Recruiting Football Talk VII

[Devo182]

Brought this over from VQ, thought it was pretty cool. The current #1 bracket, out of all 23 million brackets on ESPN, is the wife of a friend of some folks over there, a UT grad. She may be one herself idk

She has UT winning it all

 

[peaygolf]

Brought this over from VQ, thought it was pretty cool. The current #1 bracket, out of all 23 million brackets on ESPN, is the wife of a friend of some folks over there, a UT grad. She may be one herself idk

She has UT winning it all

View attachment 630439

I’m in 13.2 millionth place.
I’m making a comeback though….

 

[peaygolf]

Ha…..great list

 

[volbeast33]

In the Sweet 16, when the 2 seed scores 70 or more points, they are 16-6 (13-7-2 against spread). The over is 15-6-1 as well.

When the 2 seed scores UNDER 70 points, they are 9-6 (6-9) and the over is 4-11.

i did this by hand so i may have missed a game or two…. in this tourney…. teams are 8-37 when scoring under 70 points… Texas is a team that has difficulty scoring and plays great defense… Creighton is the opposite….We need to get in the 70 point plus range and I think we can do that… Our offensive players should have an easier going tonight.

 

[Enki_Amenra]

In the Sweet 16, when the 2 seed scores 70 or more points, they are 16-6 (13-7-2 against spread). The over is 15-6-1 as well.

When the 2 seed scores UNDER 70 points, they are 9-6 (6-9) and the over is 4-11.

I saw a few predictions that have it at a 76-74 game, pick the winner.

 

[Fun coupon VOL]

Bone
Admiral
Knecht
Grant
Aidoo

ZZ as super 6th man

I’m trading bone and ZZ.

 

[Jackcrevol]

This is going to be the longest day ever

twss

 

[BigSteve09]

In the Sweet 16, when the 2 seed scores 70 or more points, they are 16-6 (13-7-2 against spread). The over is 15-6-1 as well.

When the 2 seed scores UNDER 70 points, they are 9-6 (6-9) and the over is 4-11.

I'll add some more.

Since 2015, in the Sweet 16 the better seed is 23-13 (incl. 1-3 so far this year)

when 2 seeds are favored by 5 or fewer points (we opened -2.5) they are 17-9 (14-20-2 against spread).
when 2 seeds are favored by 5 or fewer points vs a 3 seed, they are 10-8

2 seed vs a team with a Ken Pom ranking of 20 or better (Creighton is 11) are 14-9

2 seed from a tier-1 conference vs opponent from tier 1 conference (Creighton from Big East (tier 1)) are 20-10

2 seed in a game with a Ken Pom ranking difference of 10 or less (8 Tenn vs 11 Crei) is 12-9

2 seed vs opponent with Wins Above Bubble Rank of 15 (Creighton 13) is 12-6 (12-6 against spread as well)

 

[SmokinBob]

After we win March Madness and are crowned national champions, I'm going to have to seriously consider retiring from VN. It might be time.

Whaaat?!?

 

[Jackcrevol]

No blow for you!

also

 

[Enki_Amenra]

i did this by hand so i may have missed a game or two…. in this tourney…. teams are 8-37 when scoring under 70 points… Texas is a team that has difficulty scoring and plays great defense… Creighton is the opposite….We need to get in the 70 point plus range and I think we can do that… Our offensive players should have an easier going tonight.

Has Creighton faced a defense as good as ours? I think they'll have a hard time getting much more than 70ish on us. I think (hope) our offense shows up, if they do, we should be pushing 80. I think 78-73 is a reasonable prediction for us to win.

 

[BigSteve09]

I saw a few predictions that have it at a 76-74 game, pick the winner.

honestly pretty close to what I would expect

if that's the score I'm thinking Vols win but don't cover, which is supported by all those trends/data that I shared

 

[TN-POSSUM]

Lol drive to bank to get a little spending money for this weekend and to my surprise Banks are closed today

 

[volbeast33]

Has Creighton faced a defense as good as ours? I think they'll have a hard time getting much more than 70ish on us. I think (hope) our offense shows up, if they do, we should be pushing 80. I think 78-73 is a reasonable prediction for us to win.

I agree…. that is the kind of game it will take to win, imo.

 

[BigSteve09]

Has Creighton faced a defense as good as ours? I think they'll have a hard time getting much more than 70ish on us. I think (hope) our offense shows up, if they do, we should be pushing 80. I think 78-73 is a reasonable prediction for us to win.

so far Creighton has beaten

Akron:
Ken Pom 116
WAB 104
Adjusted Defensive Efficiency ranking of 97
Pace 268th
195th in Turnovers
152nd in Offensive Rebounding
196th in Defensive 2pt%
12th in Defensive 3pt%

Oregon:
Ken Pom 55
WAB 36
Adjusted Defensive Efficiency ranking of 70
Pace 197th
47th in Turnovers
182nd in Offensive Rebounding
227th in Defensive 2pt%
227th in Defensive 3pt%

and Tennessee is:
Ken Pom 7
WAB 8
Adjusted Defensive Efficiency ranking of 3
Pace 79th
36th in Turnovers
7th in Offensive Rebounding
9th in Defensive 2pt%
45th in Defensive 3pt%

 

[SmokinBob]

Ive considered. Got rid of everything else, with exception of LI. - which the company requires. i'm sure many posters here would openly weep upon my exit.

