Ok, so this is kind of my preseason prediction, tiering of opponents, and whatever post:
Tier of Opponents: This is the CURRENT position of each program, based on talent and projected win totals, IMO. If I see a clear pecking order within the tier, I will list it as such. Otherwise, it gets a /
1. Alabama
__________________________
2. Auburn / UGA
__________________________
3. West Virginia
South Carolina
Mizzou
__________________________
4. Florida / Kentucky
__________________________
5. Vandy
__________________________
6. Charlotte / UTEP / ETSU
Preseason Prediction vs. the tiers:
I basically hate preseason predictions, because if two QB's go down against WV, or some equivalent, everything is slaw, but based on what we know, which is not much, here is may very early take:
Tiers 5 & 6: Vandy and Cupcakes
Need 4 wins out of 4 games. Chances... 85%
Tier 4: Florida and KY... (Tennessee is currently in this tier)
2/2 would be solid work - 50%
1/2 - 30%
0/2 - 20%
Tier 3: WV, SC, Mizzou
0/3 30%
1/3 is my expectation 35%
2/3 is a bonus 25%
3/3 is outstanding 10%
Tier 2: Auburn & UGA
0/2 85%
1/2 13%
2/2 2%
Tier 1: Alabama
0/1 95%
1/1 5%
So based on my averages, unless
@ChattaTNVol wants to math this for me, I've got us at around 6.5 wins.