LouderVol
Extra and Terrestrial
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- May 19, 2014
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trying to find the source that said it was 5k a month.Where do you get that it's 60k? The link below says 17k transplants per year, and 3k monthly added to wait lists, so that's somewhere in between 36k and 53k per year.
Fewer people would mean it's harder to find matches. We have more people, thus more potential matches.
The market is great at matching sellers with buyers. If the supply doesn't match demand, then price goes up and more donors enter the market. This very simple mechanism works in every industry across time, so why wouldn't it work here?
As I said, I have a price. Almost everybody has a price.
Organ Donation and Transplantation Statistics
but if my 60k is correct we have 40x the number of transplants needed. but only 4x the population. so we have 10x the problem.
even if its your low end 36k that is 25x the number of transplants needed vs the 4x, so we are down to 6x the problem they have.
*edit
well I can't find anything with the 5k a month, so I will concede the 60k.
the reason I don't think it will work is trying to match a finite rate of donors with an increasing rate of those in need. Just because something works at a much smaller scale, 6x, doesn't mean it will work at the larger.
and I think our existing health conditions make us worse candidates for donating that what the Iranians face. Heart disease, diabetes, even high blood pressure can remove you from the potential donation list. All told there are more than 100 million Americans with those conditions, thats probably not unique cases and might double a triple count some people. but you are removing a significant chunk of your base. then you add cancer and everything else that can remove you from the list and the potential is relatively low.
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