Updated Conference/Playoff Discussion (long)

#26
#26
I guess we'll see where Vandy is today but it's not the Vandy of old. They have some players and they believe. That makes them dangerous
I have a feeling we're going to be 9-3 because we lose a game we shouldn't. Any one can win in the SEC
TN also seems to struggle after a bye week. I'd feel better if our D stopped giving up 14yards on 3rd and 15.
We seem to stop on 3rd and short yardage but when it's 3rd and no way way, teams find a way.
I hope every undefeated team takes an L today
 
#29
#29
The season is young enough and we haven’t had a catastrophic loss, so Tennessee still controls their own fate if they just win all the games. We currently don’t need help from somebody else like we did last year. Of course, the likelihood of winning all of our remaining games is probably only about 25%. So then the question becomes who and when would be a more preferable loss. I personally think that we could lose to Alabama on the road and win out and still make the playoffs. Lose the third game and there’s no way Tennessee makes the playoffs.
 
#30
#30
UPDATED PREDICTION (10/05/25):


SEC
Georgia (4-1,2-1) - @ Auburn, Ole Miss, Florida, @ Mississippi St, Texas, Charlotte, @ Georgia Tech
Ole Miss (5-0, 3-0) - Washington St, @ Georgia, @ Oklahoma, South Carolina, The Citadel, Florida, @ Mississippi St
Tennessee (4-1, 1-1) - Arkansas, @ Alabama, @ Kentucky, Oklahoma, New Mexico St, @ Florida, Vanderbilt
Oklahoma (5-0, 1-1) - Texas, @ South Carolina, Ole Miss, @ Tennessee, @ Alabama, Mizzou, LSU
LSU (4-1, 1-1) - South Carolina, @ Vanderbilt, Texas A&M, @ Alabama, Arkansas, Western Kentucky, @ Oklahoma
Texas A&M (5-0, 2-0) - Florida, @ Arkansas, @ LSU, @ Mizzou, South Carolina, Samford, @ Texas
Alabama (4-1, 2-0) - @ Mizzou, Tennessee, @ South Carolina, LSU, Oklahoma, E. Illinois, @ Auburn
Mizzou (5-0, 1-0) - Alabama, @ Auburn, @ Vanderbilt, Texas A&M, Mississippi St, @ Oklahoma, @ Arkansas

- UGA, Ole Miss, and Tennessee all win
- With Texas losing, they are likely out unless they win out (not happening)
- This week, Texas beating Oklahoma would knock another team down for us, but really us beating undefeated Oklahoma would help us too, so a wash
- LSU losing to SC would be nice, but I doubt that happens at home
- Texas A&M losing to Florida would knock another team down and help us for the SEC title race
- We want Bama to beat Mizzou

Big Ten
Oregon (5-0, 2-0) - Indiana, @ Rutgers, Wisconsin, @ Iowa, Minnesota, USC, @ Washington
Ohio St (5-0, 2-0) - @ Illinois, @ Wisconsin, Penn St, @ Purdue, UCLA, Rutgers, @ Michigan
Indiana (5-0, 2-0) - @ Oregon, Michigan St, UCLA, @ Maryland, @ Penn St, Wisconsin, @ Purdue
USC (4-1, 2-1) - Michigan, @ Notre Dame, @ Nebraska, Northwestern, Iowa, @ Oregon, UCLA
Michigan (4-1, 2-0) - @ USC, Washington, @ Michigan St, Purdue, @ Northwestern, @ Maryland, Ohio St
Illinois (5-1, 2-1) - Ohio St, @ Washington, Rutgers, Maryland, @ Wisconsin, Northwestern

- Oregon and Ohio St are still locks
- Penn St is eliminated for all intents and purposes
- Indiana is a lock at 10-2, but if they lose a 3rd game they are done
- USC has a good shot if they win 2 of 3 vs ND, Michigan, Oregon
- Michigan has an outside shot at 10-2
- Illinois has an outside shot even though they are mediocre due to schedule
- Washington and Nebraska are still long shots


ACC
Miami (5-0, 1-0) - Louisville, Stanford, @ SMU, Syracuse, NC State, @ Virginia Tech, @ Pittsburgh
Georgia Tech (5-0, 2-0) - Virginia Tech, @ Duke, Syracuse, @ NC State, @ Boston College, Pittsburgh, Georgia
Virginia (5-1, 3-0) - Washington St, @ UNC, @ California, Wake Forest, @ Duke, Virginia Tech

