nah nah nah. you can't just assume Illinois automatically scores a TD on the final drive. sorry that's a no-go for me. If we get an interception or recover a fumble or stop them on 4th down which we did multiple times in that game then Tennessee wins the game.
If Gilbert hit his FG and Illinois was down by 4 points it was FAR from a gimme that they would have scores and TD.
but please let's not walk past the fact that Illinois didn't have to score a TD because they weren't down by 4 points.
Illinois won that game because their kicker executed a game winning field goal and our kicker didn't.
the scoop and score cost us 7 points BUT BUT it didn't HAVE to matter. we had a very easy chance for it not to matter one bit.
if Tennessee never got close enough to kick a field goal, then the scoop and score would have been a back breaker and completely change the outcome of the game but that's not what happened.
I’m just assuming the game played out the way it did because if you say “we lost by 2, therefore the missed FG lost us the game” that’s basically what you are assuming. TN didn’t get an interception, didn’t get a 4th down stop and Illinois DID have the ball 1st and goal at the 6 with 1:30 and TO. They “could” have done any of those things and prevented the GW FG drive. They didn’t.
If TN hits the FG, do we assume the game plays out exactly the same? Likely not. Maybe we never return the kick and never get that 4 point lead. But when you say that the missed FG cost us the game because we lost by 2, you ARE assuming all the things turned out the same that led us to the 4 point lead. So NOW you magically insert the interception or 4th down stop that DIDN'T happen?
Also, the scoop and score happened AFTER the missed FG. So whether we never got close enough to start with or missed the FG, the IMPACT of the scoop and score is EXACTLY the same. We didn’t have those 3 points either way. Take away those 7 points and everything else plays out the same, we are up 28-20 instead of 28-27 in the 4th quarter. Totally different game. Even with the missed FG. I think that DOES matter one bit. You say the TD isn’t a “given” with a 4 point lead. A TD AND a 2 point conversion is MUCH harder. In fact, take away the scoop and score and it’s IMPOSSIBLE to lose on the last drive. The worst that can happen is a tie. So we hit the FG and the scoop and score still happens a TD beats us. We miss the FG and the scoop and score never happens, it takes a TD and 2 point conversion just to tie. Scoop and score is more impactful.
So whether the FG was missed, or we never got to attempt it, the impact of the scoop and score is the same. A back breaker that completely changed the outcome of the game.
I can’t imagine a very likely outcome based on what DID happen but you can imagine one based on what didn’t?
IMO the scoop and score was the critical “one play. What ultimately “lost” the game was our defense getting pushed all over the field. They held the ball the last11:40 of the game. I don’t think we had a stop in us whether it was 1 point, 4 points or even 8 points. You’re going to blame a first half missed FG and all the “butterfly effects” from that.
Max is gone, Lance is gone Joey is gone and we have a bunch of new defensive coaches. Beat is beat. You’re not changing your mind and I’m not changing mine.
Let’s go watch basketball and hope we aren’t debating FTs, missed threes, missed layups or shoddy defense. I’d rather celebrate a win than pump more bullets into football’s dead corpse.