This is how we make the CFP

#26
#26
AirForceVol74 said:
Just win and take care of what we can control and the rest will fall into place.
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correct. I feel we will get in if we win out. Thing is though, we should have beaten uga and could have beaten or had much closer game vs bama, but our best win isn’t so spectacular. OK, UF and oddly this year Vandy are all better wins than any we’ve had so far, but we will find out starting this weekend if we are up for it. I am super confident in our offense and we don’t have to be last years version on D to win out…but think we need to be better
 
#27
#27
SubVet676 said:
So you think UT can land a 5-8 spot?
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Yes. There’s a lot of football left to play. But we were the eighth highest rated team at 10-2 in last year‘s playoff. This year they’re seeded according to actual rankings, instead of giving conference champions the auto bye. So that would get us a home game this year.
 
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#29
#29
NighthawkVol said:
Yes. There’s a lot of football left to play. But we were the eighth highest rated team at 10-2 in last year‘s playoff. This year they’re seeded according to actual rankings, instead of giving conference champions the auto bye. So that would get us a home game this year.
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I wish I had your optimism here. Given the fact that our defense couldn't stop a nosebleed, I'm worried that one out of OU, UF, or Vandy is going to slow our offense down. If they do, then our CFP chances are shot.

I'm on record with my opinion on Banks. It concerns me that both Coach Heupel and Coach Garner have now publicly recognized the elephant in the room here. UT has a CFP-level offense. And a Bottom 10 defense.

Tough tests ahead. Something has to give.
 
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#32
#32
EastTNVol6240 said:
FL wasn’t a good team last year either….. same team, nearly same situation, except now they know their coach is gone instead of just the hot seat. I’d argue that ole miss is less talented this year than last.
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I just think there are two different circumstances this season.

It’s an away game for FL and Ole Miss will be looking for revenge. I think Kiffin’s team will be more focused down the stretch knowing they choked away a layoff berth last yr. Just my $.02.

IMO, we won’t make playoffs unless the committee selects five SEC teams. Notre Dame isn’t going to lose so I’m sticking my post from while back - SEC gets four- unless Vandy goes 11-1.

GA, Bama, aTm, Ole Miss
 
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#34
#34
vol94 said:
I just think there are two different circumstances this season.

It’s an away game for FL and Ole Miss will be looking for revenge. I think Kiffin’s team will be more focused down the stretch knowing they choked away a layoff berth last yr. Just my $.02.

IMO, we won’t make playoffs unless the committee selects five SEC teams. Notre Dame isn’t going to lose so I’m sticking my post from while back - SEC gets four- unless Vandy goes 11-1.

GA, Bama, aTm, Ole Miss
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I agree with most of that. OM shoukd win that game, but there’s always a chance. Plenty of other teams that could still be upset as well. I think if we win out, and win out convincingly, there’s a really good chance someone else drops one.

If we’re sluggish and find a way to play close in Gainesville, you’re probably correct. I like our chances to win convincingly at home against OU and Vandy.
 
#41
#41
NighthawkVol said:
Yes. There’s a lot of football left to play. But we were the eighth highest rated team at 10-2 in last year‘s playoff. This year they’re seeded according to actual rankings, instead of giving conference champions the auto bye. So that would get us a home game this year.
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We were actually ranked 7th last year. We dropped two spots in seeding due to Boise st and Arizona State getting byes.
 
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#42
#42
superdave1984 said:
We have to win out. Period. Then our 2 losses will be to other CFP teams, one of which (probably) played in the SECCG. Makes our resume pretty stout. We would likely be traveling to ohio state at some point though.
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No chance we'd be traveling to Ohio state. Only the first round games are played on campus, and top 4 seeds get a bye. I see no way that Ohio state will not have a first round bye at this point.
 
#44
#44
Serious question, do you guys think it is better for Tennessee to make the playoffs knowing they will be a low seed and likely get humiliated again like last year or be just outside the top 12 and get a solid win in the citrus bowl to jump start next season?

My opinion is it still better to make the playoffs. First, you get paid. A team that makes the playoffs receives a base payout of $4 million for its conference, plus $3 million per round to cover expenses. That goes up to 6 million for the semifinals and championship game. For comparison the Citrus bowl has a total payout of $8,224,578 that has to be divided between two teams. Second, you never know what can happen. Last season Ohio State had there best game in awhile against us, probably coming in hot after the Michigan loss. This season they could be overconfident and look poor.
 
#45
#45
Ohio State will run Indiana off the field but I agree. BIG 10 champion goes 1 and loser goes 5. Who knows about Notre Dame. Last year, two teams we all laughed at played in the championship. Notre Dame should have lost to Indiana or especially Georgia and well..we gave up on Ohio State after the Michigan collapse and invaded the shoe with 40k.
 
#46
#46
If Notre Dame is 10-2, there is a 125% chance of them being in the playoff (25% chance they get their JV team in as a bonus). The Allstate playoff predictor is laughably incorrect on their odds.

As of right now, there is a 99% of notre Dame having a home game.
 
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#47
#47
To be in:
1) Tennessee needs to win out
2) Georgia (and Miami unless they lose again) must beat Georgia Tech
3) Oregon beats USC
4) Ohio state beats Michigan

Step 1 is the least likely
 
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#48
#48
HooahVol said:
Serious question, do you guys think it is better for Tennessee to make the playoffs knowing they will be a low seed and likely get humiliated again like last year or be just outside the top 12 and get a solid win in the citrus bowl to jump start next season?

My opinion is it still better to make the playoffs. First, you get paid. A team that makes the playoffs receives a base payout of $4 million for its conference, plus $3 million per round to cover expenses. That goes up to 6 million for the semifinals and championship game. For comparison the Citrus bowl has a total payout of $8,224,578 that has to be divided between two teams. Second, you never know what can happen. Last season Ohio State had there best game in awhile against us, probably coming in hot after the Michigan loss. This season they could be overconfident and look poor.
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Non playoff bowls are absolutely meaningless now.

If Tennessee defense and ST gets even a little better in the next two months then we could make a run.
 
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