Tennessee Lady Vol News

ESPN's matchup predictor and point spreads are based on different methodologies and data sources, which can lead to discrepancies in their predictions.
  1. Point Spread: This is set by oddsmakers and reflects the betting market's expectations about the outcome of a game. Oddsmakers consider various factors, including team performance, injuries, weather conditions, and historical matchups, to establish a line that balances betting on both sides.
  2. Matchup Predictor: ESPN's predictor uses statistical models that analyze a range of data points, including team statistics, player performance, and game conditions. This model aims to predict the likelihood of each team winning based on current form and historical performance, independent of betting lines.
Reasons for Discrepancies:
  • Different Data Sources: The data and algorithms used by ESPN's model may weigh certain factors differently than those considered by oddsmakers, leading to different conclusions about which team is more likely to win.
  • Injury Updates: If key players are injured or returning from injury, the point spread might adjust quickly based on betting activity, while the predictor may lag in incorporating the most recent information.
  • Public Perception vs. Statistical Reality: The betting line can be influenced by public sentiment, which may favor popular teams regardless of their actual performance metrics. The predictor, however, relies solely on statistical analysis.
  • Game Context: Factors like home-field advantage, weather conditions, and specific matchups (e.g., how a team's defense matches up against an opponent's offense) can also lead to different outcomes in predictive models versus point spreads.
In summary, while both tools aim to assess the likely outcome of a game, they do so from different perspectives, leading to the potential for different favored teams.
 
I'm guessing you've either played sports at a high level, or are very close to someone who has. Are you a natural athlete yourself? (Or have been at some point in your life?)
If I ever write anything that's reflective of athletic reality, it came from observation, listening, and length of time playing rather than high level of play. Pretty sure I've got at least 3 years of eligibility left in every sport! (...and 4 years in women's volleyball--just sayin')

I played or ran everything, but basketball the longest, several times a week into my 50s. The closest I ever got to a high level (and I won't pretend I wasn't shocked and proud of it) was being approached by the coach of the basketball team that finished second to represent the USA in Senior Olympics. But I was two months too young to qualify for that season, and later that year tore my knee -- while demonstrating a shot in slow motion coaching 11 year olds! LOL--how the mighty have fallen!

Every game, every sport, every competition, is ripe for lessons that apply to normal life, or to improve performance in a specific endeavor. And that's why I observed and listened to coaches, former players, trainers, and ADs... to become a better teacher, coach, life coach, encourager, counselor, tutor, ...whatever opportunities came my way to influence younger people over the course of a lifetime. And that's been the real value of sports to me. Competitions are life in a microcosm, where you can experience the volitional and emotional demands of real life in a limited, artificial environment. Then step away, reflect, and plan how to improve.
-----
But as I age, I notice myself speaking from experience with maybe too much confidence (or not enough humility). So thanks for this opportunity to own what I am not--even while continuing to hide behind my avatar! 😉
 
Last edited:
[...]
Why does it have to be so darn long until our next game? That one game yesterday sandwiched between 18 days off is the most brutal schedule this obsessed fan has ever experienced. 😵‍💫
THIS!👆

Some of us (admitted beggars, possibly addicts) need to find video of the Western Carolina game to get us through this next gameless stretch!

1732745141278.png
 
If I ever write anything that's reflective of athletic reality, it came from observation, listening, and length of time playing rather than high level play. Pretty sure I've got at least 3 years of eligibility left in every sport! (...and 4 years in women's volleyball--just sayin')

I played or ran everything, but basketball the longest, several times a week into my 50s. The closest I ever got to a high level (and I won't pretend I wasn't shocked and proud of it) was being approached by the coach of the basketball team that finished second to represent the USA in Senior Olympics. But I was two months too young to qualify for that season, and later that year tore my knee -- while demonstrating a shot in slow motion coaching 11 year olds! LOL--how the mighty have fallen!

