Official Bracketology Thread

Looking at the matrix update yesterday...

5 seeds:
Michigan...still playing, trending up.
Gonzaga...not much upward potential given conference.
Ohio State...lost to PSU, trending down.
Kentucky...lost to UF, trending down.

4 seeds:
Arizona...beat Stanford, hanging around.
Texas Tech...1-1 this week, status quo.
Clemson...lost to Syracuse, trending down.
West Virginia...lost to Texas, trending down.


So my point being even if Tennessee was to lose their opening game who is taking their spot? Arizona seems like the only team with much of a chance, so with that said I would say it’s about 95% chance we are getting a 3 seed.

3 seeds:
Wichita State
Tennessee
Cincinnati
Auburn
 
I don't get why he changed us and auburn after yesterday. He has us above Cincy as well which does make sense to me

I’m not sure...MTSU did lose which is Auburn’s OOC best win, so maybe that bad something to do with it. Fwiw a lot of people have us ahead of Cincy.
 
Auburn and Tenn seem nearly identical to me. The difference woudnt be enough to balance any region imo

1 spot can make a difference. The committee has in its rules that of the top 4 seed lines, no region can be more than 5 combined seed values apart.
 
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Also, most of the odds I’ve seen for the SECT has us winning due in part to the top of the bracket being a little more difficult
 
My current s-curve:

1 - 1)Virginia 2)Villanova 3)Kansas 4)Xavier
2 - 8)Auburn 7)Purdue 6)N Carolina 5)Duke
3 - 9)Cincinnati 10)Michigan 11)MSU 12)Tenn
4 - 16)Florida 15)Zaga 14)TX Tech 13)WVU
 
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