Recruiting Forum Football Talk V

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Biggest thing that can happen is TCU losing, IMO. Let’s say OSU beats Michigan, TCU drops a game, Oregon or USC wins PAC12 with 1 loss, and Clemson wins ACC with 1 loss. We would be left with this scenario:

1 UGA
2 OSU

After that, you would have five 1 loss teams going for the last two spots: UT, Michigan, TCU, Oregon/USC, and Clemson. Our resume is miles better than all 4 of them. We have more ranked wins. We would have 2 top 10 wins. We are former #1 ranking.

TCU holds the keys to this scenario. They win out, it’s down to 1 spot left.. and at that point my opinion is it should still be us getting the 4 spot, but I don’t put it last the committee to find a way to keep a 2nd SEC team out. If TCU loses one, and we win out: I think we are in at #3. JMO.
 
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I don't see it happening, but doesn't a two loss LSU winning the sec setup the nightmare scenario.

LSU would get in the playoffs by winning the SEC, right? GA with one loss might get in. No way they put a 3rd SEC team in the playoffs.

I wouldn’t be so sure about that. I don’t think the committee likes teams with 2 losses and we still have the convincing head to head win. Plus beating AL in overtime won’t be seen as good of a win compared to us beating AL in regulation.
 
It doesn't really matter if they do or not right now anyway. They would have to beat GA in the SEC championship to get in the playoffs, and if they beat GA in the SEC championship they would be in the playoffs over us anyway.
If GA does play LSU and plays like they did tonight, not sure LSU can beat them.
 
I am not worried about TCU.

UGA is in.
Winner of OSU and Michigan is in.
TCU is in.

Then it’s either 1 loss Tennessee or 1 loss loser of Michigan OSU.

That will be the key. Will the committee put Tennessee ahead of the loser of that game?
Important to win and win BIG the next three weeks
 
I am not worried about TCU.

UGA is in.
Winner of OSU and Michigan is in.
TCU is in.

Then it’s either 1 loss Tennessee or 1 loss loser of Michigan OSU.

That will be the key. Will the committee put Tennessee ahead of the loser of that game?
They should. Tennessee was ahead of them when all 3 were unbeaten.
 
How? They lost by way more to GA than we did then will have beaten no one.

Because the 3 Pac-12 teams they still have to play and beat will potentially all 3 be top 25 teams when they face off. Then they'll get another top 25 win in their conference title game.

Ending with as many top 25 wins as us (or close) and they'll be their conference champ. Plus losing to the best team in game 1 and then winning 12 straight and your conference will be better received than us losing in game 9 and not playing in conference title game.

We need TCU to lose (hopefully twice) and we need the PAC-12 champion to be a 2 loss team.
 
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