Looking at the matrix update yesterday...
5 seeds:
Michigan...still playing, trending up.
Gonzaga...not much upward potential given conference.
Ohio State...lost to PSU, trending down.
Kentucky...lost to UF, trending down.
4 seeds:
Arizona...beat Stanford, hanging around.
Texas Tech...1-1 this week, status quo.
Clemson...lost to Syracuse, trending down.
West Virginia...lost to Texas, trending down.
So my point being even if Tennessee was to lose their opening game who is taking their spot? Arizona seems like the only team with much of a chance, so with that said I would say its about 95% chance we are getting a 3 seed.
3 seeds:
Wichita State
Tennessee
Cincinnati
Auburn