I just think the next 12 months or so are just gonna be a roller coaster. We'll have a bunch of stops and starts. It'll probably be more of a regional, state or city thing than a full blown national movement. Ultimately, there's still so much we don't know. All the figures and stats thrown out by everyone in here are bound to change as we learn more. I'm ready for much more in-depth American data, so we don't have to rely on suspect Chinese data.
While my thoughts on the severity of the disease mirror SSVol, we just couldn't stop America from running for the time that we need to make a real dent in this disease. I think a lot of you thinking this is basically moot or completely overblown will have a different tune a year from now. We all want to be optimistic because we're all scared and stir crazy. I think expecting college football this fall is still a bit of sunshine pumping. I just don't think we're (a) gonna have a consistent period of few infections longer than a month or (b) a testing system robust enough to test every player each week in the D1.
The pros can easily control and afford to put measures to play and protect their players, but as soon as any university or college cancels in-person classes, those game are cancelled with it. It won't take many dominos to fall. No university or entity wants to be viewed as being negligent in safety measures that end up with students or student athletes dead in a dorm room from covid-19.
I want all sports back as badly as any of you (with the exception of baseball, just don't care for it). I'm just not sure it's gonna happen, even if they ban fans from attending.