My bad, unless you think 5 losses is a good thing. I think to predict 5 losses is predicting horrible things for the Vols.
I think we have 8 gimmie games and 4 toss ups.
Get er done Vols. (For the cable fans out there)
You think we have 8 gimmes and 4 toss ups, and im guessing the gimmes are Ind St, UMass, USC, UK, S Miss, Mizzu, Vandy and since im missing one, i guess you consider GT a gimme.
And the 4 toss ups as UF, UGA, Alabama and LSU.
So most likley scenerio is 8-4. Yet you completely avoid the trend that CBJ simply does not perform well against teams with equal or greater talent and is usually good to drop at least one game he shouldnt.
Another issue i have with your theory is how you could possibly consider USC and Vandy a gimme game, given that they beat them the last time they played and no cute little motivational slogan you put behind it changes that.
So he is my outlook:
GT - a true toss up, d should be quick enough to deal with option and our o should be able to move ball, home game for GT but vols travel well (win)
In St - win
UF - new QB in swamp - Loss
UMass - win
UGA - payback time for bulldogs, equal talent, edge goes to more experienced QB / RB combo - fair to consider a toss up - Loss
USC - home game - two weeks to sit on two SEC losses - toss up game - need to see CBJ beat CWM before i believe it - loss
Alabama - lol - loss
Kentucky - toss up game (i think we split UK and USC) so win
S. Miss - win
Mizzu - Win
LSU - talent advantage to LSU , coaching advantage to LSU, CBJ never beat a west team - Loss
Vandy - toss up but ill say we win
So 7-5 3-5 in SEC. Given that i can logically see 5 losses and CBJ is generally good for one bad lose, it may very well be 6-6, but maybe he splits UF / UGA and we are back to 7-5. Maybe they man up and beat both USC / UK and we are 8-4.
Lastly, Kentucky will be the 4th straight SEC game so injuries with little depth will be a concern .
And there i reach my conclusion of 7-5 as the most likelt scenerio.
But for fun ill try your way.
RAH RAH 16-0 Go Vols. (Mumbles motivational nonsense) Go vols.

see i can do it