At Bama, and as of today its 0.5pt underdog, so just about a pick em
I would be curious how KPs numbers stack up with these
4-2.
And MO -3 vs UT - seriously? Illinois took them apart at Columbia. Whoever picked that line must think we're still on course to be 13th in the SEC. I bet we're favored by Vegas.
Okay, here is what KenPom thinks will happen:
First, I've tried to cut paste directly from KenPom but no luck. Screenshots might work but I'm pretty clumsy with those, so I'll just summarize. He thinks we lose at Arkansas and win all of the remaining five games. Auburn, Kentucky, and Vandy carry win probabilities greater than 60% so I take those at face value. Texas A&M and Missouri carry win probabilities so small that I see them as toss ups.
After watching Arky play Bakersfield, they're not as much a lock for the W as i thought, but 4-2 with Ls to Arky and TAM.
I think Arkansas, Auburn, and UK will be closer than expected. I like our chances against the hogs but will be tough to beat a veteran team on the road. Still expect a chance to win it late. I can see a little let down against Auburn and they have the ability to take advantage. I think its closer than expected but we still win. Kentucky will be tough. Need a good game from Schofield and for him to stay out of foul trouble. KenPom gives us the same odds against vandy as Uk, but I dont think its that close. Tamu is considered a tossup, and again will be a very tough game. I think we beat Missouri even though most of the stats say were underdogs.
I actually want to chance my vote to 4 wins. Auburn/UK/Vandy/Missouri. I think we lose a very close one to Arkansas and also lose at home to TAMU