The Atlanta Braves - Hello darkness my old friend

#77,003
#77,003
zjcvols said:
The Braves bought out four FA years. Betts has been a 42 WAR player over six years. Let’s just say Acuna becomes one of three best players in baseball and averages 7 WAR over the next five years (so 35 WAR) and his best season would be 2024 (when he was scheduled to become a FA)

Betts just got $365M. Acuna will get $123M over the next nine years (including this one) and it is a 10/$124M contract. Acuna would have gone into his age 27 season as a FA. Now Acuna is scheduled to go into his age 31 season as a FA. Let’s say he is really good, and he gets an 8 year/$160M contract (and that is aggressive at 31 years old). So that’s $284M.

He would have had four arbitration years. Considering how aggressive arbitration is becoming, I’d say he would estimate to make $65M (Betts was scheduled to make $27M this year).

Assuming COVID goes away and with the new postseason money and general inflation (and Trout/Mahomes crossing the $400M) mark, I don’t think it’s crazy to suggest Acuna could get (being so young) 12 years/$400M.

You take his $400M and his arb years...

Acuna potential deal: $465M
Acuna current deal plus estimate $160M: $284M
Click to expand...
If you look at raw totals, Acuña and Betts are going to make roughly the same thing in the first 6 years, so that’s a wash. I see what you’re doing now in projecting the next contract. You’re right that he could take a hit on the next deal because he’s doing it at 31 instead of 27, but it’s hard to project what the economics will even be then and whether he’s elite or just really good at that point. Either way, hard for a 21 year old to walk away from generational type wealth.
 
#77,004
#77,004
zjcvols said:
Jesus looking back at some of the Braves young guys and their innings and the organization simply did not care. Julio threw 221 IP in 2014 at 23 years old and we were out the race by September
Click to expand...
Worst ever was Steve Avery. Dude was washed by 24.
 
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#77,019
#77,019
Had the Cubs kept all their position player prospects, they could have rolled out a lineup this year like this

2B Gleyber Torres (128 OPS+)
3B Kris Bryant (131 OPS+)
1B Anthony Rizzo (137 OPS+)
SS Javier Baez (113 OPS+)
RF Jorge Soler (138 OPS+)
DH Kyle Schwarber (120 OPS+)
C Willson Contreras (125 OPS+)
LF Eloy Jimenez (117 OPS+)
CF Albert Almora Jr. (66 OPS+)

With Jason Heyward, Ian Happ and David Bote off the bench 🥵🥵🥵
 
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