Updated Conference/Playoff Discussion (long)

#76
#76
JMSqb11 said:
OU has to play Ole Miss, Texas, and travel to South Carolina before making a trip to Neyland. But sure, lets act like they are some juggernaut. We will be favored by a touchdown or more by the time the game comes around.
Click to expand...
I’m not acting like they a juggernaut. They are capable of beating us though. We will beat some teams that are capable of beating us and we will lose to one or two.
 
#81
#81
UPDATED PREDICTION (10/12/25):


SEC
Georgia (5-1,3-1) - Ole Miss, Florida, @ Mississippi St, Texas, Charlotte, @ Georgia Tech
Ole Miss (6-0, 3-0) - @ Georgia, @ Oklahoma, South Carolina, The Citadel, Florida, @ Mississippi St
Tennessee (5-1, 2-1) - @ Alabama, @ Kentucky, Oklahoma, New Mexico St, @ Florida, Vanderbilt
Oklahoma (5-1, 1-1) - @ South Carolina, Ole Miss, @ Tennessee, @ Alabama, Mizzou, LSU
LSU (5-1, 2-1) - @ Vanderbilt, Texas A&M, @ Alabama, Arkansas, Western Kentucky, @ Oklahoma
Texas A&M (6-0, 3-0) - @ Arkansas, @ LSU, @ Mizzou, South Carolina, Samford, @ Texas
Alabama (5-1, 3-0) - Tennessee, @ South Carolina, LSU, Oklahoma, E. Illinois, @ Auburn
Mizzou (5-1, 1-1) - @ Auburn, @ Vanderbilt, Texas A&M, Mississippi St, @ Oklahoma, @ Arkansas

- Ole Miss, Texas A&M, UGA, Tennessee, LSU, Bama all lead playoff race
- Texas beating Oklahoma keeps them barely alive for SEC title race, but still unlikely for either that or playoffs
- Oklahoma in big trouble now with the rest of their schedule
- Mizzou still has small shot but still likely to lose a few games
- This next week goes a long way towards separating some teams

Big Ten
Oregon (5-1, 2-1) - @ Rutgers, Wisconsin, @ Iowa, Minnesota, USC, @ Washington
Ohio St (6-0, 3-0) - @ Wisconsin, Penn St, @ Purdue, UCLA, Rutgers, @ Michigan
Indiana (6-0, 3-0) - Michigan St, UCLA, @ Maryland, @ Penn St, Wisconsin, @ Purdue
USC (5-1, 3-1) - @ Notre Dame, @ Nebraska, Northwestern, Iowa, @ Oregon, UCLA

- Ohio St, Indiana, and Oregon are locks no matter what
- USC is in with 2 of 3 vs ND, Michigan, Oregon (we need them to beat Notre Dame to be safe)
- Washington and Nebraska are still long shots but still possible

ACC
Miami (5-0, 1-0) - Louisville, Stanford, @ SMU, Syracuse, NC State, @ Virginia Tech, @ Pittsburgh
Georgia Tech (6-0, 3-0) - @ Duke, Syracuse, @ NC State, @ Boston College, Pittsburgh, Georgia
Virginia (5-1, 3-0) - Washington St, @ UNC, @ California, Wake Forest, @ Duke, Virginia Tech

- Miami is probably a lock in the ACC title game (they better not lose to SMU or Pitt, at 11-1 they may be left out of ACC and playoffs)
- Ga Tech has the schedule to make the ACC title game, could be a possible at-large at 11-2
- UVA and Duke still have a legitimate shot at the ACC title game as well

Big XII
Texas Tech (6-0, 3-0) -@ Arizona St, Oklahoma St, @ Kansas St, BYU, UCF, @ WVU
BYU (6-0, 3-0) - Utah, @ Iowa St, @ Texas Tech, TCU, @ Cincinnati, UCF
Utah (5-1, 2-1) - @ BYU, Colorado, Cincinnati, @ Baylor, Kansas St, @ Kansas

- Texas Tech and BYU/Utah Winner looks to be the title game barring upsets, likely no shot at an at-large playoff spot

