All things STOCKS

That is quite clever.

We do know the routine.

That was the good thing about Reagan. Was he acting or serious about star wars?


Knowing Trump and that he would not be able to stand the criticism, it was inevitable (and still is) that he will back down every time the going gets rough on the tariffs. The trigger always seems to be some prominent member of the GOP going on CNBC and saying "I'm no so sure about these tariffs" and within 12-24 hours Trump is walking it back.
 
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NVDA about to release, may the odds be in your favor. Guesstimate $138-141

Good run tomorrow if the numbers hit.
 
Knowing Trump and that he would not be able to stand the criticism, it was inevitable (and still is) that he will back down every time the going gets rough on the tariffs. The trigger always seems to be some prominent member of the GOP going on CNBC and saying "I'm no so sure about these tariffs" and within 12-24 hours Trump is walking it back.

Edit - Since this thread, Ill take poly spun out of it. Very similar to BAT he proposed and walked back from Term 1....
 
NVDA CEO should have kissed Trump's ass. He is the All powerful Wizard.
Will Trump bend again?
Meh, might be a buying opportunity.
Maybe I shouldn't be greedy?
 
You play a whole different game than me.

However, I am very familiar with PLTR.

Are you thinking their stock price goes up or down?

Do know enough to realize that may make no difference since you are only making a short-term trade.

I’m really not doing complex options strategies. There are only 4 basic positions. Buy or sell puts or calls. I’ve never opened a position by buying a put, although it can be used to in effect buy insurance against a downside move in a stock that you own. At some point I might consider buying puts against my biggest stock positions.

Selling a naked call is selling a call option contract when you don’t own the underlying stock. It’s extremely risky and I’ve never done that. It’s pretty much high speculation trading. Those that do it well can make a lot of money in a short period of time. However the profit has a cap and the losses are unlimited.

I now sell puts INSTEAD of just entering a limit order to buy shares of stock. If the stock price goes up I won’t own the stock, but the options then fall in value and I pocket the selling price of the option contract. If the stock price falls far enough, I am contractually obligated to buy the shares - but it’s at a discount after subtracting the cash that I collected when initially selling the options. Had I instead just entered a limit order to buy shares I’d also have bought the shares - but without the discount from selling the put contract.

Selling covered calls are similar, but with opposite variables, to selling the puts as just described. Instead of just entering a limit order to sell shares owned, selling the covered call gives me the selling price of the contract if the shares aren’t called away instead of getting nothing when a limit order to sell shares doesn’t execute. If the shares are called, I collect the selling price of the contract in addiction to the strike price for the shares as selected per the contract.

There are hours and hours of YouTube videos on these 4 basic options strategies. I haven’t touched saddles, spreads, rolling contracts, condors, etc. I’m using options contracts to enhance returns rather than as trading vehicles.

Palantir. I just can’t figure out what move to make next. The price-earnings ratio is crazy high. They need to grow considerably to justify 200x forward earnings. But doubling earnings 3 or 4 times makes the stock price much more palatable. I haven’t read an analyst’s report recently and don’t know for sure if there’s a deep moat with those shares. But I do think that they are kind of peerless. And what they sell makes their clients more efficient. Could cutting defense spending actually help PLTR since they create efficiency? Or do they get hit with across the board cuts to the defense budget? I’d hate to sell covered calls to peel off 1, 2, or 3% and watch the shares run up 50%. I suppose I’ll hang on to at least 25% of my position no matter what. But I’m totally undecided about letting go of 25% or 50% or some other percentage of shares right now. Sometimes some companies’ shares go up 5,000%, 10,000%, 50,000%, etc and it isn’t as uncommon or improbable as it might seem.
 
@Thunder Good-Oil


I value Mohamed El-Erian’s comments. One of the better CNBC commentators as far as I’m concerned. He’s not just a loud guest trying to get noticed. I haven’t had a chance to watch yet.

IMO the Fed might be too focused on the near term effects of using tariffs. I see them as an incentive to reset our position in geo-economics. Just something in the tool box to manage our economic, defense, and social interests. But I would like to see rate cuts sooner rather than later. Lower interest rates help with the deficit and can stimulate CapEx investment and consumer spending. But the tax policy of allowing immediate write off of CapEx rather than sticking that spending on balance sheets is probably more effective at stimulating that CapEx spending. But there’s also a potential near term hit to federal revenue from lower corporate income tax collections.