Every game, every sport, every competition, is ripe for lessons that apply to normal life, or to improve performance in a specific endeavor. And that's why I observed and listened to coaches, former players, trainers, and ADs... to become a better teacher, coach, life coach, encourager, counselor, tutor, ...whatever opportunities came my way to influence younger people over the course of a lifetime. And that's been the real value of sports to me. Competitions are life in a microcosm, where you can experience the volitional and emotional demands of real life in a limited, artificial environment. Then step away, reflect, and plan to improve.
-----
But as I age, I notice myself speaking from experience with maybe too much confidence (or not enough humility). So thanks for this opportunity to own what I am not--even while continuing to hide behind my avatar! 😉
Well that knee explains the bruised part!
 
After 5 games, here's where we stack up with different rating systems:
- Omni Ratings #12 (predicted 10-point favorite over Florida St., predicted 0-point favorite "over" Iowa - 51% odds of winning)
- Sonny Moore #12
- AMSTS #14
- Her Hoop Stats #14 (predicted 89-78 win over Florida St., 77-82 loss to Iowa)
- Massey #14 (predicted 79-72 win over Florida St., 74-80 loss to Iowa)
- RAMS #17
- RPI #21 (RPI strength of schedule #122)
- Bart Torvik #23 (predicted 85-83 win over Florida St., 78-80 loss to Iowa)
- Packard Power Rankings #24
- Warren Nolan ELO #28
- NET #30
Thank you! 🙏
 
  • Like
Reactions: travis929
If I ever write anything that's reflective of athletic reality, it came from observation, listening, and length of time playing rather than high level play. Pretty sure I've got at least 3 years of eligibility left in every sport! (...and 4 years in women's volleyball--just sayin')

I played or ran everything, but basketball the longest, several times a week into my 50s. The closest I ever got to a high level (and I won't pretend I wasn't shocked and proud of it) was being approached by the coach of the basketball team that finished second to represent the USA in Senior Olympics. But I was two months too young to qualify for that season, and later that year tore my knee -- while demonstrating a shot in slow motion coaching 11 year olds! LOL--how the mighty have fallen!

Every game, every sport, every competition, is ripe for lessons that apply to normal life, or to improve performance in a specific endeavor. And that's why I observed and listened to coaches, former players, trainers, and ADs... to become a better teacher, coach, life coach, encourager, counselor, tutor, ...whatever opportunities came my way to influence younger people over the course of a lifetime. And that's been the real value of sports to me. Competitions are life in a microcosm, where you can experience the volitional and emotional demands of real life in a limited, artificial environment. Then step away, reflect, and plan to improve.
-----
But as I age, I notice myself speaking from experience with maybe too much confidence (or not enough humility). So thanks for this opportunity to own what I am not--even while continuing to hide behind my avatar! 😉
Amen to the sports as a microcosm of life. Great post.
 
If I ever write anything that's reflective of athletic reality, it came from observation, listening, and length of time playing rather than high level play. Pretty sure I've got at least 3 years of eligibility left in every sport! (...and 4 years in women's volleyball--just sayin')

I played or ran everything, but basketball the longest, several times a week into my 50s. The closest I ever got to a high level (and I won't pretend I wasn't shocked and proud of it) was being approached by the coach of the basketball team that finished second to represent the USA in Senior Olympics. But I was two months too young to qualify for that season, and later that year tore my knee -- while demonstrating a shot in slow motion coaching 11 year olds! LOL--how the mighty have fallen!

Every game, every sport, every competition, is ripe for lessons that apply to normal life, or to improve performance in a specific endeavor. And that's why I observed and listened to coaches, former players, trainers, and ADs... to become a better teacher, coach, life coach, encourager, counselor, tutor, ...whatever opportunities came my way to influence younger people over the course of a lifetime. And that's been the real value of sports to me. Competitions are life in a microcosm, where you can experience the volitional and emotional demands of real life in a limited, artificial environment. Then step away, reflect, and plan to improve.
-----
But as I age, I notice myself speaking from experience with maybe too much confidence (or not enough humility). So thanks for this opportunity to own what I am not--even while continuing to hide behind my avatar! 😉

🧡 Gets my vote for Post of the Day.
 