- Miami is probably a lock in the ACC title game, and the other teams losing helps their at-large bid if they go 11-2
- Ga Tech has the schedule to make the ACC title game, could be a possible at-large at 10-2
- UVA and Duke still have a legitimate shot at the ACC title game as well

Big XII
Arizona St (4-1, 2-0) - @ Utah, Texas Tech, Houston, @ Iowa St, WVU, @ Colorado, Arizona
Texas Tech (5-0, 2-0) -Kansas, @ Arizona St, Oklahoma St, @ Kansas St, BYU, UCF, @ WVU
Iowa State (5-1, 2-1) - @ Colorado, BYU, Arizona St, @ TCU, Kansas, @ Oklahoma St
BYU (5-0, 2-0) - @ Arizona, Utah, @ Iowa St, @ Texas Tech, TCU, @ Cincinnati, UCF
Utah (4-1, 1-1) - Arizona St, @ BYU, Colorado, Cincinnati, @ Baylor, Kansas St, @ Kansas

- Tx Tech, Iowa St, Arizona St, Utah, BYU etc. are all about the same so no real advantage at this point, whoever wins road games gets to the title game

Everyone Else (The Undeserving)
Notre Dame (3-2) - NC State, USC, @ Boston College, Navy, @ Pittsburgh, Syracuse, @ Stanford

UNLV (5-0, 1-0) - Air Force, @ Boise St, New Mexico, @ Colorado St, Utah St, Hawaii, @ Nevada

Navy (5-0, 3-0) - @ Temple, FAU, @ North Texas, @ Notre Dame, USF, @ Memphis, Army
Tulane (4-1, 1-0) - East Carolina, Army, @ UTSA, @ Memphis, FAU, at Temple, Charlotte
North Texas (5-0, 1-0) - USF, UTSA, @ Charlotte, Navy, @ UAB, @ Rice, Temple
Memphis (6-0, 2-0) - Tulsa, @ UAB, USF, @ Rice, Tulane, @ East Carolina, Navy

- Notre Dame MIGHT get in at 10-2, but it's not a given; but any more losses and they are done; I don't see them winning out even with their weak schedule
- UNLV has a shot if they go undefeated, but it still might not be enough schedule wise to grab the G5 spot over the AAC champ
- The AAC Champ will go pretty much as long as they are 11-2 are better (any of the four teams could win it, they are all basically the same garbage at this point)



PLAYOFF PREDICTIONS

First Round
(9) USC vs. (8) Alabama
(12) Tulane vs. (5) Tennessee
(11) Indiana vs. (6) Oklahoma
(10) Ole Miss vs. (7) Texas Tech

2nd Round
USC vs. (1) Oregon (Rose Bowl)
Tennessee vs. (4) Ohio State (Cotton Bowl)
Oklahoma vs. (3) Miami (Orange Bowl)
Ole Miss vs. (2) Georgia (Sugar Bowl)

Final 4
Tennessee vs. Oregon (Fiesta Bowl)
Miami vs. Georgia (Peach Bowl)

NC - Tennessee vs. Miami (Miami)
 
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#31
#31
Im probably in the minority here but I don't want to limp into an expanded playoff with losses to all the best teams we played. After watching Bama yesterday, they are a really good, but getable team. We have to win that one after fumbling the Georgia dub, imo. Results elsewhere are making our defense look worse by the day too.
 
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#32
#32
jwilliams said:
Im probably in the minority here but I don't want to limp into an expanded playoff with losses to all the best teams we played. After watching Bama yesterday, they are a really good, but getable team. We have to win that one after fumbling the Georgia dub, imo. Results elsewhere are making our defense look worse by the day too.
Click to expand...
It's not limping into the playoffs to go 10-2 and be there.

in the new 16 team playoff coming, UT will make it at 10-2 or better every single time, even at 9-3 sometimes will have a shot
 
#34
#34
Who to cheer for this week:

Tennessee (obviously even for the NegaVols)
Alabama over Mizzou
Washington St over Ole Miss
Oklahoma over Texas
Florida over Texas A&M
Auburn over Georgia
South Carolina over LSU
Ohio State over Illinois
Oregon over indiana
USC over Michigan
Pittsburgh over Florida St
NC State over Notre Dame
Kansas over Texas Tech
Arizona over BYU
 
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#35
#35
adam.vol said:
Navy should be disqualified since the government is shut down. Football should fall under “non-essential”.
Click to expand...
The school is essential and therefore all that comes with it is essential. Worried about Navy focus your energy somewhere else. What's more, I guess you were joking.
 
