Updated Conference/Playoff Discussion (long)

#26
#26
I guess we'll see where Vandy is today but it's not the Vandy of old. They have some players and they believe. That makes them dangerous
I have a feeling we're going to be 9-3 because we lose a game we shouldn't. Any one can win in the SEC
TN also seems to struggle after a bye week. I'd feel better if our D stopped giving up 14yards on 3rd and 15.
We seem to stop on 3rd and short yardage but when it's 3rd and no way way, teams find a way.
I hope every undefeated team takes an L today
 
#29
#29
The season is young enough and we haven’t had a catastrophic loss, so Tennessee still controls their own fate if they just win all the games. We currently don’t need help from somebody else like we did last year. Of course, the likelihood of winning all of our remaining games is probably only about 25%. So then the question becomes who and when would be a more preferable loss. I personally think that we could lose to Alabama on the road and win out and still make the playoffs. Lose the third game and there’s no way Tennessee makes the playoffs.
 
#30
#30
UPDATED PREDICTION (10/05/25):


SEC

Georgia (4-1,2-1) -
@ Auburn, Ole Miss, Florida, @ Mississippi St, Texas, Charlotte, @ Georgia Tech
Ole Miss (5-0, 3-0) - Washington St, @ Georgia, @ Oklahoma, South Carolina, The Citadel, Florida, @ Mississippi St
Tennessee (4-1, 1-1) - Arkansas, @ Alabama, @ Kentucky, Oklahoma, New Mexico St, @ Florida, Vanderbilt
Oklahoma (5-0, 1-1) - Texas, @ South Carolina, Ole Miss, @ Tennessee, @ Alabama, Mizzou, LSU
LSU (4-1, 1-1) - South Carolina, @ Vanderbilt, Texas A&M, @ Alabama, Arkansas, Western Kentucky, @ Oklahoma
Texas A&M (5-0, 2-0) - Florida, @ Arkansas, @ LSU, @ Mizzou, South Carolina, Samford, @ Texas
Alabama (4-1, 2-0) - @ Mizzou, Tennessee, @ South Carolina, LSU, Oklahoma, E. Illinois, @ Auburn
Mizzou (5-0, 1-0) - Alabama, @ Auburn, @ Vanderbilt, Texas A&M, Mississippi St, @ Oklahoma, @ Arkansas

- UGA, Ole Miss, and Tennessee all win
- With Texas losing, they are likely out unless they win out (not happening)
- This week, Texas beating Oklahoma would knock another team down for us, but really us beating undefeated Oklahoma would help us too, so a wash
- LSU losing to SC would be nice, but I doubt that happens at home
- Texas A&M losing to Florida would knock another team down and help us for the SEC title race
- We want Bama to beat Mizzou

Big Ten
Oregon (5-0, 2-0) - Indiana, @ Rutgers, Wisconsin, @ Iowa, Minnesota, USC, @ Washington
Ohio St (5-0, 2-0) - @ Illinois, @ Wisconsin, Penn St, @ Purdue, UCLA, Rutgers, @ Michigan
Indiana (5-0, 2-0) - @ Oregon, Michigan St, UCLA, @ Maryland, @ Penn St, Wisconsin, @ Purdue
USC (4-1, 2-1) - Michigan, @ Notre Dame, @ Nebraska, Northwestern, Iowa, @ Oregon, UCLA
Michigan (4-1, 2-0) - @ USC, Washington, @ Michigan St, Purdue, @ Northwestern, @ Maryland, Ohio St
Illinois (5-1, 2-1) - Ohio St, @ Washington, Rutgers, Maryland, @ Wisconsin, Northwestern

- Oregon and Ohio St are still locks
- Penn St is eliminated for all intents and purposes
- Indiana is a lock at 10-2, but if they lose a 3rd game they are done
- USC has a good shot if they win 2 of 3 vs ND, Michigan, Oregon
- Michigan has an outside shot at 10-2
- Illinois has an outside shot even though they are mediocre due to schedule
- Washington and Nebraska are still long shots


