POLL: Texas @ Texas A&M

Which is better for the Vols?


  • Total voters
    324
  • Poll closed .
#52
#52
100% A&M win. It knocks Texas below us and we are guaranteed a hosting spot. Texas winning does nothing for us.
 
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#54
#54
Texas win.

aTm win and even at 9-3, in the eyes of the committee they could jump us in the polls and leave us out of the CFP.
Their only bad loss was USCe.

A 9-3 A&M isn’t jumping us even if they win. A Texas at 10-2 would fall below us as well. An A&M win + a UGA win in the SEC championship ensures us as the 2nd team in the SEC with home field advantage in the first round. Regardless the loser of the ACC championship game will probably still make the playoffs but fall below us anyways.
 
#55
#55
Much as I hate it, the best scenario for us is if Texas rolls down the lane knocking over pins. Knock over A&M, and they're not threat. Then knock over UGa, and they could drop a spot below us.

Ain't much we can do to get Texas out of the picture, but they can help a lot to maybe sweep the others away.

And: screw Texas!

Go Vols!
Texas beating A&M gives Texas that ranked win, unless A&M loses so badly that they drop from the top 25. If they have that ranked win, a loss to Georgia in the SEC Championship may not drop Texas below TN. In the case of Texas having a victory over still ranked A&M, we would need Georgia to lose the conference championship and hopefully drop Georgia behind TN.

The safest path for TN is if A&M wins out. Georgia and TX would both lose to a team ranked lower than TN and potentially drop both lower than the Vols. Another note to consider: If A&M wins the conference, do they stay below Miami, Boise State, Big 10, and BYU? We could be the highest ranked SEC program and get a home game by default.

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#57
#57
Texas A&M win would be better because that probably put A&M out unless they upset Georgia. Also idk if the committee would let a two loss Texas host which allows a higher chance of us hosting. Idk tho I could be wrong
 
#60
#60
Texas win.

aTm win and even at 9-3, in the eyes of the committee they could jump us in the polls and leave us out of the CFP.
Their only bad loss was USCe.
I guess you are forgetting A&M just lost to a horrible Auburn team lol. We have SMU, Indiana, and Clemson behind us. So not only are you saying that A&M would jump us but those other teams would jump us too. That’s not happening. The only way one of the ACC schools are jumping us is if they win the conference, which defaults them to the top 4 and wouldn’t knock us down because the lose would be ranked behind us too. An Indiana win over vaunted Purdoodoo is not going to do anything for them. If anything, Indiana might be the odd man out because they don’t have a quality win on the résumé. I could see all three of the ACC teams making it but 2 of them would be behind us. Even with Alabama dropping, that’s a better win than any of the other teams around us other than Georgia of course. If we win this weekend we are only moving up, not down. There is no scenario in which we win and get left out at this point.
 
#62
#62
Remote possibility with a Texas loss that they drop below us. It would set up the SEC title game as a probable elimination game for the other two. Of course it’s also possible texas just moves down into Georgia’s spot if they lose and Tennessee is still the first team out of a home seed in playoffs. Really need Notre Dame, Ohio state, or Penn state to lose imo to guarantee us moving up into a home playoff game.

The five seed and the sixth seed may be the two best positions to be in this format. Someone is going to get a team like Arizona St at home and then Boise or Miami in a bowl game. Oregon or Ohio State with the 1 seed may get rewarded with Tennessee, Texas or Georgia in their first game. 😂
 
#64
#64
If TEX wins and TEX beats UGA, I think UGA drops below us - 100% certainty GOOD
If TEX wins and TEX loses to UGA, I think TEX stays ahead of us - 90% certainty BAD
If TAMU wins and TAMU beats UGA, I think UGA and TEX drop below us, TAMU passes us - 100% certainty GOOD
If TAMU wins and UGA beats TAMU, I think TEX stays ahead of us or falls behind us based on whims of the CFP committee - 50% certainty BAD or 50% certainty GOOD, who knows
 
#65
#65

I said A&M because UGA would have a better chance of beating them in the SECCG, and I'd prefer to eliminate the possibility of Tennessee having to travl to Athens in the first round. No other potential playoff matchup concerns me.
But you also put us in trouble of being left out. See the forest not the trees.

A&M wins and low probability they drop Texas below us but A&M would move up. Then they beat Georgia and they are in Texas is in and we are at the mercy of the committee how they view a championship game loser....

Texas needs to win Saturday and then the SEC CG, that puts Georgia below us
 
#66
#66
TAMU. That’s if they win the SECCG as well. Causing the committee to choose to boot a 2 loss Texas with no good wins out or a 3 loss puppies team.
Or leave them both in since they will still be above us and drop us......
 