#36
#36
Sudden Impact said:
The school is essential and therefore all that comes with it is essential. Worried about Navy focus your energy somewhere else. What's more, I guess you were joking.
Click to expand...
I saw a write up on military sports programs that may be effected by the government shutdown. I couldn’t find it when I posted, but thought Navy was relevant due to being undefeated again this year.

Since you reminded me about it, I was able to find the article.

U.S. government shutdown: Will Army, Navy, Air Force cancel games in 2025 season?
 
#40
#40
#43
#43
Rickyvol77 said:
Of the teams who have a realistic shot at making the playoff (And no, Vanderbilt has absolutely no shot, so don't be ridiculous with that crap)

SEC
Georgia (3-1,1-1) - Kentucky, @ Auburn, Ole Miss, Florida, @ Mississippi St, Texas, Charlotte, @ Georgia Tech
Ole Miss (5-0, 3-0) - Washington St, @ Georgia, @ Oklahoma, South Carolina, The Citadel, Florida, @ Mississippi St
Texas (3-1, 0-0) - @ Florida, Oklahoma, @ Kentucky, @ Mississippi St, Vanderbilt, @ Georgia, Arkansas, Texas A&M
Tennessee (4-1, 1-1) - Arkansas, @ Alabama, @ Kentucky, Oklahoma, New Mexico St, @ Florida, Vanderbilt
Oklahoma (4-0, 1-1) - Kent State, Texas, @ South Carolina, Ole Miss, @ Tennessee, @ Alabama, Mizzou, LSU
LSU (4-1, 1-1) - South Carolina, @ Vanderbilt, Texas A&M, @ Alabama, Arkansas, Western Kentucky, @ Oklahoma
Texas A&M (4-0, 1-0) - Florida, @ Arkansas, @ LSU, @ Mizzou, South Carolina, Samford, @ Texas
Alabama (3-1, 1-0) - Vanderbilt, @ Mizzou, Tennessee, @ South Carolina, LSU, Oklahoma, E. Illinois, @ Auburn
Mizzou (5-0, 1-0) - Alabama, @ Auburn, @ Vanderbilt, Texas A&M, Mississippi St, @ Oklahoma, @ Arkansas

Anyone goes 11-1, they are guaranteed obviously
Georgia, Ole Miss, Texas, Tennessee, Oklahoma, LSU and Alabama are the teams that likely get in the playoffs with 10-2 records (obviously only 4 of these teams can get that since they play each other). 2 of these teams also play for the SEC title.

- Georgia outside of two upset losses is a lock
- Ole Miss has two difficult road games and if they don't get beat anywhere else they are a lock
- Texas loses two SEC games, they are out of the playoffs unless they win the SEC title
- Tennessee goes 6-1 with a loss to Bama or Oklahoma, they are in; if they go undefeated they play in the SEC title
- Oklahoma has a tough schedule unlikely to win Texas, Ole Miss, UT, Bama, Mizzou, LSU - they are likely out
- LSU loses two games they are out
- Texas A&M plays three tough road games in row and Texas at end, they aren't making it
- Mizzou has had an easy schedule but likely loses 3 games

Big Ten
Oregon (5-0, 2-0) - Indiana, @ Rutgers, Wisconsin, @ Iowa, Minnesota, USC, @ Washington
Ohio St (4-0, 1-0) - Minnesota, @ Illinois, @ Wisconsin, Penn St, @ Purdue, UCLA, Rutgers, @ Michigan
Indiana (5-0, 2-0) - @ Oregon, Michigan St, UCLA, @ Maryland, @ Penn St, Wisconsin, @ Purdue
Penn St (3-1, 0-1) - @ UCLA, Northwestern, @ Iowa, @ Ohio St, Indiana, @ Michigan St, Nebraska, @ Rutgers
USC (4-1, 2-1) - Michigan, @ Notre Dame, @ Nebraska, Northwestern, Iowa, @ Oregon, UCLA
Michigan (3-1, 1-0) - Wisconsin, @ USC, Washington, @ Michigan St, Purdue, @ Northwestern, @ Maryland, Ohio St
Illinois (4-1, 1-1) - @ Purdue, Ohio St, @ Washington, Rutgers, Maryland, @ Wisconsin, Northwestern

