The only P5 team they played last year was a 7-6 Penn State and they lost 44-13. For this game to be even remotely competitive, we need to regress a ton and they need to improve drastically. I suspect that will not be the case. If both teams play to their respective levels I think about a 35 point margin of victory is to be expected, particularly when it's week 1 and more of a tune up game for us.