#67
#67
An A&M win over TX, combined with GA beating A&M in the SECCG, I believe gives us the best chance to host a first round game. Plus, I'd prefer not to have to play our first round game back at GA.
You are "hoping" a loss Saturday to A&M drops Texas below us......would rather not hope. A Georgia loss either Saturday or in the CG and they go below us and we host
 
#68
#68
Remote possibility with a Texas loss that they drop below us. It would set up the SEC title game as a probable elimination game for the other two. Of course it’s also possible texas just moves down into Georgia’s spot if they lose and Tennessee is still the first team out of a home seed in playoffs. Really need Notre Dame, Ohio state, or Penn state to lose imo to guarantee us moving up into a home playoff game.

The five seed and the sixth seed may be the two best positions to be in this format. Someone is going to get a team like Arizona St at home and then Boise or Miami in a bowl game. Oregon or Ohio State with the 1 seed may get rewarded with Tennessee, Texas or Georgia in their first game. 😂
Since Georgia is only 1 spots above us, why not Texas win Saturday and then in the CG, Georgia would drop below us and we would host. Easiest and most simple path to hosting. A 3 loss Georgia will not host a playoff game
 
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#69
#69
Since Georgia is only 1 spots above us, why not Texas win Saturday and then in the CG, Georgia would drop below us and we would host. Easiest and most simple path to hosting. A 3 loss Georgia will not host a playoff game
Georgia isn’t losing to Texas. They’re not losing to A&M either though.
 
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#70
#70
Georgia isn’t losing to Texas. They’re not losing to A&M either though.
This isnt about what we think will happen, this is about what is best for UT if it does happen.

Georgia wasn't losing to Ole Miss either......Bama wasn't losing to Vandy either.
 
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#71
#71
Or leave them both in since they will still be above us and drop us......
Can’t see UGA above us with 3 losses. May still be in the CFP. But have to drop some. And we would
Move passed Texas if they lost to #17 team
In the nation.
 
#72
#72
But you also put us in trouble of being left out. See the forest not the trees.

A&M wins and low probability they drop Texas below us but A&M would move up. Then they beat Georgia and they are in Texas is in and we are at the mercy of the committee how they view a championship game loser....

Texas needs to win Saturday and then the SEC CG, that puts Georgia below us
With us at 8 ahead of Indiana and ACC #2 I just don’t see how us getting jumped by A&M (a major stretch) would knock us out.
 
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#73
#73
With us at 8 ahead on Indiana and ACC #2 I just don’t see how us getting jumped by A&M (a major stretch) would knock us out.
Would have to make room for SMU(if they win) A&M (if they won SEC) Clemson, (if they win) Maybe Tulane....would rather not leave it to the whim of a committee.
 
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#74
#74
Would have to make room for SMU(if they win) A&M (if they won SEC) Clemson, (if they win) Maybe Tulane....would rather not leave it to the whim of a committee.
5 SEC + 3 Big 10 + 2 ACC + 1 Big 12 + 1 G5 = 12?

Who knows how it’ll play out. Let’s just hammer Vandy! 😁
 
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#75
#75
Wow, great discussion!

Here are my thoughts on the different scenarios concerning these 2 teams (there are 4). Disclaimer: These are all assuming the losing team of their conference game does NOT get punished for losing.


A&M Over Texas Week 14
A&M Over UGA in SECCG

  • A&M up to a position roughly 13-16 (not threatening Tennessee)
  • Texas drops right below us.
  • A&M makes the playoff.
  • A&M will be 4 or 12-seed
  • I do NOT expect UGA to drop below us as a result of losing the SECCG
  • We'd remain the 9-seed since neither UGA or Texas took a top-4 spot above us.
  • We'd play UGA at Athens in this scenario

A&M Over Texas Week 14
UGA Over A&M in SECCG

  • A&M up to a position roughly 13-16 (not threatening Tennessee)
  • Texas drops right below us.
  • UGA clinches 2 or 3-seed
  • We'd move up to the 8-seed since Texas dropped below us.
  • We'd host Texas at Neyland in this scenario

Texas over A&M Week 14
UGA over Texas in SECCG

  • UGA clinches 2 or 3-seed
  • I do NOT expect Texas to drop below us as a result of losing the SECCG
  • If they keep their position relative to other teams, they'd be the 6 seed.
  • We'd remain the 9-seed
  • We'd play Notre Dame at South Bend in this scenario

Texas over A&M Week 14
Texas over UGA in SECCG

  • Texas clinches 2-seed
  • I do NOT expect UGA to drop below us as a result of losing the SECCG
  • We'd remain the 9-seed
  • We'd play UGA at Athens in this scenario

Because of this, my opinion is that we no matter the scenario, we are 8/9. A&M winning this weekend gives us the only chance to host (unless something else crazy happens like Penn State/ND losing).

And I'll add that no matter what, we should root for UGA to win the SECCG because then we play an easier team in our first game (either Texas or ND).
 

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