Iran

[EasternVol]

In 1990 there were less college graduates.

If you guys are losing at life, it’s not because of the system

Fewer. They can be counted. How many there were and are doesn't much matter.

 

[85SugarVol]

The average age of a first-time homebuyer was 27 in the year 2000. Now, in 2026, the average age of a first-time homebuyer is 40.

Young people today have delayed all of the major milestones.

They get married later.
They have children later.
They purchase homes later.

Much more interested in the “experiences”. They’ve told us as much time and again, in survey after survey.

 

[85SugarVol]

Of course we shouldn't wish for it, that goes without saying.

We just need to fix it. And if the masses would stop arguing over culture wars and pay attention to being raped by the billionaires things might start to change.

“Raped by the billionaires”… oh my!

Somebody tell all those millionaires out there to stop taking it bent over.

 

[Smokey123]

my 1200 squarefoot house built in 1959 cost me north of 300k. please tell me how my house got bigger or nicer somehow to justify the cost increase.

don't worry, I am sure you can explain to an architect how the same building got sooo much better.

some important caveats. I had to put in about 30k in improvements before I could even move in. Got asbestos removed, repaired damaged foundation, replaced the driveway, and replaced the wiring in about half of the house.

I have sense spent about another 30k in upgrading appliances, buying a new roof, and a number of other updates to get with the time.

When did you buy the house? After 2019?

 

[Smokey123]

The big thing isn’t even comparing today to the 90’s or even 00’s. Young people that were getting close to the age of buying houses literally saw house prices double basically over night after Covid

 

[MontyPython]

You desperately want to believe Iran is winning. I’m assuming so you can blame Trump. But it’s inaccurate.

Their own lack of military response is the evidence that they’re severely lacking in missile capability. If they had such great capability, they would have shown it by now.

Unless you're a mind-reader, you don't know what I believe. So I'll tell you...

I'm a realist. And realistically, we've entered a *war* - Trump's words not mine. As far as I can tell, Trump has not provided a clear rational for us entering this new war, nor has he provided a plan for the conditions upon which it is a "success" nor has he enlightened us with an exit strategy. This is a problem.

This isn't about Trump bashing. This isn't about wanting Iran to win the war. It's about being prudent when potentially entering a war (fail) and about owing the people that Trump works for (us) an explanation and a plan if he expects our children and grandchildren to die for such a war.

Trump has failed in this regard.

You are absolutely welcome to your own opinion that we're "winning" this war. There's plenty of evidence that we've blown up a bunch of Iran's weapons systems, ships, etc. But just like the "body count" yardstick in Vietnam, these things do not actually tell us if we will disengage this war on terms that best serve our country.

Wars are the means to a political end. But in this case, we don't know what that end is.

As I see things currently, we're stuck with a tar baby of our own creation. Iran has gummed up the oil production and shipment, and Trump has publicly offered no plan on how he'll fix it. Iran *owns* the Strait of Hormuz while our military is outside looking in... for now at least.

If Trump walks away from this war right now and declares "victory", tell me... what have we achieved?

(1) No regime change;
(2) Nuclear weapons program still intact;
(3) Oil shipments through Hormuz stuck until Iran chooses otherwise; and
(4) Iran can rebuild once the war is "over".

How is this a "success"?

 

[rikberry31]

You can't stop a country that has uranium deposits on their soil, from enriching it if they choose to do so; it's literally 80 year old technology at this point.

List of countries by uranium reserves - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

If Iran wanted to create a dirty bomb, they could just get some cobalt-60 from a junked x-ray machines, drop it in a conventional warhead, and detonate it somewhere over Israel. Even if an interceptor took it out, it would spread cobalt-60 all over the blast zone.

Samut Prakan radiation accident - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

A dirty bomb is no comparison to a fission bomb which pales in comparison to thermal nuclear {fusion) bomb. A dirty bomb is very localized and it is not like you can wipe a country off the map with it.
Besides if they ever did that their country would cease to exist.

 

[rikberry31]

You can't stop a country that has uranium deposits on their soil, from enriching it if they choose to do so; it's literally 80 year old technology at this point.

List of countries by uranium reserves - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

If Iran wanted to create a dirty bomb, they could just get some cobalt-60 from a junked x-ray machines, drop it in a conventional warhead, and detonate it somewhere over Israel. Even if an interceptor took it out, it would spread cobalt-60 all over the blast zone.

Samut Prakan radiation accident - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

Every American has the right to bear arms but psychos and felons are prohibited. Iran would be considered both.

 

[McDad]

The numbers I found are a little different but about the same, just note that it's closer to 5x for 2026. That's actually a big deal. Home would need to be about $50k-$90k less on average to be directly comparable. That's not nothing- especiallywith everything else involved,

Remember, nobody is buying a home in a vacuum.

Home size is also in play. 1996 1920 ft sq. 2026, 2150-2200 ft sq.

if we split the 2026 size and price, we get a price per SQ ft of $188.50.
Applying that to 1920 ft sq the equivalent price is $362,000.

