So next year, SC is going to continue to bring Coates off the bench? No way. Her and Ibiam will be starting, and Welch will be moved to the wing. That's a harder lineup to crack then Tennessee, where the rest of the players competing for the same position will be beneath Wilson in terms of incoming accolades or proven college experience.
Tennessee has a wide open 3 spot waiting. Nared has to earn it as much as Wilson. Burdick probably won't provide much resistance to either.
Coach Staley is still building her program, and still building the depth. During the 2011-12 and 2012-13 seasons, USC won 25 gms with rosters that had huge holes in depth and overall scholarship numbers. Last season, USC won the SEC with only 10 out of 15 scholarship spots filled - 1 of those graduating for 2014-15.
Staley has tried to compensate by rotating and matching what players she has, and playing ferocious team defense. In the past, it was utilizing 6-0/6-1 SFs as best we could against opposing true PFs and Cs, and relying on deep perimeter G play from Sutton, Grant, and Walker. Against all but the elite opponents with deep talent at the Post, USC succeeded.
Now those outside shooters at G have all graduated, while USC's depth in the post has improved substantially. But Staley has had to compensate for lack of depth along the perimeter, using SGs Mitchell, Davis, and Roy as depth behind Sessions for ball handling and distribution. Mostly Ibiam and Coates alternated at C/PF in games, and about split the minutes 50-50, while Ibiam started and Coates was 1st player in off the bench. Sometimes both got into gms at the same time, but doing so cut down on perimeter scoring because both Welch and Mitchell are our top 2 players and they NEED to be on the floor at same time. So it would be Welch, Mitchell, Ibiam, Coates (our top 4 offensive players), then perhaps Sessions at the 1 or Davis & Roy at the 1, or Dozier at the 2/3 with Mitchell serving as the PG (she led the team in assists per gm last season).
If any of the SGs plus Dozier struggled shooting from the outside, then USC's offense struggled with both Ibiam & Coates in at the same time, unless they were able to consistently lob the ball into the big girls, which in several games they were and those 2 dominated. But with some opponents - the really deep, talented opponents who had enough size to collapse on our post players - it made it difficult if we didn't have perimeter shooters hitting their shots at a high %. One such opponent that effectively succeeded at this was UNC, who had few true P players but has a ton of 6-0 to 6-2 W and SF players that are physical. Remember Ibiam was a 1st-time starter, and Coates was a 1st-time player at the college level...
Next season will be Ibiam's last, as well as Welch's last too. Coates wasn't a starter all season long, but she averaged around 20 mpg, just like starter Ibiam. Wilson may be a top player off the bench next season, but still averaging 20 mpg like Coates. I imagine if we can get more consistent outside scoring from our perimeter starters, we could see a regular rotation of Ibiam & Coates on the right side, with White playing the left side of the paint. Have 2 of the 3 on the floor at all times.
I see Duckett platooning more with Mitchell at the 2, and Cuevas platooning with Sessions at the 1. That leaves the 3. Welch and Wilson could platoon there, with Welch sliding over to the 4 (which she's played for most of her career at USC) alongside Wilson at times when only one of Ibiam, Coates, and White man the post. That would give USC a lineup with one of the 6-4 Ps (Ibiam, Coates, or White), 6-0 Welch who is a fierce battler in the paint and top rebounder for USC, and 6-5 Wilson who is...well, she's 6-5 for Pete's sake....as the big 3 for USC, with any two-player combo of Mitchell, Duckett, Cuevas, and Sessions manning the perimeter along with Wilson. It's a case of where Wilson will have ample opportunity to play primarily the 3 (what she wants), with Welch playing the 4/3 which is basically her career description at USC, and the post girls rotating in.
And that's only for one season, mind you. Then Welch and Ibiam graduate, which clears out more minutes for a 2nd-year Wilson and White, and 3rd-yr. Coates.
If Wilson chooses UT, she comes in with another 5* W player Nared and competes for court time with her for NOT 1 year, but for her entire career at UT. Plus Dunbar, plus Tucker, plus Jackson, etc. etc. Staley is surely going to continue to bring in elite talent into USC, and surely there will be more wing players. But the skies look clearer there now than they do for Wilson at UT IMO.....