Everyone Else (The Undeserving)
Notre Dame (4-2) - USC, @ Boston College, Navy, @ Pittsburgh, Syracuse, @ Stanford

UNLV (6-0, 2-0) - @ Boise St, New Mexico, @ Colorado St, Utah St, Hawaii, @ Nevada

Navy (6-0, 4-0) - FAU, @ North Texas, @ Notre Dame, USF, @ Memphis, Army
Tulane (5-1, 2-0) - Army, @ UTSA, @ Memphis, FAU, at Temple, Charlotte
Memphis (6-0, 2-0) - @ UAB, USF, @ Rice, Tulane, @ East Carolina, Navy

- Notre Dame MIGHT get in at 10-2, but it's not a given; USC vs ND might be playoff eliminating spot this week
- UNLV has a shot if they go undefeated, but it still might not be enough schedule wise to grab the G5 spot over the AAC champ
- The AAC Champ will go pretty much as long as they are 11-2 are better (Memphis, Navy, Tulane, North Texas, and USF all have a shot still)



PLAYOFF PREDICTIONS

First Round
(9) USC vs. (8) Tennessee
(12) Tulane vs. (5) Oregon
(11) Ole Miss vs. (6) Texas A&M
(10) Alabama vs. (7) Texas Tech

2nd Round
Tennessee vs. (1) Ohio State (Rose Bowl)
Oregon vs. (4) Miami (Cotton Bowl)
Texas A&M vs. (3) Indiana (Orange Bowl)
Alabama vs. (2) Georgia (Sugar Bowl)

Final 4
Tennessee vs. Oregon (Fiesta Bowl)
Texas A&M vs. Alabama (Peach Bowl)

NC - Tennessee vs. Alabama (Miami)
 
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#82
#82
JMSqb11 said:
OU has to play Ole Miss, Texas, and travel to South Carolina before making a trip to Neyland. But sure, lets act like they are some juggernaut. We will be favored by a touchdown or more by the time the game comes around.
Click to expand...
Not gonna happen.
 
#83
#83
Rickyvol77 said:
UPDATED PREDICTION (10/12/25):


SEC
Georgia (5-1,3-1) - Ole Miss, Florida, @ Mississippi St, Texas, Charlotte, @ Georgia Tech
Ole Miss (6-0, 3-0) - @ Georgia, @ Oklahoma, South Carolina, The Citadel, Florida, @ Mississippi St
Tennessee (5-1, 2-1) - @ Alabama, @ Kentucky, Oklahoma, New Mexico St, @ Florida, Vanderbilt
Oklahoma (5-1, 1-1) - @ South Carolina, Ole Miss, @ Tennessee, @ Alabama, Mizzou, LSU
LSU (5-1, 2-1) - @ Vanderbilt, Texas A&M, @ Alabama, Arkansas, Western Kentucky, @ Oklahoma
Texas A&M (6-0, 3-0) - @ Arkansas, @ LSU, @ Mizzou, South Carolina, Samford, @ Texas
Alabama (5-1, 3-0) - Tennessee, @ South Carolina, LSU, Oklahoma, E. Illinois, @ Auburn
Mizzou (5-1, 1-1) - @ Auburn, @ Vanderbilt, Texas A&M, Mississippi St, @ Oklahoma, @ Arkansas

- Ole Miss, Texas A&M, UGA, Tennessee, LSU, Bama all lead playoff race
- Texas beating Oklahoma keeps them barely alive for SEC title race, but still unlikely for either that or playoffs
- Oklahoma in big trouble now with the rest of their schedule
- Mizzou still has small shot but still likely to lose a few games
- This next week goes a long way towards separating some teams

Big Ten
Oregon (5-1, 2-1) - @ Rutgers, Wisconsin, @ Iowa, Minnesota, USC, @ Washington
Ohio St (6-0, 3-0) - @ Wisconsin, Penn St, @ Purdue, UCLA, Rutgers, @ Michigan
Indiana (6-0, 3-0) - Michigan St, UCLA, @ Maryland, @ Penn St, Wisconsin, @ Purdue
USC (5-1, 3-1) - @ Notre Dame, @ Nebraska, Northwestern, Iowa, @ Oregon, UCLA