ACC
Miami (5-0, 1-0)
- Louisville, Stanford, @ SMU, Syracuse, NC State, @ Virginia Tech, @ Pittsburgh
Georgia Tech (5-0, 2-0) - Virginia Tech, @ Duke, Syracuse, @ NC State, @ Boston College, Pittsburgh, Georgia
Virginia (5-1, 3-0) - Washington St, @ UNC, @ California, Wake Forest, @ Duke, Virginia Tech

- Miami is probably a lock in the ACC title game, and the other teams losing helps their at-large bid if they go 11-2
- Ga Tech has the schedule to make the ACC title game, could be a possible at-large at 10-2
- UVA and Duke still have a legitimate shot at the ACC title game as well

Big XII
Arizona St (4-1, 2-0) -
@ Utah, Texas Tech, Houston, @ Iowa St, WVU, @ Colorado, Arizona
Texas Tech (5-0, 2-0) -Kansas, @ Arizona St, Oklahoma St, @ Kansas St, BYU, UCF, @ WVU
Iowa State (5-1, 2-1) - @ Colorado, BYU, Arizona St, @ TCU, Kansas, @ Oklahoma St
BYU (5-0, 2-0) - @ Arizona, Utah, @ Iowa St, @ Texas Tech, TCU, @ Cincinnati, UCF
Utah (4-1, 1-1) - Arizona St, @ BYU, Colorado, Cincinnati, @ Baylor, Kansas St, @ Kansas

- Tx Tech, Iowa St, Arizona St, Utah, BYU etc. are all about the same so no real advantage at this point, whoever wins road games gets to the title game

Everyone Else (The Undeserving)
Notre Dame (3-2) - NC State, USC, @ Boston College, Navy, @ Pittsburgh, Syracuse, @ Stanford

UNLV (5-0, 1-0) - Air Force, @ Boise St, New Mexico, @ Colorado St, Utah St, Hawaii, @ Nevada

Navy (5-0, 3-0) - @ Temple, FAU, @ North Texas, @ Notre Dame, USF, @ Memphis, Army
Tulane (4-1, 1-0) - East Carolina, Army, @ UTSA, @ Memphis, FAU, at Temple, Charlotte
North Texas (5-0, 1-0) - USF, UTSA, @ Charlotte, Navy, @ UAB, @ Rice, Temple
Memphis (6-0, 2-0) - Tulsa, @ UAB, USF, @ Rice, Tulane, @ East Carolina, Navy

- Notre Dame MIGHT get in at 10-2, but it's not a given; but any more losses and they are done; I don't see them winning out even with their weak schedule
- UNLV has a shot if they go undefeated, but it still might not be enough schedule wise to grab the G5 spot over the AAC champ
- The AAC Champ will go pretty much as long as they are 11-2 are better (any of the four teams could win it, they are all basically the same garbage at this point)



PLAYOFF PREDICTIONS

First Round

(9) USC vs. (8) Alabama
(12) Tulane vs. (5) Tennessee
(11) Indiana vs. (6) Oklahoma
(10) Ole Miss vs. (7) Texas Tech

2nd Round

USC vs. (1) Oregon (Rose Bowl)
Tennessee vs. (4) Ohio State (Cotton Bowl)
Oklahoma vs. (3) Miami (Orange Bowl)
Ole Miss vs. (2) Georgia (Sugar Bowl)

Final 4
Tennessee vs. Oregon (Fiesta Bowl)
Miami vs. Georgia (Peach Bowl)

NC - Tennessee vs. Miami (Miami)
 
#31
#31
Im probably in the minority here but I don't want to limp into an expanded playoff with losses to all the best teams we played. After watching Bama yesterday, they are a really good, but getable team. We have to win that one after fumbling the Georgia dub, imo. Results elsewhere are making our defense look worse by the day too.
 
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