I would miss you

 

[volbeast33]

I'll add some more.

Since 2015, in the Sweet 16 the better seed is 23-13 (incl. 1-3 so far this year)

when 2 seeds are favored by 5 or fewer points (we opened -2.5) they are 17-9 (14-20-2 against spread).
when 2 seeds are favored by 5 or fewer points vs a 3 seed, they are 10-8

2 seed vs a team with a Ken Pom ranking of 20 or better (Creighton is 11) are 14-9

2 seed from a tier-1 conference vs opponent from tier 1 conference (Creighton from Big East (tier 1)) are 20-10

2 seed in a game with a Ken Pom ranking difference of 10 or less (8 Tenn vs 11 Crei) is 12-9

2 seed vs opponent with Wins Above Bubble Rank of 15 (Creighton 13) is 12-6 (12-6 against spread as well)

good info

 

[BigSteve09]

Has Creighton faced a defense as good as ours? I think they'll have a hard time getting much more than 70ish on us. I think (hope) our offense shows up, if they do, we should be pushing 80. I think 78-73 is a reasonable prediction for us to win.

Creighton is averaging:

80.5 points on the season
85.2 points in wins
68.6 points in losses
74.6 points on the road

Tennessee averaged:
79.5 points on the season
82.8 points in wins
69.5 points in losses
76.4 points on the road

 

[Buddy’s Bandit]

Does Mark Sears EVER have a bad game? Dude is dependable as heck...he doesn't really have the spectacular thermonuclear ability of Knecht...but he never seems to have a BAD game.

Interesting you bring this Up. Earlier I posted Knecht was in the same league as Bernard. I think I’ll still put BK on top because of his consistency . He never had a bad or “off” game. He was automatic.

 

[Aesius]

I'm very much not enjoying the fact that Bama is in the Elite Eight and is now a favorite to make their first ever Final Four.

We have to take care of business tonight.

 

[Enki_Amenra]

I’m in 13.2 millionth place.
I’m making a comeback though….

I went from 600k to 4.3m, then back up to 2.2m this morning. . .

How many brackets are there? Has to be at least 30,000,000

. . . just checked. It's 22.6m brackets this year. Wish I could've stayed around 600k, . . . it's all downhill from here. I hope UT winning it keeps me in the top half.

 

[BigSteve09]

so far Creighton has beaten

Akron:
Ken Pom 116
WAB 104
Adjusted Defensive Efficiency ranking of 97
Pace 268th
195th in Turnovers
152nd in Offensive Rebounding
196th in Defensive 2pt%
12th in Defensive 3pt%

Oregon:
Ken Pom 55
WAB 36
Adjusted Defensive Efficiency ranking of 70
Pace 197th
47th in Turnovers
182nd in Offensive Rebounding
227th in Defensive 2pt%
227th in Defensive 3pt%

and Tennessee is:
Ken Pom 7
WAB 8
Adjusted Defensive Efficiency ranking of 3
Pace 79th
36th in Turnovers
7th in Offensive Rebounding
9th in Defensive 2pt%
45th in Defensive 3pt%

Creighton losses this season were to teams with Defensive Efficiency Rankings of:
38
92
13
19
11
72
18
57
18

They did not play any teams with top 10 Adj Def Eff ranking

Against top 40 Adj Def Eff ranking: 6-6

as a reminder we are 3rd in Adj Def Eff ranking...

 

[Enki_Amenra]

so far Creighton has beaten

Akron:
Ken Pom 116
WAB 104
Adjusted Defensive Efficiency ranking of 97
Pace 268th
195th in Turnovers
152nd in Offensive Rebounding
196th in Defensive 2pt%
12th in Defensive 3pt%

Oregon:
Ken Pom 55
WAB 36
Adjusted Defensive Efficiency ranking of 70
Pace 197th
47th in Turnovers
182nd in Offensive Rebounding
227th in Defensive 2pt%
227th in Defensive 3pt%

and Tennessee is:
Ken Pom 7
WAB 8
Adjusted Defensive Efficiency ranking of 3
Pace 79th
36th in Turnovers
7th in Offensive Rebounding
9th in Defensive 2pt%
45th in Defensive 3pt%

Going by that, we should win with little to no sweat during the final 5 minutes.

Plus, all of our night game experience is gonna pay off. The later the game, the better we play . I also think our tough early season games are gonna start paying off in this game and going forward.

 

[MarcoVol]

Creighton losses this season were to teams with Defensive Efficiency Rankings of:
38
92
13
19
11
72
18
57
18

They did not play any teams with top 10 Adj Def Eff ranking

Against top 40 Adj Def Eff ranking: 6-6

as a reminder we are 3rd in Adj Def Eff ranking...

They have the most impressive win of the CBB season too

 

[RudyVol]

Bone
Admiral
Knecht
Grant
Aidoo

ZZ as super 6th man

Knecht
Fulkerson
Vescovi
Lew Evans
Lamonte Turner