help with these patients and that 50% was going to be put on hospice.
We average 10-20 patients put on hospice every week before this started, there may be a couple with underlying issues who happen to have COVID, but there are only 6-7 confirmed patients OVERALL in the entire hospital
 
In Striking Moment, Gov. Ralph Northam Put on His Own Black Face Mask. He Urged Every Virginian to Do the Same

Gov. Ralph Northam (D., Va.) covered his face with a dark mask on Monday in an attempt to educate the public on measures aimed at preventing the spread of the coronavirus.

northam-face-736x521.jpg


Northam, who is best known for refusing to resign after revelations that he appeared in blackface in a photo in his medical school yearbook, evidently did not consider the optics of using a dark mask in his demonstration. The racist image came to light in 2019, but because Northam is a Democrat, the media outrage died down and he kept his job.

In Striking Moment, Gov. Ralph Northam Put on His Own Black Face Mask. He Urged Every Virginian to Do the Same
Looks green to me.
 
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No, the lockdown has to end at some point. I am saying that business models will change, how people socialize and interact will change. People will initially be more cautious about congregating in large crowds. I think there will be a new normal. I ride public transportation to and from work when I go into the office. If we switch to a remote business model, I will just drive in on the days that I need to go in.
After a few weeks or months, only a small percentage of people will remain who approach day to day life differently. The rest of us have short memories and shorter attention spans.
 
Yes. I'm seeing reports of small, "nonessential" businesses that believe they'll be finished by May. Larger ones are holding on but they're not far behind if trucks can't roll. Neither am I for that matter

There will be a lot of small to medium sized businesses that never reopen, there will be some large retailers that never reopen many of their brick and mortar locations.
 
The models were off because garbage in, garbage out. You don't know anything about the virus, so how can you model it? I'm not surprised the epidemiologists, who are most likely academics or CDC folks, don't understand the idea of garbage in, garbage out. Those places don't have accountability. Nobody holds their hands to the fire when wrong.


We should have done targeted quarantine and not shut down the economy. Do people not realize shutting the country down is unprecedented? You don't do that over a virus a bit worse than the flu. The stats are clear, it's mostly the very elderly and at risk populations.

Kids aren't living right now. No school, no friends, some have no food. And if this goes longer, a lot of families won't have food, homes, health care. This is ridiculous.

Surely, this should signal an end to the tyranny of "experts", and models and data, but it won't.
 
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There will be a lot of small to medium sized businesses that never reopen, there will be some large retailers that never reopen many of their brick and mortar locations.
Not necessarily a "retailer," but my daughter works at a restaurant in Darden holdings (Olive Garden, Cheddar's, Longhorn Steakhouse, another one). They were told that if this didn't end pretty quickly, Darden will wind up closing several restaurants for good.
 
After a few weeks or months, only a small percentage of people will remain who approach day to day life differently. The rest of us have short memories and shorter attention spans.
And they will be like "No one told us this was going to happen....government failed us....blah blah blah" Then we will blame anti-vaxxers
 
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Yes, something was off. Ya think?

It’s actually been following a fairly consistent trajectory on its death modeling. If you go back to where they saw NY deaths peaking and when, I was surprised by what seems to be a good forecast compared to what else was out there.

I am not sure what was behind their drop today in deaths. It’s the biggest move I’ve seen for them and must be led by activity outside New York.

But in states like Alabama vs Tennessee, something seemed off for sure.

Where its assumptions were way too aggressive as it turns out was length of hospital stays, ICU stays, and even number of patients that would require hospitalization per ultimate death.
 
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Not necessarily a "retailer," but my daughter works at a restaurant in Darden holdings (Olive Garden, Cheddar's, Longhorn Steakhouse, another one). They were told that if this didn't end pretty quickly, Darden will wind up closing several restaurants for good.
The ripple effects to other industries (distribution, food production, trucking) could be staggering.
 
Mardi Gras was 2/25. At the time, our feckless leader was saying COVID was under control.

So were our medical experts, and telling us to go about our business, no need to change our behavior, and worry more about the flu.

Which fooks up your narrative that Trump was a lone island "downplaying" the virus.
 
Cuomo quotes from yesterday...
“Change in daily ICU admissions is way down and that's good news.”
“Ventilators, where we are. We are stretching and moving, but every hospital has what they need today. And then we balance the patient load among all hospitals, so no hospital, single hospital, or system gets overburdened.“
 
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No because that’s not how the medical examiner is going to call it. Come on. It’s pretty simple. You have underlying issues. Some may be death sentences. But if the thing that kills you is this then it is what it is. You died bc of Corona.
Follow the money. The state medical examiner gets more federal funds for more Covid deaths.
 
Not necessarily a "retailer," but my daughter works at a restaurant in Darden holdings (Olive Garden, Cheddar's, Longhorn Steakhouse, another one). They were told that if this didn't end pretty quickly, Darden will wind up closing several restaurants for good.
I think Logan's is gone as of yesterday....this is like restaurant wars from Demolition Man. If Taco Bell is the only restaurant remaining, I am offing myself.
 
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Where it’s assumptions were way too aggressive as it turns out was length of hospital stays, ICU stays, and even number of patients that would require hospitalization per ultimate death.

If McRib's small hospital (part of a bigger corporation) was any indication, the medical community was panicked! The projections on beds, stays, intervention had them shook to their core.
 
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