- Oregon and Ohio St are locks
- Penn St at 10-2 is a lock, but not at 9-3
- Indiana is a lock at 10-2, but if they lose a 3rd game they are done
- USC has a good shot if they win 2 of 3 vs ND, Michigan, Oregon
- Michigan has an outside shot at 10-2
- Illinois has an outside shot even though they are mediocre due to schedule

Washington, Nebraska, Maryland, Michigan St could play their way in but not likely at all

ACC
Miami (4-0, 0-0) - @ Florida St, Louisville, Stanford, @ SMU, Syracuse, NC State, @ Virginia Tech, @ Pittsburgh
Georgia Tech (5-0, 2-0) - Virginia Tech, @ Duke, Syracuse, @ NC State, @ Boston College, Pittsburgh, Georgia
Florida St (3-1, 0-1) - Miami, Pittsburgh, @ Stanford, Wake Forest, @ Clemson, Virginia Tech, @ NC State, @ Florida
Louisville (4-0, 1-0) - Virginia, @ Miami, Boston College, @ Virginia Tech, California, Clemson, @ SMU, Kentucky
Virginia (4-1, 2-0) - @ Louisville, Washington St, @ UNC, @ California, Wake Forest, @ Duke, Virginia

Due to the uneven ACC schedule, there are several teams (even California and Duke) who have a shot at the title game; however the ACC has a small chance of getting two teams in the playoffs

- Miami/FSU winner may be a lock to the ACC title game, if either lose 2 games they are putting themselves close to being out
- Ga Tech has the schedule to make the ACC title game, 10-2 may get them in the playoffs, esp if win is vs UGA
- UL/UVA/Duke/Cal etc only make it with ACC title win

Big XII
Arizona St (4-1, 2-0) - @ Utah, Texas Tech, Houston, @ Iowa St, WVU, @ Colorado, Arizona
Texas Tech (4-0, 1-0) - @ Houston, Kansas, @ Arizona St, Oklahoma St, @ Kansas St, BYU, UCF, @ WVU
Iowa State (5-0, 2-0) - @ Cincinnati, @ Colorado, BYU, Arizona St, @ TCU, Kansas, @ Oklahoma St
BYU (4-0, 1-0) - WVU, @ Arizona, Utah, @ Iowa St, @ Texas Tech, TCU, @ Cincinnati, UCF
Houston (4-0, 1-0) - Texas Tech, @ Oklahoma St, Arizona, @ Arizona St, WVU, @UCF, TCU, @ Baylor
Utah (4-1, 1-1) - Arizona St, @ BYU, Colorado, Cincinnati, @ Baylor, Kansas St, @ Kansas

Really, just like the ACC, it doesn't matter who wins this average midmajor conference; they are only getting one team in unless there are two undefeated teams in the title game, which is highly unlikely:
- Tx Tech, Iowa St, Arizona St, Utah, BYU etc are all about the same so no real advantage at this point, whoever wins road games gets to the title game


Everyone Else (The Undeserving)
Notre Dame (2-2) - Boise St, NC State, USC, @ Boston College, Navy, @ Pittsburgh, Syracuse, @ Stanford

UNLV (4-0, 0-0) - @ Wyoming, Air Force, @ Boise St, New Mexico, @ Colorado St, Utah St, Hawaii, @ Nevada

Navy (4-0, 3-0) - Air Force, @ Temple, FAU, @ North Texas, @ Notre Dame, USF, @ Memphis, Army
Tulane (4-1, 1-0) - East Carolina, Army, @ UTSA, @ Memphis, FAU, at Temple, Charlotte
North Texas (5-0, 1-0) - USF, UTSA, @ Charlotte, Navy, @ UAB, @ Rice, Temple
Memphis (5-0, 1-0) - Tulsa, @ UAB, USF, @ Rice, Tulane, @ East Carolina, Navy

