I've said it before, but I'll say it again: this situation may or may not mean our military involvement. I highly doubt it would. What scares me the most is not Vlad or Vlad's Russia. He's a gooberhead, but I don't think even he is that stupid. What scares me the most is Russia after Vlad. The man has made that country into a nationalist/ultra-nationalist cesspool. Couple that with the demographic outlooks for that country (that have been corroborated by several analysts), and that will be one sort of mess in another generation or so. Declining Russian population, increasing Muslim populace, and one huge military. And nuclear weapons. Gonna be fun, gentleman. And by fun, I mean the opposite of fun.
Oh, and whining Russian population that wonders why the new leader isn't as "manly" as Vlad. Why don't you take your shirt off for photo ops, you patsy! sort of thing. There will probably be a leadership vacuum, as well as an economic decline, and those sorts of situations often breed civil wars.
Anyhow, I'm pessimistic Volprof today. Hopefully things won't turn out that way.