I'm not disagreeing at all or defending the Administration whatsoever. But one thing I've really wondered about lately is... since then, considering how many different programs have had to replace coaches, how many of the "sure fire" "slam dunk" "throw all the money in the world at" hires actually panned out vs those hires that were more "roll of the dice". I don't know the answer but it does seem like very few coaches since then have turned out to be "awesome hires" anywhere. The number of Smarts, Swinney's, Fisher's and certainly Saban's is pretty tiny and even the mythical "Saban tree" has been a major hit/miss situation. Heck, I thought Mullen was gonna kill at Florida... and so many of the coaches we supposedly lost out on, Frost, Brohm, etc. who were the ones we "had to throw money at" haven't done much of anything. I don't know. Just wondering.
When I go back and look through the last 20 some-odd years of college football, there are only a couple of "slam dunk" hires that have actually worked out. When I consider a hire a "slam dunk" that means someone that has had high levels of sustained success in college or in the NFL.
* Jim Harbaugh - fantastic college record, completely built Stanford into a powerhouse (that faded away) and had high levels of success in the NFL. He's been at Mich for 7 years and just NOW is starting to show something. 3 10-win seasons in 6 years and 1 losing one. Michigan has more patience for him, likely due to his past success and him being a MiChIgAn MaN.
* Nick Saban (at Alabama, not LSU) - fantastic college record, found out NFL wasn't for him. Doubled at-the-time highest college coach pay at $4mil/year.
There are a LOT of "good" to "slam dunk" hires that just haven't worked out or aren't worth the money they were paid given their "blockbuster status" at time of being hired:
* Chip Kelly - This is a big one. I thought he'd dominate at UCLA. Better location than Oregon and with his past success not only at Oregon but also a good record (anything above .500 in NFL is good IMO) in the NFL, I thought he'd retake a dormant PAC-12 and turn UCLA into what USC was under Carroll.
* Jim Mora - Another UCLA failure. Guy had a .542 record at Atlanta in the NFL and, again, if you can win .500 in the NFL you should be able to win .700 in college with a MUCH weaker schedule. Didn't work out.
* Justin Fuente - took a bottom-feeder Memphis program and got them to 10 wins in their 2nd year in the AAC and then 9 wins the next. Built the program. Thought he'd do really well at Virginia Tech. Didn't work out.
* Tom Herman - 22-4 record at Houston. Fired after 4 years at Texas with a 32-18 record, 4 bowl wins, 3 Top 25 finishes.
* Charlie Strong - 37-15 record at Louisville with 23-3 in his last 2 years. Fired after 3 years at Texas and a 16-21 record.
* Scott Frost (JURY STILL OUT) - 19-7 record at UCF with a 13-0 record in his last year. So far 15-29 at Nebraska. Likely would be doing better if his school didn't sell out for money and go to the B1G where wins are definitely harder than the Big-12. Could turn it around.
* Willie Taggart - overall record isn't that good, but if you look you'll see improvement every year. Took an 0-12 WKU team to 7 wins in back-to-back years by years 2/3. Took a 3-9 USF team to 8 and then 10 wins in year 3 and 4. Connections in Florida, thought he'd do well for FSU. Fired after 2 years and a 9-12 record.
* Dan Mullen - I think Florida shot themselves here. He had a good record at a VERY hard place to win.
* Jimbo Fisher (JURY STILL OUT) - Went to A&M with a 83-23 record, 3 conf titles and 1 national title. So far he's failed to turn in anything resembling the success that A&M thought they bought. 9-4/8-5/9-1*/8-4. *Their only good win was against an 8-4 Florida team. All other SEC wins were against teams with a losing record.
Most hires are like ours... they don't work out. Otherwise the most successful players right now are Coordinator-to-HC guys (Day, Riley, Smart) that inherited good situations and improved them in a somewhat weak competition field. Day had to deal with a stumbling Mich team under Harbaugh and James Franklin who is the new Big Game Bob. Otherwise the B1G isn't exactly a powerhouse... though they're tougher than the Big-12. Riley inherited the top program in the Big-12 and just kept it rolling. Smart tookover when Florida/Tenn were still wallowing in their own filth and has done what everyone in the SEC-E has failed to do: win an SEC title.
Swinney was unproven but was given time. Nowadays he'd be fired in Year 3 for his 6-7 year. Brian Kelly has made himself an INCREDIBLY rich man by winning a bunch of pointless games and then being embarrassed on the national stage against a quality opponent.