I’m not too worried about inflation at the moment. As long as oil is cheap.

I’m not worried about a recession. They happen once or twice a decade. If we get one soon, it won’t be long lasting and severe.
 
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I’m really not doing complex options strategies. There are only 4 basic positions. Buy or sell puts or calls. I’ve never opened a position by buying a put, although it can be used to in effect buy insurance against a downside move in a stock that you own. At some point I might consider buying puts against my biggest stock positions.

Selling a naked call is selling a call option contract when you don’t own the underlying stock. It’s extremely risky and I’ve never done that. It’s pretty much high speculation trading. Those that do it well can make a lot of money in a short period of time. However the profit has a cap and the losses are unlimited.

I now sell puts INSTEAD of just entering a limit order to buy shares of stock. If the stock price goes up I won’t own the stock, but the options then fall in value and I pocket the selling price of the option contract. If the stock price falls far enough, I am contractually obligated to buy the shares - but it’s at a discount after subtracting the cash that I collected when initially selling the options. Had I instead just entered a limit order to buy shares I’d also have bought the shares - but without the discount from selling the put contract.

Selling covered calls are similar, but with opposite variables, to selling the puts as just described. Instead of just entering a limit order to sell shares owned, selling the covered call gives me the selling price of the contract if the shares aren’t called away instead of getting nothing when a limit order to sell shares doesn’t execute. If the shares are called, I collect the selling price of the contract in addiction to the strike price for the shares as selected per the contract.

There are hours and hours of YouTube videos on these 4 basic options strategies. I haven’t touched saddles, spreads, rolling contracts, condors, etc. I’m using options contracts to enhance returns rather than as trading vehicles.

Palantir. I just can’t figure out what move to make next. The price-earnings ratio is crazy high. They need to grow considerably to justify 200x forward earnings. But doubling earnings 3 or 4 times makes the stock price much more palatable. I haven’t read an analyst’s report recently and don’t know for sure if there’s a deep moat with those shares. But I do think that they are kind of peerless. And what they sell makes their clients more efficient. Could cutting defense spending actually help PLTR since they create efficiency? Or do they get hit with across the board cuts to the defense budget? I’d hate to sell covered calls to peel off 1, 2, or 3% and watch the shares run up 50%. I suppose I’ll hang on to at least 25% of my position no matter what. But I’m totally undecided about letting go of 25% or 50% or some other percentage of shares right now. Sometimes some companies’ shares go up 5,000%, 10,000%, 50,000%, etc and it isn’t as uncommon or improbable as it might seem.
One of these winters, I shall perhaps learn the options game. In the summers, I'm quite passive. Grab a handful and check back on Halloween.

Palantir continues to have a huge moat. Are they worth three times more than Lockheed Martin....no.

But, despite the flurry of government 'cuts', both will continue to prosper IMO. Personally, if I owned shares in either company (I don't), then I would let them ride. Both groups should continue to rock with Russia acting a fool.

To your point, for a DoD type geared company, PLTR is definitely not one that you can measure with a traditional price-earnings ratio.

Good luck!
 
One of these winters, I shall perhaps learn the options game. In the summers, I'm quite passive. Grab a handful and check back on Halloween.

Palantir continues to have a huge moat. Are they worth three times more than Lockheed Martin....no.

But, despite the flurry of government 'cuts', both will continue to prosper IMO. Personally, if I owned shares in either company (I don't), then I would let them ride. Both groups should continue to rock with Russia acting a fool.

To your point, for a DoD type geared company, PLTR is definitely not one that you can measure with a traditional price-earnings ratio.

Good luck!

The PLTR market cap is about 2.5x LMT’s. Makes me even more anxious about holding PLTR shares.

A sock puppet company was once worth more than LMT. LMT puts **** into space and makes the most sophisticated weapons on the planet. Sometimes valuations are insane.

The Golden Dome would create more opportunities for LMT. Canada’s mad that they’re expected to contribute to the cost to develop it and bring it online.

Most options contracts expire worthless. It’s too much effort to buy them and having to stay on top of them to suit me. I can sell covered calls or sell cash reserved puts and forget about them. But I do watch when I have a limit order to close the positions - I try to stay ahead of the price decay instead of buying to close for too much.
 
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More than doubled my $$ with TSLA in the last 12 months. Great products, integrated throughout, industry disrupting company.
 
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