It is interesting that birth rate is decreased but home size is increased. Full disclosure, I am focusing my investment on 2/1 and 2/2 homes.

 

[85SugarVol]

You can't see a fundamental difference in the world and government of the last 25 years compared to prior generations?


....ok.

You see a near future where we’re on the precipice of collapse, and Gen Z and Alpha are doomed to the soup lines?

…..ok.

 

[McDad]

The big four-oh: Typical age of first-time homebuyers hits record high

The age for a typical first-time homebuyer hit 40 for the first time in long-term tracking by the National Association of Realtors.

kval.com

Would not have expected that at all. Very surprising.

My anecdotal (my daughter, and my tenants who purchase their own home) is late 20s to early 30s.

 

[ButchPlz]

You see a near future where we’re on the precipice of collapse, and Gen Z and Alpha are doomed to the soup lines?

…..ok.

I see a future at some point where we have to pay for all we're doing. What generation gets to eat that **** sandwich?

If you think the course we're on is sustainable you're an idiot. Sorry.

 

[Ttucke11]

The big thing isn’t even comparing today to the 90’s or even 00’s. Young people that were getting close to the age of buying houses literally saw house prices double basically over night after Covid

Doubled cause you lazy bastards don't work and drink too much Starbucks.

 

[BeardedVol]

A dirty bomb is no comparison to a fission bomb which pales in comparison to thermal nuclear {fusion) bomb. A dirty bomb is very localized and it is not like you can wipe a country off the map with it.
Besides if they ever did that their country would cease to exist.

Which would cause them to be annihilated in a nuclear response from both Israel and the United States.

 

[Smokey123]

Doubled cause you lazy bastards don't work and drink too much Starbucks.

A friend bought a house in 2017 for 90k, sold it in 22’ for 250k. Another bought one early 21 for 110k and it’s worth 275k now. Both 1950 homes that were very outdated. It’s insane

 

[rikberry31]

Fake news bro, they were already destroyed.

Iran’s Nuclear Facilities Have Been Obliterated — and Suggestions Otherwise are Fake News

The world is far safer after President Donald J. Trump’s highly successful, decisive precision strikes against the Iranian regime’s key nuclear

www.whitehouse.gov

We destroyed their capacity to enrich uranium last year. We did not touch their stockpile of already enriched uranium or their missile program. They told us straight up that they had enough to make over 10 devices.

 

[85SugarVol]

"They just want too much."

"They just don't work as hard."

"They just need to do what we did."

"They simply don't want what we wanted."

Have they ever asked why these things are the way they are?

Wow… I wonder if those exact same sentiments have been directed from preceding generations at the succeeding generations in the past?

Silent at the Boomers
Boomers at X
X’ers at Millennials
Millennials at Z’s

Nah, prolly not…

 

[McDad]

Wait wait wait. Household income is only part of the equation here. I think our point before was about single incomes buying houses. How do we look at that?

It is still factored into the median. Household income is counted as such whether it is a one income household or multiple income household.

 

[rikberry31]

Which would cause them to be annihilated in a nuclear response from both Israel and the United States.

That is what I was saying. Their country would cease to exist.

 

[volfanhill]

Images taken near Iranian school hit in deadly strikes show fragments of U.S.-made missile

NBC News couldn’t independently verify where the fragments were found or when. Munitions experts said they appeared to be components of an American cruise missile.

www.nbcnews.com

 

[Ttucke11]

A friend bought a house in 2017 for 90k, sold it in 22’ for 250k. Another bought one early 21 for 110k and it’s worth 275k now. Both 1950 homes that were very outdated. It’s insane

I know man, people in here acting like 2020 and 2021 didn't happen. I bought my house February of 2020 right before the explosion.

I signed on the dotted line for 219K.

Zillow says my house is worth 398K exactly 6 years and 1 month later.

If I was 6 years younger I couldn't afford the house I'm in which is nice but not extravagant. You're right though the comparison isn't even 2000 to 2026 it's 2019 to 2026 almost doubling. Unsustainable.

 

[Vol8188]

Fewer. They can be counted. How many there were and are doesn't much matter.

Why wouldn’t supply matter when discussing wages?

 

[McDad]

Images taken near Iranian school hit in deadly strikes show fragments of U.S.-made missile

NBC News couldn’t independently verify where the fragments were found or when. Munitions experts said they appeared to be components of an American cruise missile.

www.nbcnews.com

I hope everyone posting propaganda that this was an Iranian missile will see your links and accept the disgusting truth.

 

[85SugarVol]

I think that is definitely within the realm of possibility.

Don’t worry, little. The sky is not falling.

 

[McDad]

I know man, people in here acting like 2020 and 2021 didn't happen. I bought my house February of 2020 right before the explosion.

I signed on the dotted line for 219K.

Zillow says my house is worth 398K exactly 6 years and 1 month later.

If I was 6 years younger I couldn't afford the house I'm in which is nice but not extravagant. You're right though the comparison isn't even 2000 to 2026 it's 2019 to 2026 almost doubling. Unsustainable.

This is why fiscal policy, borrowing and spending, matter. Perhaps even more so than tax rates.