The fact you pencil in South Carolina as a loss is laughable. They beat us because the clock ran out last year. Thats a toss up at best.
South Carolina doesn't exactly have the toughest schedule this coming season. They didn't have a tough one last season and won 9 games, and yet this season's schedule should be even easier (replacing NC State in Charlotte for Coastal Carolina in Columbia).
I am not going to say that South Carolina "owns" Tennessee. I'm just looking at the qualifiers. Someone stated above that with Jennings and improved QB play UT would win the game last season. Well, with 10 kick-off returns for touchdowns UT would've won the game too - and scored 70+ pts while they were at it - but what is the point of saying this?
UT really struggled last season against the run. They had a solid pass defense rankings-wise, but that was thanks to the run defense: UT led the SEC in fewest opposing pass attempts but was dead last in most opposing rush attempts. Summary: no one bothered to pass the ball much, because they could run the ball all day.
But I am looking at the points for argument here: the game last season was played in Knoxville, which is always a tough place to play. It will be in Williams-Brice this season, so advantage there goes to USC. Also, the Gamecocks' top rusher, Rico Dowdle, broke his leg in the game last season on his 4th carry of the game. That impacted the Gamecock's offense a bit, even though they still rushed for nearly 200 yds. They came in with a gameplan of running the ball - Bentley only threw 24 passes but completed 15 of them, they were just short out-routes and dump-offs. Can't expect that this season with the depth at WR for them.
And that doesn't include the fact that USC was already without their top WR and offensive player Deebo Samuel, who was lost for the season in Game #3 against UK. So would the argument still be the same if UT had Jennings, but USC gets to have Dowdle AND Samuel, AND play the game on their home field? That is what my thought process involves. And that's why I don't have UT beating USC this season.
As I already said, the 4 game run for UT involving UGA, AU, UA, and USC is 3 road games plus 1 home game, which is Bama. UT could very conceivably be 0-3 after the first 3 games, heading into Williams-Brice against USC. USC likewise has UGA in the 2nd game of the season, and that will be a tough game: it's in the top 2 toughest contests IMO for them this season, after Clemson of course.
After UGA they have Marshall, Vandy, and UK in Lexington. As much as USC has "owned" UT lately, UK has "owned" USC, and it will be a tough road game. USC very well could lose this game if they have UK in their heads.
But after UK, USC has 3 straight home games against Missouri, Texas A&M, and Tennessee. If USC's OC and offense struggles, they could have 3-4 losses by the time the Vols come to town. I'm guessing they will be 5-2, but either way, it will be a home team that's been playing home games for nearly a month, versus a road team that's coming into town after going through a meat-grinder of a 3-game stretch.
IMO, there's just too many factors favoring USC in this game this season. Thing is we get to find out for real later on....