- Ohio St, Indiana, and Oregon are locks no matter what
- USC is in with 2 of 3 vs ND, Michigan, Oregon (we need them to beat Notre Dame to be safe)
- Washington and Nebraska are still long shots but still possible

ACC
Miami (5-0, 1-0) - Louisville, Stanford, @ SMU, Syracuse, NC State, @ Virginia Tech, @ Pittsburgh
Georgia Tech (6-0, 3-0) - @ Duke, Syracuse, @ NC State, @ Boston College, Pittsburgh, Georgia
Virginia (5-1, 3-0) - Washington St, @ UNC, @ California, Wake Forest, @ Duke, Virginia Tech

- Miami is probably a lock in the ACC title game (they better not lose to SMU or Pitt, at 11-1 they may be left out of ACC and playoffs)
- Ga Tech has the schedule to make the ACC title game, could be a possible at-large at 11-2
- UVA and Duke still have a legitimate shot at the ACC title game as well

Big XII
Texas Tech (6-0, 3-0) -@ Arizona St, Oklahoma St, @ Kansas St, BYU, UCF, @ WVU
BYU (6-0, 3-0) - Utah, @ Iowa St, @ Texas Tech, TCU, @ Cincinnati, UCF
Utah (5-1, 2-1) - @ BYU, Colorado, Cincinnati, @ Baylor, Kansas St, @ Kansas

- Texas Tech and BYU/Utah Winner looks to be the title game barring upsets, likely no shot at an at-large playoff spot

Everyone Else (The Undeserving)
Notre Dame (4-2) - USC, @ Boston College, Navy, @ Pittsburgh, Syracuse, @ Stanford

UNLV (6-0, 2-0) - @ Boise St, New Mexico, @ Colorado St, Utah St, Hawaii, @ Nevada

Navy (6-0, 4-0) - FAU, @ North Texas, @ Notre Dame, USF, @ Memphis, Army
Tulane (5-1, 2-0) - Army, @ UTSA, @ Memphis, FAU, at Temple, Charlotte
Memphis (6-0, 2-0) - @ UAB, USF, @ Rice, Tulane, @ East Carolina, Navy

- Notre Dame MIGHT get in at 10-2, but it's not a given; USC vs ND might be playoff eliminating spot this week
- UNLV has a shot if they go undefeated, but it still might not be enough schedule wise to grab the G5 spot over the AAC champ
- The AAC Champ will go pretty much as long as they are 11-2 are better (Memphis, Navy, Tulane, North Texas, and USF all have a shot still)



PLAYOFF PREDICTIONS

First Round
(9) USC vs. (8) Tennessee
(12) Tulane vs. (5) Oregon
(11) Ole Miss vs. (6) Texas A&M
(10) Alabama vs. (7) Texas Tech

2nd Round
Tennessee vs. (1) Ohio State (Rose Bowl)
Oregon vs. (4) Miami (Cotton Bowl)
Texas A&M vs. (3) Indiana (Orange Bowl)
Alabama vs. (2) Georgia (Sugar Bowl)

Final 4
Tennessee vs. Ohio State(Fiesta Bowl)
Texas A&M vs. Alabama (Peach Bowl)

NC - Tennessee vs. Alabama (Miami)
Click to expand...
Did you mean Tennessee vs Oregon in your Final 4?
 
#84
#84
Screenshot 2025-10-12 at 7.59.57 AM.png
The grid is updated.

Texas will move back into the rankings, not that they will mean much.

Next week has a chance to really weed things out with LSU vs Vandy, OU traveling to South Carolina, Ole Miss vs UGA, Tennessee vs Bama, and Mizzou traveling to Auburn.

My wish list would be Vandy winning over LSU, OU beating South Carolina, Ole Miss beating Kirby, Tennessee winning in T Town, and Auburn dropping Mizzou.

