BYU

#26
#26
CAVPUT said:
After the last several seasons, this team shouldn't be looking past any opponent on the schedule. IMO, the BYU game is the most important game on the schedule. Win it and we gain a ton of confidence and it might be the springboard to a solid season. Lose it and we might get shaken as a team and fan base. Just might struggle to get 6 wins.
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So then the most important game is GSU, right?
 
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#32
#32
Not sure if this deserves it own thread but here goes.

It it Ty-son not Tys-on

Sorry, I just thought that other thread was funny. I mean, I usually don't pronounce the dashes.
 
#33
#33
Pretty good analysis below amd I think he's right about BYU sneaking at least one victory in their 1st 4 games. Hopefully it's tonight.

" Head coach Kalani Sitake saved his job by firing Detmer and I expect more improvement in 2019, as the Cougars found themselves a productive quarterback in Zach Wilson, who averaged 6.8 yards per pass play (although against teams that would combine to allow 6.9 yppp to an average QB) and ran for 345 yards on 48 runs (7.2 yards per rushing play) in his 7 starts as a freshman. Wilson capped off his season with a perfect 18 for 18 performance (for 317 yards and 4 TD passes) in the Cougars’ 49-18 bowl victory. Having extra time before that bowl game to prepare with the first team offense certainly helped and now Wilson has had the entire off-season to prepare for what should be a very good sophomore season.

That bowl game performance skewed Wilsons’ numbers upward so I used his median passing performance (0.4 yards per pass play worse than average) as a starting point for evaluating this season. Returning starting quarterbacks make the biggest jump in their sophomore seasons and BYU’s top 3 receivers return along with their top running back Lopini Kaloa (5.6 ypr). The Cougars also have 4 of their 5 starting offensive lineman back and added transfer running back Ty’Son Williams, who averaged a solid 4.8 ypr in two seasons playing in the SEC with South Carolina. BYU’s median offensive performance last season was 0.2 yards per play worse than average but I project the Cougars’ offense at 0.2 yppl better than average heading into this season with potential upside based on Wilson’s strong finish last season.

Defensively is where this BYU team really shines, as the Cougars return 8 starters to a unit that was 0.8 yppl better than average last season (4.8 yppl allowed to teams that would average 5.6 yppl against an average defensive team – adjusted for facing Western Michigan’s horrible backup QB in their bowl game, among other things). I actually expect slightly worse results from the defense because it’s unlikely that they’ll allow just 9.8 yards per completion as they did last season, but they should still be very good on that side of the ball.

BYU will be underdogs in their first 4 games (Utah, at Tennessee, USC and Washington) but they should win at least one of those games (I project 1.5 wins) and my ratings favor the Cougars in their final 8 games, including a home game against an overrated Boise State team (64% chance to win that game based on my ratings). Road games at Toledo, South Florida, Utah State, and San Diego State will be challenging but my ratings project 2.7 wins in those 4 games and BYU will be heavy favorites against Liberty, Idaho State and UMass."
 
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#34
#34
BYU played 3 ranked opponents last year they did upset Wisconsin, but in 2019 they only play Utah and Washington. Ok, they upset Wisconsin, their coaches lost if for them, statistically Wisconsin was passing and running on the Cougars. All of their losses were close except for Washington (35-7). Not knocking the team, but I think UT could have gone undefeated against that schedule............just my opinion. Statistics can be manipulated to look good, but you have to measure the strength and quality of the opponents...............just saying.

Go Vols!
 
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#35
#35
FlyFishnVol said:
BYU plays two ranked opponents last year and the same ranked opponents this year. All of their losses were close except for Washington (35-7). Not knocking the team, but I think UT could have gone undefeated against that schedule............just my opinion. Statistics can be manipulated to look good, but you have to measure the strength and quality of the opponents...............just saying.

Go Vols!
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We would've beaten Northern Illinois, perhaps Cal but lost to Wisconsin, who they beat in Madison. I don't think our record would have been much better than theirs against that schedule, honestly.
 
#36
#36
FlyFishnVol said:
BYU plays two ranked opponents last year and the same ranked opponents this year. All of their losses were close except for Washington (35-7). Not knocking the team, but I think UT could have gone undefeated against that schedule............just my opinion. Statistics can be manipulated to look good, but you have to measure the strength and quality of the opponents...............just saying.

Go Vols!
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LOL, no
 
#37
#37
SoddyAllVol said:
If they beat Utah and come into this game with some confidence...look out
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They could have all the confidence in the world. Wont help because they lack the speed and athleticism to be competitive against Tennessee and At Neyland.......Neyland Stadium...at night?

They never had a chance from the moment this game was penciled in. No shot.
 
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#38
#38
05_never_again said:
We would've beaten Northern Illinois, perhaps Cal but lost to Wisconsin, who they beat in Madison. I don't think our record would have been much better than theirs against that schedule, honestly.
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disagree, but that is ok, I think UT's depth in an SEC schedule is thin, against the BYU schedule.......we would have performed much better............jmo
 
#40
#40
Nationdom said:
They could have all the confidence in the world. Wont help because they lack the speed and athleticism to be competitive against Tennessee and At Neyland.......Neyland Stadium...at night?

They never had a chance from the moment this game was penciled in. No shot.
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I like your confidence
 
#42
#42
Nationdom said:
They could have all the confidence in the world. Wont help because they lack the speed and athleticism to be competitive against Tennessee and At Neyland.......Neyland Stadium...at night?

They never had a chance from the moment this game was penciled in. No shot.
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If it weren't for the last decade plus, I MIGHT believe you.
 
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#45
#45
Nationdom said:
They could have all the confidence in the world. Wont help because they lack the speed and athleticism to be competitive against Tennessee and At Neyland.......Neyland Stadium...at night?

They never had a chance from the moment this game was penciled in. No shot.
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This sounds like when people say WGWTFA and its Tn usually the ones GTAW. After the last 10 years its hard to take anything for granted. But I give an A for confidence
 
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