Obviously, Tennessee would never leave the SEC. But, even if it did, it would be a short term fix. Yes, Tennessee might do better in a conference without Florida, Georgia and Alabama on the schedule every year. But, over time its recruiting would drift down to the new conference level as players who want to play in the SEC passed over Tennessee for other SEC schools. So Tennessee would probably do very, very well in the ACC or Big XII for a few years, but would drift down.
Not sure that's as true today as it was even a year or two ago, Utah.
SEC stunk up the joint last fall. Only 3rd or 4th-best among the five Power conferences. That's not opinion, it's based on win-loss record among P5 teams, regular season and bowls combined. Worst year in a long time for the SEC as a body.
And look at recruiting right now. Here's ESPN's current version of the 2018 class rack n stack:
1 Ohio State (B10)
2 Miami (ACC)
3 LSU (SEC)
4 Texas (B12)
5 Penn State (B10)
6 Clemson (ACC)
7 Florida State (ACC)
8 Tennessee (SEC)
9 Michigan (B10)
10 Notre Dame (Ind)
The ACC, who performed best last fall, are the top conference at the upper end of recruiting this spring/summer, with 3 teams in the Top 10. B10 not far behind. SEC has only two.
Is the recruiting downturn a direct result of the on-field downturn? Dunno. Doubt anyone could know with certainty.
But one thing's for sure: several years in a row, the SEC ruled the Power 5 on the field, and then ruled in recruiting. Suddenly, the conference has dropped in both.
The days of all the best recruits wanting to go to the SEC because (1) that's where national champions live and (2) that's the best path to the NFL ... those truths seem to be sitting on sand right now.
Here's hoping this fall the conference gets right back at dominating, top to bottom (or at least, close to bottom).
It's good for all 14 programs. Definitely including us.
Go Vols!