Would result in A&M/Ole Miss undefeated, Bama/LSU/UGA/Mizzou getting their second losses with the 1 loss teams being Tennessee, Vandy, and Oklahoma. Both who are remaining on our schedule.
 
#86
#86
JMSqb11 said:
I will bet you a buffalo nickel that by the time OU comes to Neyland, we will be a touchdown favorite.
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OU is going to beat SC and possibly Ole Miss at home. Tenn is likely to lose at Bama then find a way to be unimpressive vs Kentucky. I'm just not seeing it.
 
#88
#88
Who we need to cheer for this week:

Tennessee over Bama (obviously)
Vandy over LSU
South Carolina over Oklahoma
Georgia over Ole Miss
Arkansas over Texas A&M
Kentucky over Texas
Auburn over Mizzou
Minnesota over Nebraska
Washington over Michigan
Wisconsin over Ohio St
Michigan St over Indiana
Rutgers over Oregon
USC over Notre Dame
Louisville over Miami
Duke over Georgia Tech
Arizona St over Texas Tech
 
#89
#89
Other_Guy said:
OU is going to beat SC and possibly Ole Miss at home. Tenn is likely to lose at Bama then find a way to be unimpressive vs Kentucky. I'm just not seeing it.
Click to expand...
Mateer is still injured and is only going to stay that way with continuing to play. There is nothing that was shown today that shows they are capable of going to South Carolina and being a decisive a favorite.

I still remain firm they will be a 2 loss team at best by the time they come to Neyland but I would not be shocked if they drop all 3 league games before our game
 
#91
#91
EZE said:
Zero? Ridiculous.
Click to expand...
Correct. It’s been over 4 years since a team that isn’t named Georgia has won in Neyland.

Oklahoma with a maimed quarterback who has been greatly overrated stands no chance in Neyland.
 
#92
#92
PDATED PREDICTION (10/19/25):


SEC
Texas A&M (7-0, 4-0) - @ LSU, @ Mizzou, South Carolina, Samford, @ Texas
Alabama (6-1, 4-0) - @ South Carolina, LSU, Oklahoma, E. Illinois, @ Auburn
Georgia (6-1, 4-1) - Florida, @ Mississippi St, Texas, Charlotte, @ Georgia Tech
Ole Miss (6-1, 3-1) - @ Oklahoma, South Carolina, The Citadel, Florida, @ Mississippi St
Tennessee (5-2, 2-2) - @ Kentucky, Oklahoma, New Mexico St, @ Florida, Vanderbilt
Oklahoma (6-1, 2-1) - Ole Miss, @ Tennessee, @ Alabama, Mizzou, LSU
Mizzou (6-1, 2-1) - @ Vanderbilt, Texas A&M, Mississippi St, @ Oklahoma, @ Arkansas

- Texas A&M and Bama inch closer to locking down SEC title appearances, with UGA right behind; those three teams are getting close to locks barring some upsets
- Ole Miss has a shot at 10-2
- Tennessee is in at 10-2, obviously has to win out, Tennessee vs Oklahoma is an elimination game in 2 weeks
- Mizzou has a small shot at 10-2 but unlikely due to SOS and their remaining opponents
- Texas/LSU have to win out to even be considered

Big Ten
Ohio St (7-0, 4-0) - Penn St, @ Purdue, UCLA, Rutgers, @ Michigan
Indiana (7-0, 4-0) - UCLA, @ Maryland, @ Penn St, Wisconsin, @ Purdue
Oregon (6-1, 3-1) - Wisconsin, @ Iowa, Minnesota, USC, @ Washington

- Ohio St, Indiana, and Oregon are locks no matter what
- Washington, Illinois, USC, Michigan have to win out to even be considered

ACC
Georgia Tech (7-0, 4-0) - Syracuse, @ NC State, @ Boston College, Pittsburgh, Georgia
Virginia (6-1, 3-0) - @ UNC, @ California, Wake Forest, @ Duke, Virginia Tech
SMU (5-2, 3-0) - @ Wake Forest, Miami, @ Boston College, Louisville, @ California
Miami (5-1, 1-1) - Stanford, @ SMU, Syracuse, NC State, @ Virginia Tech, @ Pittsburgh

