2018 Midterm Election Thread

You claimed to be leading horses to water. Then lead. All you have to do is state your argument and show how I'm misrepresenting instead of parrying like a coward.

First bolded: I haven't missed that. I've agreed that religion is recognized as a factor/motive. As a matter of fact, I've attributed that to you in that we agree that religion is apparently a motive that produces more charitable people. The second and third bolds are an extension of your logic if you disagree with that.

You're all over the place. I attribute to you that we agree that conservatives are more generous and it's because religious motives produce more charitable people. You disagree and tell me that's not what you mean. I ask you to explain, because the only other logic is that religious charity somehow doesn't count. You deny that's the point you are trying to make.

So, again... Treat me like the idiot you think I am. Tell me what argument you're actually trying to make. Either:

(1) Conservatives are more charitable and it's by and large a religious worldview that contributes to the delta between conservatives and liberals. We should recognize that religious worldview in action.

Or

(2) Conservatives appear more charitable, but that not actually true because religious charity doesn't count in the same way that "actual" charity counts.

Those are the two options I see. You've disagreed with both. OK. I'm giving you your opportunity to clarify, as I'm not trying to misrepresent you at all. State what you're actually arguing.
I'm taking a pass.
Just your first comment alone is more proof. I didn't say you failed to recognize it as a motive. I said you accused me of saying it shouldn't be included, which was 100% wrong on your part, and you don't even acknowledge that point.
I'm enjoying watching the election returns come in.
 
I'm taking a pass.
Just your first comment alone is more proof. I didn't say you failed to recognize it as a motive. I said you accused me of saying it shouldn't be included, which was 100% wrong on your part, and you don't even acknowledge that point.
I'm enjoying watching the election returns come in.

I've actually said both and you've disagreed with both. It's one or the other, Luther. I'm not surprised you're taking a pass. It's your cowardly MO. Make stupid statements. Make stupid inferences. Turn yellow. Tuck and run.

You be you.
 
I'm watching Mayans. Anyone got a succinct update? Red wave? Blue wave? Abandoning capitalism in favor of socialism?
 
538 has real time odds of control in each chamber - GOP in Senate is over 95% with a +2 gain; Dems in House is 75% with a +31 gain. The GOP likelihood in the Senate has gone up; the Dem likelihood in the House is down a bit.

Edit: just updated again and Dem projection moved to 30 from 31; started at 33 a few minutes ago.
 
Dang - House forecast from 538 just dropped to 67% chance Dems win control with 28 pickups - that's down 5 in the last 10 minutes
 
538 has real time odds of control in each chamber - GOP in Senate is over 95% with a +2 gain; Dems in House is 75% with a +31 gain. The GOP likelihood in the Senate has gone up; the Dem likelihood in the House is down a bit.

Edit: just updated again and Dem projection moved to 30 from 31; started at 33 a few minutes ago.

Looks like Donnelly is sucking air in Indiana. But maybe that's just because we're waiting on metro areas to report.
 
I at least hoped we'd get all UAB and UAH people but one of my fellow faculty members cancelled my vote - didn't know what the Amendment was about.

How about Amendments 1 & 2 - only in Alabama would you see something like that.
I couldn’t vote for amendment 2 because it’s so poorly written and they need to rework it to allow certain things.
 
Blue wave hitting the undertow.

538 has less than 5% chance GOP loses Senate. House stabilizing at 68% chance Dems win (down from about 85% prior to results coming in).
 
I couldn’t vote for amendment 2 because it’s so poorly written and they need to rework it to allow certain things.

I laughed at them and ignored them both. #3 was all I cared about. I see they already called it for Kay. Sounds morbid bet I'm betting Ainsworth gets her job before the term is up.
 
Holy sheep dip - House forecast down to 24 pickups (23 is minimum needed) and Dems with 52.6% chance of taking control.

Tears are forming.
 
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