LordBolton
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This is a dumb argument for me to take… but I’m about 1000% sure if you have Barnes the Suns or the Grizzlies we’d win by 20+.
They’ll lose 1. It won’t be to us though. We can’t score enough.I may have accidentally double counted a probability somewhere, but I think two losses is about right. Don’t underestimate home court advantage. Here’s their toughest games:
vs Bama, @Arkansas, @Florida, @tennessee, @Miss St
Sometimes stats don’t make sense to follow. Our style of play just doesn’t line up well against Auburn. Is it possible to beat them? Sure. Should we be favored at home? No. I bet Vegas will have us as a dog, I’m guessing by 3-4.I looked on my ESPN app and we are favored in every game left on our schedule. I hope they know something we don't.
We won’t win all of those other games either though. There’s several road games left. I think we drop one between SC and Miss St and one between Arkansas and Mizzou. Add in UGA and I’m thinking 3-2 in our 5 remaining road games. That would be pretty solid. We should beat Vandy at home. Hopefully we can beat both A&M and Ark. I lean toward yes to both but neither will be easy. I think 6-4 the rest of the way which puts us at 20-10 (11-7). That’s probably good enough for a 6 seed, maybe even a 5 given our non-conference schedule and the fact the SEC is the best conference this year.Right now we have to win out minus Auburn and KY to get to 20 wins. I think we end up as a 4 seed.
You can blame me, my math was off. I had in my head that we only had 8 left. IDK, but my wife was probably talking to me when I typed.. lolCould be I saw that but I’ll take the hit. My post, my error. I’m not a big pass the buck guy. So where do you see us ending the year and seed wise. If you already posted sorry. I’m multitasking and might’ve forgotten already.
The only way that this would happen is if Fulky turned into the Fulky from 2019-2020 season and VBJ/Powell/JJJ become consistent players on the offensive end. Or maybe we get another Chandler vs Colorado for 3 straight games in the tourney.We will win 22 games, two games in the SEC tourney, and three games in NCAA... yes I am an optimist haha
IMO Chandler vs Colorado was the fact that Colorado bigs weren’t very athletic nor good rim protectors.The only way that this would happen is if Fulky turned into the Fulky from 2019-2020 season and VBJ/Powell/JJJ become consistent players on the offensive end. Or maybe we get another Chandler vs Colorado for 3 straight games in the tourney.
Another byproduct of winning 7 straight is building confidence.Arkansas thumped Georgia last night. Stanley Umude scored 31. 7 straight for the hogs. Their schedule has been pretty weak so far, but they’ve still won 7 straight games now and look to be figuring it out. Those games are going to be a war.
Another byproduct of winning 7 straight is building confidence.
I was surprised when Arky turned it around, but let's see what they do against tougher comp.Yeah, I'm not a fan. I thought we'd have one less problem in a tough conference to worry about when they started off on an 0-3 skid, but now they're beating teams like a drum and seem to be figuring things out. Missouri and Georgia aren't good teams, but they absolutely drubbed both of them.
The real test is coming up for Arkansas. Tough stretch on the horizon:
Miss State
Auburn
@Alabama
@Missouri
Tennessee
@Florida
Kentucky
LSU
@ Tennessee
With the exception of Missouri, the cupcakes are behind them.
Sometimes stats don’t make sense to follow. Our style of play just doesn’t line up well against Auburn. Is it possible to beat them? Sure. Should we be favored at home? No. I bet Vegas will have us as a dog, I’m guessing by 3-4.