- Notre Dame MIGHT get in at 10-2, but it's not a given; but any more losses and they are done; I don't see them winning out even with their weak schedule
- UNLV has a shot if they go undefeated, but it still might not be enough schedule wise to grab the G5 spot over the AAC champ
- The AAC Champ will go pretty much as long as they are 11-2 are better (any of the four teams could win it, they are all basically the same garbage at this point)




PLAYOFF PREDICTIONS

First Round
(9) Ole Miss vs. (8) Texas Tech
(12) Tulane vs. (5) Penn State
(11) LSU vs. (6) Texas
(10) Indiana vs. (7) Tennessee

2nd Round
Ole Miss vs. (1) Oregon (Rose Bowl)
Penn State vs. (4) Ohio State (Cotton Bowl)
Texas vs. (3) Miami (Orange Bowl)
Tennessee vs. (2) Georgia (Sugar Bowl)

Final 4
Oregon vs. Ohio State (Fiesta Bowl)
Tennessee vs. Miami (Peach Bowl)

NC - Tennessee vs. Oregon (Miami)
Click to expand...
Your contention that Vandy has no shot is stupid and myopic. It invalidates the rest of your "unbiased" theory. But you get a point for being a true homer.
 
#44
#44
SpaceCoastVol said:
Your contention that Vandy has no shot is stupid and myopic. It invalidates the rest of your "unbiased" theory. But you get a point for being a true homer.
Click to expand...
LOL you one of those Vandy humpers who thinks finally beating Georgia St means something Their coach is 6-28 in the SEC and they will lose 5-6 games this season.

If you think Vandy has any shot of a playoff, you simply don't know football
 
#45
#45
Rickyvol77 said:
LOL you one of those Vandy humpers who thinks finally beating Georgia St means something Their coach is 6-28 in the SEC and they will lose 5-6 games this season.

If you think Vandy has any shot of a playoff, you simply don't know football
Click to expand...

Man, I like your posts but this is a bad take. Vandy is a good team this year and might only have 2 losses by the time they roll into Neyland, if that. They played badly yesterday and still were in the game with ‘Bama until the end. Looking at their remaining schedule, their toughest games are LSU, Mizzou, at Texas, and at Tennessee—with how LSU and Texas’ offenses are playing right now, Vandy could beat both of them. I think they go 8-4 at worst this season.
 
#46
#46
Rickyvol77 said:
It's not limping into the playoffs to go 10-2 and be there.

in the new 16 team playoff coming, UT will make it at 10-2 or better every single time, even at 9-3 sometimes will have a shot
Click to expand...
Yes it is. Wouldn't have made the 4 team field with that resume and you sure as hell would not have made the bcs title game. I want to be in the playoff but if we can't beat ONE of the top two teams on our schedule then we'll just get curb stomped in our first non home game.
 
#47
#47
OrangeEtBlanc said:
Man, I like your posts but this is a bad take. Vandy is a good team this year and might only have 2 losses by the time they roll into Neyland, if that. They played badly yesterday and still were in the game with ‘Bama until the end. Looking at their remaining schedule, their toughest games are LSU, Mizzou, at Texas, and at Tennessee—with how LSU and Texas’ offenses are playing right now, Vandy could beat both of them. I think they go 8-4 at worst this season.
Click to expand...
I guess we shall see who is right
 
#48
#48
Rickyvol77 said:
Of the teams who have a realistic shot at making the playoff (And no, Vanderbilt has absolutely no shot, so don't be ridiculous with that crap)

SEC
Georgia (3-1,1-1) - Kentucky, @ Auburn, Ole Miss, Florida, @ Mississippi St, Texas, Charlotte, @ Georgia Tech
Ole Miss (5-0, 3-0) - Washington St, @ Georgia, @ Oklahoma, South Carolina, The Citadel, Florida, @ Mississippi St
Texas (3-1, 0-0) - @ Florida, Oklahoma, @ Kentucky, @ Mississippi St, Vanderbilt, @ Georgia, Arkansas, Texas A&M
Tennessee (4-1, 1-1) - Arkansas, @ Alabama, @ Kentucky, Oklahoma, New Mexico St, @ Florida, Vanderbilt
Oklahoma (4-0, 1-1) - Kent State, Texas, @ South Carolina, Ole Miss, @ Tennessee, @ Alabama, Mizzou, LSU
LSU (4-1, 1-1) - South Carolina, @ Vanderbilt, Texas A&M, @ Alabama, Arkansas, Western Kentucky, @ Oklahoma
Texas A&M (4-0, 1-0) - Florida, @ Arkansas, @ LSU, @ Mizzou, South Carolina, Samford, @ Texas
Alabama (3-1, 1-0) - Vanderbilt, @ Mizzou, Tennessee, @ South Carolina, LSU, Oklahoma, E. Illinois, @ Auburn
Mizzou (5-0, 1-0) - Alabama, @ Auburn, @ Vanderbilt, Texas A&M, Mississippi St, @ Oklahoma, @ Arkansas

