Simply put... and consistent with what I said concerning Fulmer, Dooley, and Jones... the "right" coach will win games that he "shouldn't" win.
yep. and there's probably 5 games that could qualify as such. 2 of which, i think are off the table, as you point out below. Auburn, USCe, WVU.
The roster issues he is addressing and the development problem isn't nearly the show stopper that some claim. Lots of teams including UT have gotten Fr ready to play with only a few months to coach them. The development "curve" is one of diminishing returns. IOW's, a guy who is "coached up" will see a lot of improvement quickly then the returns will diminish later in his development.
Admittedly it is that late development that turns a player from very good to championship caliber... but a lot of progress can be made early.
i think one thing that will help here is that this staff will rotate players unlike the last staff. development will get better. how much, how fast? we'll see.
The new coaching staff thing IS an excuse. If they can coach, they can coach.
Bottom line is that the right coach will produce more from the team than the sum of its parts. That's what the good ones do. That's what the bad ones, like Jones, can't do... in fact they do the opposite.
agreed. and i think we'll take some lumps, obviously, this season simply because of all 'the new'. it's been said here, and by many an analyst, first year coaches make mistakes. i remember kirby's clock management against us in 16 at the end of the game....was awful, and the only reason it isn't talked about more is because he got bailed out by their hail mary. then of course, we know what happened. but you go back and look at that game....yikes. i'm sure pruitt and co. will have a moment or two they'll learn from. as well.
My biggest concern is the layout of the schedule. There's a brutal stretch. If the team exits that stretch beat up and with many guys injured then those final very winnable games become a much more difficult prospect.
agree 100%. having the bye in between helps, but those 5 games in a row....whew. it does put "?" on the back end, for sure.
I would probably agree that from a pure talent and program maturity standpoint UGA, Auburn, and Bama are pretty much off the table. UTEP, Vandy, Mizzou, Charlotte, and ETSU give a baseline of 5 wins. IMHO, UK should be on that list too but that isn't an argument worth having at this point. That means Pruitt needs to win only one of the other winnable games to meet the expectations that you and others have laid out.
i gave it a bigger window, but yeah, i agree with this too. for whatever reason, i think that Auburn game is sneaky. but like you said above, a lot of this analysis, really depends on how we come out of that 5 game stretch. hard to be to analytical, other than to say you figure 0-3 against Bama, Aub, GA, and you figure 3-0 vs. ETSU, Charlotte and Utep. need to win any 3-4 of the remaining 6.
I simply disagree that should ever be the standard for a UT coach. They have to be better than "average". This seems to be a repeating argument. Jones' inability to make the most of his first roster proved to be a consistent theme.
yeah, i think most realize that the "adjusted" expectation is situationally based, not etched in stone for the long term.
the last thing i'll say about this season is that along with all the other unknowns we have, we also don't know what kind of positive impact the new comers will have. we're used to getting all the wrong answers to our unknowns. what the hell happens if we get some right answers??? i mean, it's June. it could happen.:thumbsup: