First, I have no idea what Lewis' NIL deal is, and I have no idea what it compares to the others.
Second, I could get more on board with what you're saying if it wasnt OSU. You're talking one of the three best programs in the country. That itself alone can cancel out ALL of the positives you laid out, going for UT.
We did host Hiter more than anyone. I thought we'd land him, was shocked we didnt. However, Michigan won the NT just two years ago, and has beaten OSU the last 4 or 5 seasons. Stuff like that goes a very long way, just like sucking for over a decade does. Some want to believe the stench of suck can go away easily, but it doesn't. We need to win the SEC Championship or National Championship to be TRULY considered in that top tier league with a OSU or Bama or UGA. We're right there, knocking on the door...but, I dont believe we get in until we win a championship of some kind, or are consistent playoff players.
Lastly, I no longer look at the portal as no bigger gamble than HS signees. Elite talent both places, and we are VERY GOOD at spotting it in the portal.