- Ga. Tech and UVA favorites to make the ACC title game due to uneven schedule; SMU and Miami still have shots
- Ga Tech or Miami are the only two who MIGHT could squeeze in an at-large depending on ND and other teams

Big XII
BYU (7-0, 4-0) - @ Iowa St, @ Texas Tech, TCU, @ Cincinnati, UCF
Cincinnati (6-1, 4-0) - @ Utah, Arizona, BYU, @ TCU
Houston (6-1, 3-1) - @ Arizona St, WVU, @ UCF, TCU, @ Baylor
Arizona St (6-1, 3-1) - Houston, @ Iowa St, WVU, @ Colorado, Arizona
Texas Tech (6-1, 3-1) - Oklahoma St, @ Kansas St, BYU, UCF, @ WVU

- BYU/Texas Tech winner looks to be in Big XII title game against who knows; This is definitely a 1 bid conference

Everyone Else (The Undeserving)
Notre Dame (5-2) - @ Boston College, Navy, @ Pittsburgh, Syracuse, @ Stanford

Navy (6-0, 4-0) - FAU, @ North Texas, @ Notre Dame, USF, @ Memphis, Army
Tulane (6-1, 3-0) - @ UTSA, @ Memphis, FAU, at Temple, Charlotte
USF (6-1, 3-0) - @ Memphis, UTSA, @ Navy, @ UAB, Rice
Memphis (6-1, 2-1) - USF, @ Rice, Tulane, @ East Carolina, Navy

- Notre Dame MIGHT get in at 10-2, but it's not a given
- With UNLV losing, the AAC Champ will go as the G5 spot and #12 seed period (crazy scenario is that Navy makes the AAC title game after losing to Army (doesn't count as conf game) and gets the playoff spot anyway.



PLAYOFF PREDICTIONS

First Round
(9) BYU vs. (8) Tennessee
(12) Navy vs. (5) Oregon
(11) Miami vs. (6) Alabama
(10) Ole Miss vs. (7) Georgia Tech

2nd Round
Tennessee vs. (1) Ohio State (Rose Bowl)
Oregon vs. (4) Texas A&M (Cotton Bowl)
Alabama vs. (3) Indiana (Orange Bowl)
Georgia Tech vs. (2) Georgia (Sugar Bowl)

Final 4
Ohio St vs. Texas A&M (Fiesta Bowl)
Alabama vs. Georgia (Peach Bowl)

NC - Ohio St vs. Georgia (Miami)
 
#93
#93
Rickyvol77 said:
PDATED PREDICTION (10/19/25):


SEC
Texas A&M (7-0, 4-0) - @ LSU, @ Mizzou, South Carolina, Samford, @ Texas
Alabama (6-1, 4-0) - @ South Carolina, LSU, Oklahoma, E. Illinois, @ Auburn
Georgia (6-1, 4-1) - Florida, @ Mississippi St, Texas, Charlotte, @ Georgia Tech
Ole Miss (6-1, 3-1) - @ Oklahoma, South Carolina, The Citadel, Florida, @ Mississippi St
Tennessee (5-2, 2-2) - @ Kentucky, Oklahoma, New Mexico St, @ Florida, Vanderbilt
Oklahoma (6-1, 2-1) - Ole Miss, @ Tennessee, @ Alabama, Mizzou, LSU
Mizzou (6-1, 2-1) - @ Vanderbilt, Texas A&M, Mississippi St, @ Oklahoma, @ Arkansas

- Texas A&M and Bama inch closer to locking down SEC title appearances, with UGA right behind; those three teams are getting close to locks barring some upsets
- Ole Miss has a shot at 10-2
- Tennessee is in at 10-2, obviously has to win out, Tennessee vs Oklahoma is an elimination game in 2 weeks
- Mizzou has a small shot at 10-2 but unlikely due to SOS and their remaining opponents
- Texas/LSU have to win out to even be considered

