Latest Coronavirus - Yikes

#18,127
#18,127
Orange_Vol1321 said:
We need an immediate five-week national lockdown to defeat coronavirus in America


I am an MIT-trained physicist and complexity scientist who studies pandemics. I have warned about global pandemics due to increasing travel for 15 years. I recommended community based monitoring of symptoms to stop Ebola in West Africa in 2014, and it worked. The fastest and even the only way to contain COVID-19 in the United States is a five-week national lockdown.

The human and economic costs of delaying this lockdown will be staggering. The COVID-19 outbreak has many more cases now than are visible (tip of the iceberg) and they are growing rapidly. Absent sufficiently effective intervention, new cases will increase 1.3 to 1.5 times each day. We had almost 20,000 cases in the United States on Friday, over 5,800 more cases than the previous day. Without a lockdown, in one week there will be about 200,000. In two weeks: 2,000,000. One in seven cases require hospitalization and 5% require ICU care with ventilators to survive. There aren’t nearly enough ventilators available.
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This nut job should have his degrees revoked.
 
#18,131
#18,131
hUTch2002 said:
Understood. China’s rates are declining though so that seems way too high. Plus, wouldn’t all of the actions taken have an impact on that number?
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Depends on when she made that video. At the time she made it, were these restrictions in place?

She didn't just pull these numbers out of her arse. There were plenty of people talking about over 100 million cases and over 2 million deaths.
 
Last edited:
#18,132
#18,132
Orange_Vol1321 said:
We need an immediate five-week national lockdown to defeat coronavirus in America


I am an MIT-trained physicist and complexity scientist who studies pandemics. I have warned about global pandemics due to increasing travel for 15 years. I recommended community based monitoring of symptoms to stop Ebola in West Africa in 2014, and it worked. The fastest and even the only way to contain COVID-19 in the United States is a five-week national lockdown.

The human and economic costs of delaying this lockdown will be staggering. The COVID-19 outbreak has many more cases now than are visible (tip of the iceberg) and they are growing rapidly. Absent sufficiently effective intervention, new cases will increase 1.3 to 1.5 times each day. We had almost 20,000 cases in the United States on Friday, over 5,800 more cases than the previous day. Without a lockdown, in one week there will be about 200,000. In two weeks: 2,000,000. One in seven cases require hospitalization and 5% require ICU care with ventilators to survive. There aren’t nearly enough ventilators available.
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I am not a MIT trained physicist, nor am I a complexity scientist; however, in two weeks we'll see if you are correct or full of BS. I for one hope you are wrong, in fact, I am willing to man-up. I am stating you will be wrong, you have failed to take into account many of the complex parts of this situation.
 
#18,139
#18,139
Rasputin_Vol said:
Dpend on when she made that video. At the time she made it, well of these restrictions in place?

She didn't just pull these numbers out of her arse. There were plenty of people talking about over 100 million cases and over 2 million deaths.
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Good point. I didn’t think about that. Hey, my bad on being a jerk to you. From your prior posts I’ve read over time you seem like a pretty level headed dude.
 
#18,140
#18,140
Orange_Vol1321 said:
We need an immediate five-week national lockdown to defeat coronavirus in America


I am an MIT-trained physicist and complexity scientist who studies pandemics. I have warned about global pandemics due to increasing travel for 15 years. I recommended community based monitoring of symptoms to stop Ebola in West Africa in 2014, and it worked. The fastest and even the only way to contain COVID-19 in the United States is a five-week national lockdown.

The human and economic costs of delaying this lockdown will be staggering. The COVID-19 outbreak has many more cases now than are visible (tip of the iceberg) and they are growing rapidly. Absent sufficiently effective intervention, new cases will increase 1.3 to 1.5 times each day. We had almost 20,000 cases in the United States on Friday, over 5,800 more cases than the previous day. Without a lockdown, in one week there will be about 200,000. In two weeks: 2,000,000. One in seven cases require hospitalization and 5% require ICU care with ventilators to survive. There aren’t nearly enough ventilators available.
Click to expand...

Wait a minute. hat did this guy (and others like him) predict when we had several ebola cases here in the US a few years ago?
 
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