Iran

MAD's post is literally a summary of how Carter messed up Iran. His handling of the hostage crisis was bad as well.

The October Surprise is just a conspiracy theory and isn't proven.
MAD's post is more what than how, and the writers of those tweets have their own agenda. What would have happened had Carter backed the Shah unconditionally?
 
We won't know. That is alternate history. There is probably a Youtube video out there that some alt history person has made about it.
He may not have played things so poorly. Had he backed the Shah there very likely would have been a successful and very bloody revolution to oust him, which wouldn't have helped us at all.
 
The best predictor of future behavior is usually past behavior. In all likelihood...

Iran will go right back to enriching, trying to build a device etc and Israel will beat the brakes off them AGAIN before Trump leaves office. 100% on Iran.

Hamas, Hezbollah, and Houthis will all continue to be funded and armed by Iran...and attacking Israel with rockets and terrorism. Israel will also beat the brakes off of them AGAIN before Trump leaves office. 100% on Iran and islam.

There is nothing new under the sun.
 

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