Anyone goes 11-1, they are guaranteed obviously
Georgia, Ole Miss, Texas, Tennessee, Oklahoma, LSU and Alabama are the teams that likely get in the playoffs with 10-2 records (obviously only 4 of these teams can get that since they play each other). 2 of these teams also play for the SEC title.

- Georgia outside of two upset losses is a lock
- Ole Miss has two difficult road games and if they don't get beat anywhere else they are a lock
- Texas loses two SEC games, they are out of the playoffs unless they win the SEC title
- Tennessee goes 6-1 with a loss to Bama or Oklahoma, they are in; if they go undefeated they play in the SEC title
- Oklahoma has a tough schedule unlikely to win Texas, Ole Miss, UT, Bama, Mizzou, LSU - they are likely out
- LSU loses two games they are out
- Texas A&M plays three tough road games in row and Texas at end, they aren't making it
- Mizzou has had an easy schedule but likely loses 3 games

Big Ten
Oregon (5-0, 2-0) - Indiana, @ Rutgers, Wisconsin, @ Iowa, Minnesota, USC, @ Washington
Ohio St (4-0, 1-0) - Minnesota, @ Illinois, @ Wisconsin, Penn St, @ Purdue, UCLA, Rutgers, @ Michigan
Indiana (5-0, 2-0) - @ Oregon, Michigan St, UCLA, @ Maryland, @ Penn St, Wisconsin, @ Purdue
Penn St (3-1, 0-1) - @ UCLA, Northwestern, @ Iowa, @ Ohio St, Indiana, @ Michigan St, Nebraska, @ Rutgers
USC (4-1, 2-1) - Michigan, @ Notre Dame, @ Nebraska, Northwestern, Iowa, @ Oregon, UCLA
Michigan (3-1, 1-0) - Wisconsin, @ USC, Washington, @ Michigan St, Purdue, @ Northwestern, @ Maryland, Ohio St
Illinois (4-1, 1-1) - @ Purdue, Ohio St, @ Washington, Rutgers, Maryland, @ Wisconsin, Northwestern

- Oregon and Ohio St are locks
- Penn St at 10-2 is a lock, but not at 9-3
- Indiana is a lock at 10-2, but if they lose a 3rd game they are done
- USC has a good shot if they win 2 of 3 vs ND, Michigan, Oregon
- Michigan has an outside shot at 10-2
- Illinois has an outside shot even though they are mediocre due to schedule

Washington, Nebraska, Maryland, Michigan St could play their way in but not likely at all

ACC
Miami (4-0, 0-0) - @ Florida St, Louisville, Stanford, @ SMU, Syracuse, NC State, @ Virginia Tech, @ Pittsburgh
Georgia Tech (5-0, 2-0) - Virginia Tech, @ Duke, Syracuse, @ NC State, @ Boston College, Pittsburgh, Georgia
Florida St (3-1, 0-1) - Miami, Pittsburgh, @ Stanford, Wake Forest, @ Clemson, Virginia Tech, @ NC State, @ Florida
Louisville (4-0, 1-0) - Virginia, @ Miami, Boston College, @ Virginia Tech, California, Clemson, @ SMU, Kentucky
Virginia (4-1, 2-0) - @ Louisville, Washington St, @ UNC, @ California, Wake Forest, @ Duke, Virginia

Due to the uneven ACC schedule, there are several teams (even California and Duke) who have a shot at the title game; however the ACC has a small chance of getting two teams in the playoffs

- Miami/FSU winner may be a lock to the ACC title game, if either lose 2 games they are putting themselves close to being out
- Ga Tech has the schedule to make the ACC title game, 10-2 may get them in the playoffs, esp if win is vs UGA
- UL/UVA/Duke/Cal etc only make it with ACC title win

