So, for those who want to talk about the actual game…..
Here are the things that I believe will be a major factor.
- I believe Milton will start. Why I believe that’s a factor is that I don’t know how much he’s practiced recently and game time has been limited.
- The game is being played on the road for Tennessee. It’s not “The Swamp” as much as it is being on the road in general. They want to play fast and their style, but it’s different trying to execute on the road and it’s the first road game. And we didn’t have crowds in 2020.
- Tennessee is last in the SEC in time of possession. Not sure that’s a good idea heading into conference play. While it’s going to be a night game, it will still be hot and humid in Gainesville.
- Tennessee is also last in the SEC in sacks allowed.
- While everyone is focused on the deep ball in the passing game, IMO the biggest thing in this game will be the Tennessee WR’s ability to gain yards after catch on the dinks, dunks, and screens. The main thing that changed in the Florida-Alabama game was the Florida defense blitzed a lot early and Alabama had 1-1 situations where their guy made a Florida defender miss a tackle. Florida stopped blitzing, more guys got to the ball, and tackling improved a lot.
- Make Florida work for it. Don’t allow the big play. If Florida has to run more than 10 plays in a possession, it gives greater opportunity for them to make a mistake which they are capable of. This was actually one of the more shocking things for me from the Florida-Alabama game. Florida always seems to get multiple chunk yardage plays against Tennessee.
- Tying in to the previous point, make Florida throw the ball inside the red zone. Do whatever you have to in order to make sure they throw the ball in the red zone. Florida’s going to run, florida’s going to make plays, but if Jones has to throw TD passes from inside the 15 yards line…..I don’t trust him.
In the end, while I think a bend but don’t break style might work, I think you’ll see more out of the passing game than you have previously from Florida. I also think “bend, but don’t break” will fail due to a lack of depth, the Florida heat, time of possession, etc.
Tennessee can score because Florida is not the 85 Bears. But, who misses a block and gives up a sack? Who commits a holding penalty? Who drops a pass on 3rd down? How often does Tennessee sabotage itself offensively?