Big Ten
Ohio St (7-0, 4-0) - Penn St, @ Purdue, UCLA, Rutgers, @ Michigan
Indiana (7-0, 4-0) - UCLA, @ Maryland, @ Penn St, Wisconsin, @ Purdue
Oregon (6-1, 3-1) - Wisconsin, @ Iowa, Minnesota, USC, @ Washington

- Ohio St, Indiana, and Oregon are locks no matter what
- Washington, Illinois, USC, Michigan have to win out to even be considered

ACC
Georgia Tech (7-0, 4-0) - Syracuse, @ NC State, @ Boston College, Pittsburgh, Georgia
Virginia (6-1, 3-0) - @ UNC, @ California, Wake Forest, @ Duke, Virginia Tech
SMU (5-2, 3-0) - @ Wake Forest, Miami, @ Boston College, Louisville, @ California
Miami (5-1, 1-1) - Stanford, @ SMU, Syracuse, NC State, @ Virginia Tech, @ Pittsburgh

- Ga. Tech and UVA favorites to make the ACC title game due to uneven schedule; SMU and Miami still have shots
- Ga Tech or Miami are the only two who MIGHT could squeeze in an at-large depending on ND and other teams

Big XII
BYU (7-0, 4-0) - @ Iowa St, @ Texas Tech, TCU, @ Cincinnati, UCF
Cincinnati (6-1, 4-0) - @ Utah, Arizona, BYU, @ TCU
Houston (6-1, 3-1) - @ Arizona St, WVU, @ UCF, TCU, @ Baylor
Arizona St (6-1, 3-1) - Houston, @ Iowa St, WVU, @ Colorado, Arizona
Texas Tech (6-1, 3-1) - Oklahoma St, @ Kansas St, BYU, UCF, @ WVU

- BYU/Texas Tech winner looks to be in Big XII title game against who knows; This is definitely a 1 bid conference

Everyone Else (The Undeserving)
Notre Dame (5-2) - @ Boston College, Navy, @ Pittsburgh, Syracuse, @ Stanford

Navy (6-0, 4-0) - FAU, @ North Texas, @ Notre Dame, USF, @ Memphis, Army
Tulane (6-1, 3-0) - @ UTSA, @ Memphis, FAU, at Temple, Charlotte
USF (6-1, 3-0) - @ Memphis, UTSA, @ Navy, @ UAB, Rice
Memphis (6-1, 2-1) - USF, @ Rice, Tulane, @ East Carolina, Navy

- Notre Dame MIGHT get in at 10-2, but it's not a given
- With UNLV losing, the AAC Champ will go as the G5 spot and #12 seed period (crazy scenario is that Navy makes the AAC title game after losing to Army (doesn't count as conf game) and gets the playoff spot anyway.



PLAYOFF PREDICTIONS

First Round
(9) BYU vs. (8) Tennessee
(12) Navy vs. (5) Oregon
(11) Miami vs. (6) Alabama
(10) Ole Miss vs. (7) Georgia Tech

2nd Round
Tennessee vs. (1) Ohio State (Rose Bowl)
Oregon vs. (4) Texas A&M (Cotton Bowl)
Alabama vs. (3) Indiana (Orange Bowl)
Georgia Tech vs. (2) Georgia (Sugar Bowl)

Final 4
Ohio St vs. Texas A&M (Fiesta Bowl)
Alabama vs. Georgia (Peach Bowl)

NC - Ohio St vs. Georgia (Miami)
Click to expand...
Also who to cheer for this week:
Vandy over Mizzou
Mississippi St over Texas
Oklahoma over Ole Miss
South Carolina over Bama
Texas A&M over LSU
UCLA over Indiana
Wisconsin over Oregon
Michigan St over Michigan
Minnesota over Iowa
Syracuse over Georgia Tech
UNC over Virginia
Stanford over Miami
Iowa St over BYU
Oklahoma St over Texas Tech
Houston over Arizona St
 
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