The games for Richmond and Tulsa in Florida will be carried by Baller TV. The cost would be 44.85 as they make you buy a subscription and the least you can buy is three months. So a bad situation for us Lady Vol fans for those two games. I got a small preview and it appeared to be a very good quality stream, but they do not let you buy the one tourney for a price. They have different tiers with the price going as low as 7.95 a month but you have to buy a full year. Only place I know is streaming these games hopefully something else happens before December 21.
 
The games for Richmond and Tulsa in Florida will be carried by Baller TV. The cost would be 44.85 as they make you buy a subscription and the least you can buy is three months. So a bad situation for us Lady Vol fans for those two games. I got a small preview and it appeared to be a very good quality stream, but they do not let you buy the one tourney for a price. They have different tiers with the price going as low as 7.95 a month but you have to buy a full year. Only place I know is streaming these games hopefully something else happens before December 21.
I am actively looking for Baller TV black Friday deals or free trials. Has anyone seen anything like that anywhere?
 
  • Like
Reactions: krichunaka
I am actively looking for Baller TV black Friday deals or free trials. Has anyone seen anything like that anywhere?
For a limited time, you can use this promo code which would give you 20% off of any subscription purchase you make.Promo Code: ZDMAYA1

The gold yearly package is $239.40, and with the discount, it'll be $191.52. You can check all of our subscription packages here: BallerTV - Live Stream Youth Sports
 
  • Like
Reactions: LV renaissance
Well that knee explains the bruised part!
...unless the bruise was to my noggin, which would explain even more
------------
I'm feeling good now about this team facing higher quality opponents -- a thought which, of course, aggravates my BVS!

But I'm thinking we've faced most of the situations which challenged CKC's previous teams. We've overcome bad shooting nights by either forcing more turnovers✔️ or gathering more offensive rebounds✔️. We've had high scoring produced by different players✔️ so this team knows they're not one dimensional in that aspect.

All I can think of that we haven't experienced yet is playing on the road◽, and having to score under pressure -- both in a tight back-and-forth game◽, and on a specific, clock-factored possession◽.

My Big Orange pride wants that immediate dopamine hit from seeing this team vault into the Top 20 with blowout wins over FSU and Iowa! But that one, lone, delayed gratification brain cell says it would be better in the long run for us to experience success in some tight games before we begin conference play.

🤔 Like another "voice crying in the wilderness," I'm thinkin' that one brain cell has the right message for ultimate success. The national recognition will come as soon as we earn it. And with this schedule we'll have plenty of opportunities soon enough.
 
Last edited:
The surprising (and worrying to me) stat is that the LV's are 345th in opponent field goal percentage.
Not to worry, Jersey.🙂 Their percentage is not a factor when viewed in context with the shots attempted differential between us and and opponents. Opponents would have to shoot nearly 100% to make up the difference. That's why CKC has repeatedly said she doesn't worry about the random breakdown at the back end of their press. "That's gonna happen."

True Shooting Attempts (TSA) is usually derived from the formula: FGA + (FTA x 0.44) = TSA

Does anyone know of a stat service which tracks TSA differentials, either per game or totals season-to-date? I was looking for one before the season started, and didn't find one.
 
Here are some of the other relevant rankings in the national stats.

Steals #1
Turnover margin #2
Offensive Rebounds #1
Scoring Margin #9

With the addition of the #1 in scoring, that is an amazing tribute to CKC's system, at least so far. The defensive field goal percent is problematic, but the defense as a whole looked much better last game despite the scoring percentage. I imagine some of our stats will go down with the fierce competition that is upcoming, but that may be somewhat counterbalanced by our team getting more in synch with the system and with each other.
NCAA College Women's Basketball DI current team Stats | NCAA.com
 

VN Store



Back
Top