Ya know it's not impossible...

#52
#52
Hairy Vols said:
Oklahoma is hot right now. It’s unfortunate and no we shouldn’t have lost. Same for the GA game. The fact we are so close make me feel like this program is truly on the verge of one more breakthrough. A little more depth, one more step in the right direction… dare I say.. brick by brick Heupel is building this program to be exactly what it is supposed to be.
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Heupel is a good coach, we would be absolute idiots to fahr him.
 
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#53
#53
We lost so much on our o-line and d-line last year, sec offensive player of the year, most of our wr’s (not that big of a loss it turned out), had to get a qb after spring practice, had our two best defensive players get lost to injury and our most talented defensive player decided he wasn’t going to put forth much effort year. On top of that we had the youngest roster in the entire sec.

And we may win 10 games.

I think we may have found the floor for this Josh Heupel program
 
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#56
#56
OU is a hot team going into the CFP, I can see them making the finals with that defense and kicking game. We were not winning that game. Worst loss was UGA, with the late 8 pt lead and missed FG. We haven’t beaten a team with a winning record, puts us at the bottom of 3-loss teams. Needed to go 2-2 with UGA, UA, OU, UF.
 
#57
#57
IndianaVol said:
1. Probable - Utah looked vulnerable
2. Check
3. Check
4. NO - UM is Ryan Day's albatross
5. NO - As good as Pitt looked, they aren't beating Miami
6. NO - BYU is much, much, much better
7. Check
8. NO - Stanford stinks

That be us beating Vandy and 2 teams ahead of us losing. We likely start the week at 17, so this would move us up to about 14.

Now, tOSU wins and Pitt shows up again that may lift us 2 more to 12th.

We would need miracles by UCF and Stanford...otherwise we end up 1st team out.
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Yes but us being 14-12 heading into championship week could open the door for us if a 2 loss team loses a conference championship game. WE HAVE A CHANCE
 
#58
#58
Ty4Vols said:
What would be awesome is if (in order of games played next weekend):
1. KANSAS beats UTAH (Friday)
2. UGA beats GT (Friday)
3. A&M beats TX (Friday)
4. OSU beats MICH
5. PITT beats MIAMI
6. UCF beats BYU
7. UT beats VANDY
8. STAN beats ND

6 of those games will have concluded or be in progress before our kickoff against Vandy.

One can dream. Just beat Vandy! GBO
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Sorry to burst your bubble, but Notre Dame is NOT losing to Stanford and BYU is going to beat UCF. I see A&M and Georgia winning their games. And Kansas beating Utah? That can be possible, but I don't see that happening, either.
 
#60
#60
barney said:
Yes but us being 14-12 heading into championship week could open the door for us if a 2 loss team loses a conference championship game. WE HAVE A CHANCE
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I think we are down to nothing more than a mathematical possibility at this point. We needed Bama and one other team to beat Oklahoma and/or ND to drop one. If every reasonable result goes in our favor, including us beating Vandy, it would still look something this this:
1. SEC Champ(A&M)
2. B1G Champ(OSU)
3. Big 12 Champ(TT)
4. ACC Champ(UVA/Pitt/SMU)
5. Highest G6 Champ
6. ND
7. UGA
8. Indiana
9. Oregon
10. Oklahoma
11. Bama
12. Ole Miss
Even if Bama were to lose to Auburn, the committee would likely keep them ahead of us due to head to head and quality of wins. Same with Oklahoma. I think our absolute ceiling at this point would be to finish ranked #11 but be the first team out due to the ACC and G6 champs getting auto bids.
 
#61
#61
IndianaVol said:
1. Probable - Utah looked vulnerable
2. Check
3. Check
4. NO - UM is Ryan Day's albatross
5. NO - As good as Pitt looked, they aren't beating Miami
6. NO - BYU is much, much, much better
7. Check
8. NO - Stanford stinks

That be us beating Vandy and 2 teams ahead of us losing. We likely start the week at 17, so this would move us up to about 14.