Big XII
Arizona St (4-1, 2-0) - @ Utah, Texas Tech, Houston, @ Iowa St, WVU, @ Colorado, Arizona
Texas Tech (4-0, 1-0) - @ Houston, Kansas, @ Arizona St, Oklahoma St, @ Kansas St, BYU, UCF, @ WVU
Iowa State (5-0, 2-0) - @ Cincinnati, @ Colorado, BYU, Arizona St, @ TCU, Kansas, @ Oklahoma St
BYU (4-0, 1-0) - WVU, @ Arizona, Utah, @ Iowa St, @ Texas Tech, TCU, @ Cincinnati, UCF
Houston (4-0, 1-0) - Texas Tech, @ Oklahoma St, Arizona, @ Arizona St, WVU, @UCF, TCU, @ Baylor
Utah (4-1, 1-1) - Arizona St, @ BYU, Colorado, Cincinnati, @ Baylor, Kansas St, @ Kansas

Really, just like the ACC, it doesn't matter who wins this average midmajor conference; they are only getting one team in unless there are two undefeated teams in the title game, which is highly unlikely:
- Tx Tech, Iowa St, Arizona St, Utah, BYU etc are all about the same so no real advantage at this point, whoever wins road games gets to the title game


Everyone Else (The Undeserving)
Notre Dame (2-2) - Boise St, NC State, USC, @ Boston College, Navy, @ Pittsburgh, Syracuse, @ Stanford

UNLV (4-0, 0-0) - @ Wyoming, Air Force, @ Boise St, New Mexico, @ Colorado St, Utah St, Hawaii, @ Nevada

Navy (4-0, 3-0) - Air Force, @ Temple, FAU, @ North Texas, @ Notre Dame, USF, @ Memphis, Army
Tulane (4-1, 1-0) - East Carolina, Army, @ UTSA, @ Memphis, FAU, at Temple, Charlotte
North Texas (5-0, 1-0) - USF, UTSA, @ Charlotte, Navy, @ UAB, @ Rice, Temple
Memphis (5-0, 1-0) - Tulsa, @ UAB, USF, @ Rice, Tulane, @ East Carolina, Navy

- Notre Dame MIGHT get in at 10-2, but it's not a given; but any more losses and they are done; I don't see them winning out even with their weak schedule
- UNLV has a shot if they go undefeated, but it still might not be enough schedule wise to grab the G5 spot over the AAC champ
- The AAC Champ will go pretty much as long as they are 11-2 are better (any of the four teams could win it, they are all basically the same garbage at this point)




PLAYOFF PREDICTIONS

First Round
(9) Ole Miss vs. (8) Texas Tech
(12) Tulane vs. (5) Penn State
(11) LSU vs. (6) Texas
(10) Indiana vs. (7) Tennessee

2nd Round
Ole Miss vs. (1) Oregon (Rose Bowl)
Penn State vs. (4) Ohio State (Cotton Bowl)
Texas vs. (3) Miami (Orange Bowl)
Tennessee vs. (2) Georgia (Sugar Bowl)

Final 4
Oregon vs. Ohio State (Fiesta Bowl)
Tennessee vs. Miami (Peach Bowl)

NC - Tennessee vs. Oregon (Miami)
Click to expand...
Vandy looking better than Texas today.
 
#49
#49
Here is the latest update even with Texas games being an unranked matchup, still a healthy amount of ranked games from the likes of Mizzou, Vandy, OU. Followed with Bama and LSU.

There is a good chance Vandy is unranked by the time we play them and I would not be shocked if OU has 2 losses when they roll into Neyland.
Screenshot 2025-10-06 at 6.52.27 AM.png
 
#50
#50
Rickyvol77 said:
Who to cheer for this week:

Tennessee (obviously even for the NegaVols)
Alabama over Mizzou
Washington St over Ole Miss
Oklahoma over Texas
Florida over Texas A&M
Auburn over Georgia
South Carolina over LSU
Ohio State over Illinois
Oregon over indiana
USC over Michigan
Pittsburgh over Florida St
NC State over Notre Dame
Kansas over Texas Tech
Arizona over BYU
Click to expand...
I’ll be rooting for Mizzou because I think we beat Bama anyway but them taking a second L the week before we play them can only help us win that game.

Texas is toast IMO. Incredibly small chance they win out, which they have to do…
 
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