You lie so much you can't keep them straight. Be real.
I do not lie. I have been incorrect and when people have shown me REAL reasons to prove it... I'm one of the few guys here who apologized and owned their mistakes rather than leaving or changing their screen name. You... are a fundamentally dishonest person.
Not projections, it was based on performance the year before.
Well even if true... that is by definition a "projection". But it is only marginally true. His "numbers" were not as good as they appeared within the context of how effective the O was. They assumed he would make a big leap forward. He did not in his most critical weaknesses. That's why by game 5... Pruitt was ready to call the year long investment in building him up sunk costs.
The same criteria they are using for the ranking you are touting now. You love it now that you think it backs you up.
That's either a stupid statement or a dishonest one. One was a prediction. The one I cited is actually measured performance. I know why you want those to be the same thing... but they aren't.
Second year of system like JG also takes a big jump.
The things that hold JG back have nothing to do with the "system" or not knowing it. JG actually demonstrated a pretty good mastery of the "system". It was making consistent, timely reads and then anticipating throws that kept coming up and biting the Vols. Not a lack of effort. Not a denial that he does some things well. Just a realistic acceptance that he has demonstrated some limitations that have and will continue to hurt the effectiveness of the O. Weaknesses that especially hurt in the red zone. Weaknesses that have prevented him in 3 years from leading an O to more than 30 points against an FBS opponent.
Many take a huge jr to Sr leap.
Name the 3 year starter RS Sr who has overcome a problem like the one plaguing JG in their last year. I don't think you will find that guy. Burrow improved dramatically... specifically because they gave him a different offensive system... not because they kept one.
Many also take a big fr to sph leap. If they both develop at a realistic rate BM is far behind once again.
You are lying to yourself... again. This parallels weight training with new players. The greatest increases are always seen early. After a relatively brief time, a guy starts to bump up against his innate limitations. Gains are incremental.
BM never once beat out JG for the job.
You are deluding yourself. Like I said, you are a fundamentally dishonest person. When a health player is benched in favor of his back up... he's by definition been beaten out. They were VERY happy with BM's performance and made no secret about it. They saw a guy failing... but failing because he was pushing rather than holding back. Then he got injured.
JG played average so they tried someone else.
That's ridiculous. He didn't play "average". He played poorly. They lost two games that should have been wins and Pruitt SPECIFICALLY cited poor QB play as the critical factor.
BM happened to be the better of the two backup options.
He was the considered the lesser of 3 "evils". He wasn't ready. He wasn't all that close to being ready. But JG was so bad that they started him anyway.
JG was better as a freshman by a million times. BM would need to improve a ton to reach JG as a freshman.
Nope. That's plain stupid... and I'm not proclaiming BM "great" or anything of the sort. You cite "stats"... except for those that provide real context and prove you WRONG. JG didn't move the O. He didn't throw INT's because he didn't take the necessary chances. He took sacks SPECIFICALLY because he was one of the worst in the SEC in holding the ball. Those sacks coupled with his unwillingness or inability to push the ball down field... made for one of the worst O's in UT history.
Bm had a terrible sack rate as well 4th worse of anyone who threw a pass in the SEC last year. And I guess Joe Burrow is terrible with his 33 sacks last year.
His sack rate was 8%... not too far behind JG at over 6%. As a RS Fr, JG took at least 31 sacks vs 139 attempts... for a pretty "amazing" 22%.
Your continuing "lie" in calling JG a "freshman" is noted. He was a red shirt freshman with a full year in the "system" before he took over. Maurer had been in the program about 2 months.
JG 86/139 61.9%
BM 35/75 46.7%
Parsed numbers. I have shown you MANY times why you cannot look at the numbers honestly like this. You have to compare same game performances. Maurer's performance in trash time vs UTC hardly compares to JG's play with the 1st team in '17.
JG 997 yards 7.2 ypa 7.1 a/ypa
BM 541 yards 7.2 ypa 4.7 a/ypa
JG 997 yards, 11.6 yd per completion
BM 541 yds, 15.5 ypc... very literally one guy pushed the ball downfield while the other threw ineffective passes to check downs or took sacks.
JG 4 tds 2ints
BM 2tds 5ints
If Maurer in his SECOND year doesn't do better than JG in his SECOND year with comparable playing time... you have a point. Maurer wasn't ready. No one that I know of his argued that he was. He played because JG was an even worse option at that point.
JG 128.7 qb rating
BM 102.7 qb rating
If that translated to points and wins... then you'd have a point. But in reality it reflects nothing except a too cautious QB who did not effectively move the O. Maurer made a TON of freshman mistakes. But when he did it "right" it looked like it was supposed to. The O moved up and down the field. It is insane to claim that the QB that led UT's O to the anemic performances over the last 7 games of '17... is anything but a failure.
JG 9 appearances - 3 games with a passing td, 2 games threw an int, 6 games 100 or above qb rating, 7 games 55% or better passing
BM 8 appearances- 1 game with td, 4 games throwing ints, 2 games over 100 qb rating, 2 games 55% or better passing
BM has to improve a ton to reach JG even as a freshman.
JG was 1-6 as a starter. JG could not move the O and led them to one of the worst scoring O performances in UT history. Statistics are only useful in the context of reality... of what they actually accomplish. Ask most coaches which guy they would have preferred working with assuming both guys stayed healthy... and it will always be the one who pushes.... not the one who plays scared.