Now, tOSU wins and Pitt shows up again that may lift us 2 more to 12th.

We would need miracles by UCF and Stanford...otherwise we end up 1st team out.
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I don't know if I'd call Kansas over Utah probable. Possible yes, but in no way would I go in saying they probably will.
 
#62
#62
deatojl said:
I think we are down to nothing more than a mathematical possibility at this point. We needed Bama and one other team to beat Oklahoma and/or ND to drop one. If every reasonable result goes in our favor, including us beating Vandy, it would still look something this this:
1. SEC Champ(A&M)
2. B1G Champ(OSU)
3. Big 12 Champ(TT)
4. ACC Champ(UVA/Pitt/SMU)
5. Highest G6 Champ
6. ND
7. UGA
8. Indiana
9. Oregon
10. Oklahoma
11. Bama
12. Ole Miss
Even if Bama were to lose to Auburn, the committee would likely keep them ahead of us due to head to head and quality of wins. Same with Oklahoma. I think our absolute ceiling at this point would be to finish ranked #11 but be the first team out due to the ACC and G6 champs getting auto bids.
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Auto-bids do not exist.
 
#64
#64
VolunteerVFL said:
Auto-bids do not exist.
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The five highest ranked conference champions get auto bids. While that doesn't guarantee an auto bid for each P4 conference, there would have to be a second G6 Conf. Champ to finish ranked higher than say the ACC champ. Either way, 5 spots are automatically given to Conference champs.
 
#68
#68
Tennessee is being ranked as a resume booster for UGA, OU, and Bama. There is no scenario in which they leap into the top 10, which is what would be required to make the CFP. All 7 of UT's FBS wins are below .500. Getting one win over a 9 win Vandy is not going to make a difference.
 
#71
#71
CAVPUT said:
They beat vandy next week and it's all gravy no matter what else happens. 8 wins was the absolute ceiling in my mind
Really thought 7 was the max. Wow. This team.
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Yeah, I feel like people have lost the plot.

We started the season losing several of our best defensive players, our starting QB defecting to another school in Spring, us bringing in a quick replacement QB who didn't have much time to learn the system and gel with our players, then having a load of injuries to key defensive players.

7-5 or 8-4 down year were always distinct possibilities given this formula.

We now have a shot at 9-3. And we were a FG away from having a shot at 10-2.

And there's at least some non-zero chance that Joey could return next season. (Albeit, I think it's better for CFB for the courts to rule against Pavia --- this idea that you can play 2 Juco years and then get to play 7 years of college football seems ridiculous).
 
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#72
#72
DiderotsGhost said:
Yeah, I feel like people have lost the plot.

We started the season losing several of our best defensive players, our starting QB defecting to another school in Spring, us bringing in a quick replacement QB who didn't have much time to learn the system and gel with our players, then having a load of injuries to key defensive players.

7-5 or 8-4 down year were always distinct possibilities given this formula.

We now have a shot at 9-3. And we were a FG away from having a shot at 10-2.

And there's at least some non-zero chance that Joey could return next season. (Albeit, I think it's better for CFB for the courts to rule against Pavia --- this idea that you can play 2 Juco years and then get to play 7 years of college football seems ridiculous).
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With you on all accounts !!!

Go back and look - outside of the "sunshine pumpers", no one and I mean no one had this team winning more than 9 and MOST were predicting 7. Especially after the decimation on defense and the drama in Pajamas.

The rule needs to be at the most 2 for 1. If you play 2 years JUCO or FCS, that's the same as 1 year FBS. Also, once you reach FBS only medical redshirt applies and you can not go back to a lower level.
 
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#75
#75
Not sure that all of them need to happen, depending on how they see our ranked win vs Vandy, could jump a few teams, particularly Virginia, Utah. Either way, all of this happen is a very long shot, but not impossible. But the 2 most important games to give us a shot are ND and BYU, and those will be longshots.
 
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