Question for the knowledgeable folks of the recruiting forum from a fella who rarely follows this aspect of the program:
With WRs Tate, then Inness, then Rogers all committing to Ohio State bang-bang-bang over three days, does that increase the chance that one of them starts to feel crowded and backs away from the commitment? And if so, could that one be Tate?
Thanks in advance for any insights. Go Vols!
You would think so JP, but it was probably all staged to happen that way. I'd say the coaches sold the players on making a big boom in the recruiting world by announcing their commitments the way they did.
Sooner or later some of those guys are gonna get a reality check. . . "great receivers already here, great receivers coming in our class, more great receivers coming next year and the year after."
It sounds good and macho to be included in a great receivers' room like that, but you have to start questioning some things. How hard is it going to be to see the field? Odds are extremely low for any individual to ever be the star wideout.
If they recruit like this for 4 years in a row, that's 12 blue-chip receivers in the same room, not including any surprise 3*s or transfers. At face value, you have less than a 10% chance of being the #1 guy. If you do become the #1 guy, your touches are also going to be limited, as they try to get everyone involved. They won't be able to, some will get pissy, some will leave. If you make just 1 mistake, watch out, someone's right there behind you. The coaches won't hesitate to replace you. After all, they are getting paid millions to, above all else, win and they have a whole room full of guys just like you or better.
I didn't do the math or know exactly how to, but. . . I would say the odds are much much greater that you'll be one of the disgruntled players who transfers than you are to ever be the #1 guy.
I think, at some point, this will sink into some of their heads and they'll sign elsewhere. They may not realize it til it's too late and be a transfer portal casualty after their 1st or 2nd year.