Latest Coronavirus - Yikes

[Stew Cook]

You realize how terribly dumb of an analogy this is? Car wreck victims don’t transmit car wrecks to other ppl.

True this, although in both cases, keeping a safe distance is a good idea.

 

[DinkinFlicka]

The UK isn’t doing it, we’ll see who made the right call.

What are you talking about? Bars and restaurants have shut down all over the place.

 

[JOEY'S ALL VOL !!!]

 

[rjd970]

That's what I'm wondering. How long are they going to want to shut everything down? I wouldn't expect only 2 weeks to make a substantial change. Especially since testing is ramping up significantly now so for the next 2 weeks we'll continue to see the numbers gorw, but that should be expected.

I don’t think the temporary shutdown will make a dent in the grand scheme of things. Right now they are just buying time for infrastructure and medical assets to ramp up. Once we feel we are ready, open things back up and let’s face this head on.

At least I hope. If the plan is to simply stay inside and hope it goes away then we are are totally screwed. Eventually we will all get it anyway and die a slow, painful economic death.

 

[allvol123]

I've laid the numbers out using data from rest of the world and even ramped my numbers up. Roughly 40,000.

We have ZERO history of choosing the destroy our society to prevent 40,000 deaths.

 

[Hunerwadel]

If we hit a worse infection rate than any reported so far, say 750 per million, that is a 0.00075 infection rate.

Now we have .00075 x 300,000,000 (people) = 225,000 infected.

Now of that 225,000 we are saying 20% of cases are very bad.

So 225,000 x .2 = 45,000.

If EVERY bad case results in death (which is absurd) then we have 45,000 deaths.

We are throwing away our world for this.

Someone feel free to destroy my math if you see a mistake. I was rambling this out while working.

Quick, somebody get these numbers to the Veep and everyone can go back to work tomorrow.

 

[volfanjustin]

View attachment 267026

exactly right

 

[TheDeeble]

Everyone should care about the how. Believe me .gov will not forget what we let them get away with because of fear.

Agreed. The "do anything" mentality is extremely dangerous and will likely lead to undesirable effects in the years to come.

Spending, economic repercussions, and govt power grabs concern as much, if not more, than the virus.

 

[hog88]

Even if health officials and government officials 'man up,' do you really think people are going to go back out and spend money?

**** has already hit the fan.

Immediately? No but the quicker we get back to some semblance of normalcy the quicker the economy will recover.

Landfills are freaking closing! Think people going to work and about their normal lives creates a public health risk, wait until trash is pilling up in our city streets.

 

[Roustabout]

Your comments about their healthcare are complete nonsense. The United States has the worst quality of healthcare of all first world countries. We rank around number 33 Wich is well behind every country with single payer healthcare. If they had our system the problem would have been 100 times worse because people would be too scared to go to the doctor for fear of the cost!

Yep, that’s why there are all those empty emergency rooms. Fear of cost.

Oh wait....

 

[McDad]

If we hit a worse infection rate than any reported so far, say 750 per million, that is a 0.00075 infection rate.

Now we have .00075 x 300,000,000 (people) = 225,000 infected.

Now of that 225,000 we are saying 20% of cases are very bad.

So 225,000 x .2 = 45,000.

If EVERY bad case results in death (which is absurd) then we have 45,000 deaths.

We are throwing away our world for this.

Someone feel free to destroy my math if you see a mistake. I was rambling this out while working.

Your math is correct. To add to it, you are calculating worst case scenarios.

 

[allvol123]

Quick, somebody get these numbers to the Veep and everyone can go back to work tomorrow.

And there is the problem. You need affirmation. You need another adult to condone your movement.

Pathetic.

You cant look at numbers and make a reasonable decision on your own.

 

[DinkinFlicka]

I've laid the numbers out using data from rest of the world and even ramped my numbers up. Roughly 40,000.

We have ZERO history of choosing the destroy our society to prevent 40,000 deaths.

40k is far under the most conservative estimates, dude.

 

[hog88]

My daughter has been home since last Monday, all classes are online through the end of the semester. This is what I received today from UNC:

Reimbursements
The UNC System has indicated that decisions about refunds for housing and dining fees, which are in their discretion, will be postponed until at least April or until we are beyond the imminent issues facing us with mitigating the spread of the virus. We will not have any additional information to share with you until that time. This also applies to campus-based fees, including parking, and student activities facilities and programs.

Means, "we're going to drag this out as long as we can hoping you will forget". Ya ain't getting ****.

 

[joevol33]

Not to keep getting off topic, but thought I'd update since a few asked. Surgery for my wife is over, everything went good. Had to cut a little more than expected, but she's good. Thanks for asking, praying, and thinking about her.

 

[Purple Tiger]

I’ve also been telling my kids Pluto is a planet. F those scientists.

I think the scientists f'ed you. Pluto returned to planet status a while ago.

 

[n_huffhines]

If we hit a worse infection rate than any reported so far, say 750 per million, that is a 0.00075 infection rate.

Now we have .00075 x 300,000,000 (people) = 225,000 infected.

Now of that 225,000 we are saying 20% of cases are very bad.

So 225,000 x .2 = 45,000.

If EVERY bad case results in death (which is absurd) then we have 45,000 deaths.

We are throwing away our world for this.

Someone feel free to destroy my math if you see a mistake. I was rambling this out while working.

Yeah, wtf is Trump doing?

 

[allvol123]

40k is far under the most conservative estimates, dude.

I gave you numbers based on actual data. Find the mistakes.

 

[n_huffhines]

Not to keep getting off topic, but thought I'd update since a few asked. Surgery for my wife is over, everything went good. Had to cut a little more than expected, but she's good. Thanks for asking, praying, and thinking about her.

Great news, although this is the first I've heard of it. What kind of surgery?

 

[allvol123]

Yeah, wtf is Trump doing?

Caving to alarmists.

 

[rjd970]

Still think a targeted, strict, quarantine to the at risk population AND their caregivers is the better approach. Worst case scenario would be probably the same number of deaths in the at risk community, and a bunch of young healthy people maybe getting sick, maybe showing symptoms and the economy survives.

 

[McDad]

Are students getting a pro-rated refund for housing and meal plans?

McDaughter's college will be issuing refunds, reductions to tuition payments, and credits to offset no housing and no food. I was surprised to hear it.

 

[evillawyer]

 

[Stew Cook]

Quick, somebody get these numbers to the Veep and everyone can go back to work tomorrow.

The day of prayer may have put a dent in the curve, but I think some had their eyes open, which watered down it's effectiveness.

 

[DinkinFlicka]

I gave you numbers based on actual data. Find the mistakes.

You aren't factoring in exponential growth over the course of a year. This **** only started 4 months ago.